Posted on 05/12/2012 8:13:13 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Barack Obama crushed John McCain in Michigan in 2008, 57.33%-40.89%.
Obama must win Michigan in 2012, it’s part of every scenario for him to get to 270:
(VIDEO AT LINK)
Yet a poll just released in the Detroit News shows Obama up by only 5 points over Romney, via The Hill:
President Obama is leading Mitt Romney by 5 percentage-points in Michigan, according to a new poll of likely voters in the state.
The survey, conducted by the Glengariff Group and reported in the Detroit News, shows an even wider margin for Obama among female voters. He leads the former Massachusetts governor by 12 points — 47 percent to Romney’s 35 percent.
Among all voters surveyed, Obama led Romney 45 percent to 39.5 percent in Michigan.
This polling will come as no surprise to AxelPlouffe, whose entire “War on Women” line of attack recognizes that without a large gender gap, Obama is toast. As explained in the Detroit News:
“Barack Obama, if he wins, will win it on the women’s vote, “[pollster Richard] Czuba said. “I think, for the Romney campaign, that is the issue now, making headway with the gender gap.”
Regardless of female support, Obama’s overall support in Michigan is well below 50 percent. As an incumbent, Czuba said, that indicates the Democrat-leaning state may be in play come November; Obama won the state handily in 2008.
“This is not a slam dunk by any means,” Czuba said. “It’s a race.”
Do not expect the War on Women nonsense to abate. Obama needs it too much to let go.
I am amazed at the really fast downturn on Rasmussen.
I say amazed, in that he should have been in the toilet from day one.
All of the Marxist media and all the Marxist teachers
may not be able to put Obumbo back together again.
It is going to be interesting as well as frightening
to see what the caged lizard will do.
Also I posted here 2 weeks ago, we have a shot @ 60 in the Senate. This week on Hannity, Dick Morris said the same thing.
I am trying not to get ahead of myself, but this maybe a blood-bath landslide a combo of Reagan 84' and 94' - 2010' combo for the house and senate. The Dem's won't recover for 20 years...
Michigan bump
Defeat that big tub of goo!
I’d like to believe that Michigan was “in play”, but come election day, Obama will squeeze this one out.
The GOP shouldn’t waste too much in terms of resources there. Yes, spend something and give it a try. But save the big guns for the other few states that are really going to matter.
It is going to be interesting as well as frightening
to see what the caged lizard will do.
That’s for sure!
The GOP shouldn’t waste too much in terms of resources there. Yes, spend something and give it a try. But save the big guns for the other few states that are really going to matter.
No, man. Make Dumbo fight it out there. The more he has to defend territory that he won easily in '08, the tougher it will be for him to contest the close states that he just barely won.
I am trying not to get ahead of myself, but this maybe a blood-bath landslide a combo of Reagan 84’ and 94’ - 2010’ combo for the house and senate. The Dem’s won’t recover for 20 years...
I’m also starting to get that feeling.
Seems to have two agendas, not sure how the push questions effect rhe out come. Makes me wonder if it’s closer.
Presidential race poll questions and answers
4 Comments
Methodology
The Glengariff Group Inc. conducted a 600-sample, live operator telephone survey of registered Michigan voters likely to vote in the November 2012 General Election. The survey was conducted on May 10-11, 2012, and has a margin of error of +/-4.0 percent with a 95 percent level of confidence. This survey was an uncommissioned survey — not paid for by any political organization or public entity — and is part of the Glengariff Group Inc.’s public polling program.
Michigan May 2012 Survey
1. Thinking about the November general election, would you say you are definitely going to vote, probably going to vote, probably not going to vote or definitely not going to vote in the November election?
1. Definitely vote 88.2%
2. Probably vote 11.8%
And what county do you currently live in?
1. Upper Peninsula, Northern Michigan 13.0%
2. West Michigan 11.2%
3. Southwest Michigan 8.3%
4. Mid-Michigan 8.7%
5. East Central 7.8%
6. Oakland County 13.2%
7. Macomb County 8.3%
8. Wayne County 11.7%
9. City of Detroit 6.7%
10. Remainder of Detroit Metropolitan Statistical Area 11.2%
2. If the election for President were held today and Barack Obama was the Democratic nominee and Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Mitt Romney or Barack Obama to be President of the United States?
1. Definitely Obama 38.5%
2. Probably Obama 6.6%
3. Don’t Know/ Undecided 15.4%
4. Probably Romney 7.0%
5. Definitely Romney 32.5%
3. There has been much debate across the nation about gays and lesbians. Do you believe that an individual is born gay, or do you believe an individual makes a choice to be gay or lesbian?
1. Born gay 35.3%
2. Individual makes the choice 28.8%
3. Combination of both 8.5%
4. Don’t Know 26.3%
5. Refused 1.0%
4. Do you personally know anyone who is gay or lesbian?
1. Yes 80.7%
2. No 18.5%
3. Don’t Know 0.8%
4. Refused 0.0%
5. Do you support or oppose allowing gays and lesbians to get married?
1. Strongly Support 31.3%
2. Somewhat Support 13.0%
3. Somewhat Oppose 8.0%
4. Strongly Oppose 35.7%
5. Don’t’ Know 11.0%
6. Refused 1.0%
6. Another option that has been discussed would be allowing gay men and women to get a civil union which would provide the legal benefits of marriage while still preserving the word “marriage” as something between a man and a woman. Would you say you support or oppose civil unions for gay men and women?
1. Strongly Support 36.5%
2. Somewhat Support 20.0%
3. Somewhat Oppose 6.8%
4. Strongly Oppose 25.0%
5. Don’t’ Know 10.3%
6. Refused 1.3%
7. If a candidate for office supports allowing gays and lesbians to get married, would that make you more or less likely to vote for that candidate? Or does their position on gay marriage make no difference to you?
1. Strongly Support 12.8%
2. Somewhat Support 11.7%
3. No Difference 32.2%
4. Somewhat Oppose 9.0%
5. Strongly Oppose 20.2%
6. Don’t Know 13.7%
7. Refused 0.5%
From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20120512/POLITICS01/205120364#ixzz1uii8oRVJ
Exactly. The evil bastard must be out on defense and you said it well.
“I’m also starting to get that feeling.”
A 48 state landslide wipe out against Obambi would truly be wonderful.
It would almost make up for the reality of President Romney.
I agree.
Obama needs to be humbled and humiliated and that would be a good start.
mccain goes to michigan and campaigns for romney. obama wins.
mccain goes to michigan and campaigns for romney. obama wins.
I can almost envision a Reagan type landslide, only for different dynamics - Both incuments were anti-capitalist traitors (but Obama is by far the eviler and worse of the two), but Romney can’t compare in any tangible way with The Gipper. Still, the climate may be right to send a strong message of anti-everything-Obama even if it doesn’t advoacte strong conservative principles...
Better yet, let's go for all 57!!!
Michigan being this close has to be making the Obama bots positively nuts.
“But but we gave you guys government money?!? Doesn’t that win your vote?!?!?!”
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