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Republican activists think a strong conservative can win the White House. They’re probably wrong.
The Washington Post's Monkey Cage ^ | October 13, 2015 | John Sides

Posted on 10/13/2015 8:31:06 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

A common piece of conventional wisdom — and one that has backing in the political science literature — is that candidates are punished for being ideologically out of step with their constituents. This is what underlies the usual advice given to presidential candidates in a general election: move to the center, or risk being perceived as too ideological. Thus far in 2016, as Matthew Atkinson and Darin DeWitt have argued on this blog, prediction markets bear out this advice.

Now here’s something fascinating about this election cycle: Republicans seem not to believe that there is any electoral penalty for being strongly conservative. But Democrats do believe a strong liberal will be penalized.

That’s the conclusion from the newest Huffington Post surveys of Republican and Democratic activists....

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; State and Local
KEYWORDS: cruz; hillary; sanders; tedcruz
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1 posted on 10/13/2015 8:31:06 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

because the last to morons the GOPe put on the presidential ticket did so well...

Funny thing though- conservatives led the way to humiliating defeats for the rats in ‘10 and ‘14...


2 posted on 10/13/2015 8:33:25 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Republicans should follow political advice from the Washington comPost because ....


3 posted on 10/13/2015 8:33:42 AM PDT by Bubba_Leroy (The Obamanation Continues)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

yes, we’re sure wrong about that...

It’s going to be just awful for us if someone like Trump gets to run.

We sure are thankful for your advice.


4 posted on 10/13/2015 8:34:34 AM PDT by Mr. K (If it is HilLIARy -vs- Jeb! then I am writing-in Palin/Cruz)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Republican activists think a strong conservative can win the White House. They’re probably wrong.

Good point wapo..let's ask Presidents McCain and Romney..

5 posted on 10/13/2015 8:39:22 AM PDT by BerniesFriend (I am BerniesFriend, however it's really Bernadette, NOT Bernie Sanders friend!!!!!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Republican activists think a strong conservative can win the White House. They’re probably wrong.

If they are indeed wrong, then the functional part of the nation needs to unite with the intention of driving out these third world socialist minds from our country so as to restore the nation back to functionality.

We need to disenfranchise huge swaths of the Democrat voting populace. The voting age needs to be raised back to 21 and the requirement to be a tax payer needs to be restored.

6 posted on 10/13/2015 8:41:45 AM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: BerniesFriend

Or Dole, Rockefeller, Lindsay, Wilkie...


7 posted on 10/13/2015 8:42:20 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: DiogenesLamp

Some have proposed only veterans can vote.


8 posted on 10/13/2015 8:42:58 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: God luvs America
conservatives led the way to humiliating defeats for the rats in ‘10 and ‘14...

and '80, '84 and '88 (Reagan's third term)

9 posted on 10/13/2015 8:46:14 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (This tagline lists all of Hilary's accomplishments............................)
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Comment #10 Removed by Moderator

To: 2ndDivisionVet

” Republicans seem not to believe that there is any electoral penalty for being strongly conservative. But Democrats do believe a strong liberal will be penalized.”

This is a true statement. This is why the left wants a RINO to run. It makes it easier for the liberal candidate to identify with the people. They make the RINO out to be a moderate and after the RINO is nominated, they call him conservative and the left wing candidate becomes the moderate.

Wash, rinse, repeat and lose the election.


11 posted on 10/13/2015 8:48:47 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Jews For Cruz)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The “logic” contains the planted axiom that actually (gasp!) opposing what Obama is doing is extreme. Which would of course be true if Obama’s actions were entirely unexceptional.

I do not hold that view.


12 posted on 10/13/2015 8:48:59 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion ('Liberalism' is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Some have proposed only veterans can vote.

Members of the armed services who are 18 should be able to vote. This is what the 26th amendment should have said. Others? Not so much.

21 is the age at which most people have had to live on their own for awhile, and it is the age by which most people have had to make adult decisions.

We should not be paying attention to the opinions of fresh out of high school novices with no real life experience.

13 posted on 10/13/2015 8:49:52 AM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

There is no point in winning with Democrat Lite candidate.
IF we can’t win with a Conservative, the ballot box part of the game is over.


14 posted on 10/13/2015 8:51:27 AM PDT by Little Ray (How did I end up in this hand basket, and why is it getting so hot?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
*yawn* The uniparty express rolls on.

They don't care about the (R) or the (D), only about having their agenda continue.

15 posted on 10/13/2015 8:52:28 AM PDT by kingu (Everything starts with slashing the size and scope of the federal government.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A) Crappolla

B) How about principles? Core values? Even if what the Post says is true (it’s not), what is the point in electing a Republican liberal? It gains us and the country nothing.


16 posted on 10/13/2015 8:52:42 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there....)
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To: DiogenesLamp

At 18 I was in charge of intelligence on the Korean DMZ.


17 posted on 10/13/2015 8:52:48 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The comPost strikes again.


18 posted on 10/13/2015 8:53:13 AM PDT by <1/1,000,000th%
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To: DiogenesLamp

Pretty sure the current leave the nest average age is 28.


19 posted on 10/13/2015 8:53:47 AM PDT by kingu (Everything starts with slashing the size and scope of the federal government.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
At 18 I was in charge of intelligence on the Korean DMZ.

It is my opinion that those who serve their country in the armed forces are generally of higher caliber than are the average members of the general population.

They recognize a responsibility and take steps to address it. They are generally of the sort who mature faster.

20 posted on 10/13/2015 8:57:47 AM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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