Posted on 05/21/2012 11:59:25 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Yesterday, I wrote about a few of the variables that can affect the accuracy of polls. Polls conducted of just adults, for example, deliver a huge seven-point bias in favor of Democrats. Notwithstanding this bias, it is simply silly to report political polling results of a sample of adults, since a large part of that sample won't actually be voting. It can, however, be useful if you want to make a partisan political point. This is exactly what the Tennessean newspaper and other media outlets have done.
Yesterday, the state's biggest paper splashed across its front page the breathless headline that "Obama closed the gap" and was essentially tied with Romney in the Volunteer State.
The poll of 1,002 Tennessee residents who are 18 and older found 42 percent would vote for Romney and 41 percent for Obama if the election were held now. The survey, conducted May 2-9 by Princeton Survey Research Associates International for Vanderbilt, had a margin of error of 4 percentage points.
Do you see that? "residents...18 and older," meaning adults. Sure enough, a couple more paragraphs into the story, we learn that the Vanderbuilt University poll did add in a registered voter screen. Those results? Romney is beating Obama by seven points.
That's a much different headline isn't it? To its credit, Politico immediately threw cold water on the headline results of the poll, describing the campaign in Tennessee as a "blowout wrapped in a nail-biter."
But, Brett LoGiurato, the resident Obama palace guard at BusinessInsider, went with the shocking headline that Obama was "only down one" in Tennessee. He eventually got around to noting the registered voter number, but still tried to argue that the poll was bad news for the GOP....
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
It’s possible there won’t be enough dead people to save 0bama.
Also, it’s ‘mass delusional hysteria’ (with a sprinkle of black magic) that got Obama elected last time. There’s GOT to be a semi-conscious voters out there that decide NOT to go with the so-called majority the media says favors Obama this time, right?
Also, its mass delusional hysteria (with a sprinkle of black magic) that got Obama elected last time. Theres GOT to be a semi-conscious voters out there that decide NOT to go with the so-called majority the media says favors Obama this time, right?
The danger to America is not Barack Obama but a citizenry capable of entrusting a man like him with the presidency. It will be easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to an electorate willing to have such a man for their president. The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails us. Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince. The republic can survive a Barack Obama It is less likely to survive a multitude of fools such as those who made him their president. — Author Unknown
Sadly for them, and many of us, that level of stupid is almost always self-correcting. Why sadly? Because the correction ALWAYS involves a lot of blood, pain, and death. And sometimes takes decades. (Or in the case of Islam, for example, centuries, and still hasn’t happened, hence the “almost always.”)
Yes, and “Always” is not far off.
The proof of this is to see how much money the Zero campaign spends in Tennessee.....nothing I suspect.
We'll have to have an election to see if the polls are right. When the polls are wrong many will believe there was chicanery and will riot.
How many times have we seen a campaign that falters in the opinion polls begin to flag in the fundraising battle? Obama, I suspect, has huge funding requirements for the “smoke & mirrors” campaign he is running. He needs to hire George Lucas’ Industrial Light and Magic to pull this off, and that’s not going to come cheap.
You cannot polish a turd no matter how hard a person tries.
...there ya go.
Here’s the good (?) news: those Republican voters who used to be too busy at work to vote are now unemployed and will have plenty of time to vote.
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