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PDA, RIP
economist ^ | Oct 16th 2003

Posted on 10/20/2003 6:30:13 AM PDT by stainlessbanner

The next big thing that wasn't---or was it?

IS IT time to declare the demise of the handheld computer, also known as the personal digital assistant (PDA)? A lot of people suddenly think so, for despite high hopes that the devices---made by such firms as Palm, Sony, HP and Dell---would someday become ubiquitous, annual sales have stayed flat at around 11m units worldwide. This compares poorly with PCs, around 130m of which are sold every year, and mobile phones, with sales of around 460m units. ---The PDA market will never be a mass market,--- says Cindy Wolf, an analyst at In-Stat/MDR, a market-research firm. Almost everyone who wants a PDA, she says, now has one.

In contrast, sales of smartphones, high-powered mobile handsets capable of doing most things PDAs can do, are rising fast. Smartphones can be used to store addresses and phone numbers, download small pieces of software (such as games), browse the internet while on the move, store and play music, and jot down brief messages. And, of course, they are also telephones. Why carry both a phone and a PDA around, when you can carry a single hybrid device? Fewer than 4m smartphones were sold during 2002, but nearly 12m will be sold this year, says Neil Strother of In-Stat/MDR. Although final sales figures are not yet available, it seems very likely that sales of smartphones overtook sales of PDAs in the third quarter of this year.

---The PDA is dead,--- says David Levin, the boss of Symbian, the leading maker of smartphone software. Anssi Vanjoki of Nokia, the world's biggest mobile-phone maker, agrees. PDAs without wireless connectivity are doomed, he says. Even as Nokia, Sony Ericsson and other handset makers build PDA-like functions into their smartphones, some PDA makers are adding phone capability to their handhelds.The two camps have arrived at the same result---a hybrid PDA-phone---from opposite directions.

David Nagel of PalmSource, the firm that licenses the Palm operating system to makers of phones and PDAs, dismisses the idea that one camp or the other has won. To say that there is a single ---killer device--- is, he says, an oversimplification, for there is room for a whole range of PDA-like devices in the marketplace---of which smartphones, in his view, are just one kind. PalmSource is, he says, well placed to compete with Symbian and Microsoft to provide the software to power pocket-sized devices.

This much is clear: handheld computers must be phones too, if they are to sell in any quantity. PDAs of the traditional type, which do not double as phones, are condemned to remain a tiny niche. But whether the sudden rise of the smartphone constitutes the death of the PDA, or its triumph by other means, is a matter of opinion. In other words, the PDA is dead---long live the PDA.


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: cellphone; mindspring; palmpilot; pda; smartphone; technology; wife
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To: stainlessbanner
The people making them assumed that everbody didn't keep track of everything in life because of bad memory and poor orginazition.

I guess they never figured that a good chunk of the population just doesn't give a damn.
21 posted on 10/20/2003 7:14:56 AM PDT by ItsTheMediaStupid
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To: Chancellor Palpatine
I won a Sony Clie thingamajig at a conference recently. I can't imagine what I'm going to do with it. I'll likely just put phone numbers on it, along with some games. I'm hardly ever out of the office, so I don't have much need for one.
22 posted on 10/20/2003 7:19:49 AM PDT by wimpycat (Down with Kooks and Kookery!)
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To: stainlessbanner
I don't need a PDA, my wife knows EVERYTHING!
23 posted on 10/20/2003 7:20:11 AM PDT by Fierce Allegiance
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To: wimpycat
You should find people who have compatible machines and have them beam you over some games. Dope Wars is a great one to play when you're bored (you get to be a dealer, and manage your empire, make deals, get busted, etc. Every cop I know has it.
24 posted on 10/20/2003 7:21:39 AM PDT by Chancellor Palpatine
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To: Chancellor Palpatine
My piano teacher has a metronome on hers.
25 posted on 10/20/2003 7:25:25 AM PDT by wimpycat (Down with Kooks and Kookery!)
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To: Chancellor Palpatine
What I don't like about this gadget is that Sony has an introductory tour on the internet, but for anything beyond the most basic functions, you have to pay $9.95 to get the "advanced" handbook. (Mine didn't come with an owner's manual in the box.) Then they have all this software that you have to pay for to download. Are there any good sites where I can get freeware?
26 posted on 10/20/2003 7:30:22 AM PDT by wimpycat (Down with Kooks and Kookery!)
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To: stainlessbanner
The Economist has confused the label with the substance. PDAs will almost certainly have new functions and designs in five years, and will probably called by another name. Big flippin' deal.
27 posted on 10/20/2003 7:32:33 AM PDT by steve-b
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To: stainlessbanner
This much is clear: handheld computers must be phones too, if they are to sell in any quantity.

Well, I guess the point is: people don't want to be lugging a bunch of hardware around with them everywhere they go. Their first choice is a cell phone, and all else come in a very distant second. If the phone can do more, that's just swell. But it's got to be a phone, first and foremost.

28 posted on 10/20/2003 7:34:18 AM PDT by r9etb
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To: Fierce Allegiance
I don't need a PDA, my wife knows EVERYTHING!

LOL! Good one!

Mine does, too, and has automatic reminders!

29 posted on 10/20/2003 7:36:13 AM PDT by Ulysses
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To: longtermmemmory
my brick is still going, but casio did get out of the pda market.

I love my Casio G-shock watch "PDA." It holds 100 phone numbers and 100 appointments (with alarm), as well as the usual watch functions. The great thing about it is that I never lose it. And I can time it to beep with the message "GET MILK AND EGGS" as I'm about to drive by the grocery store on the way home, thus saving my marriage ;-)

30 posted on 10/20/2003 7:36:15 AM PDT by Aquinasfan (Isaiah 22:22, Rev 3:7, Mat 16:19)
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To: meowmeow
Gee...I'm sitting in a boring Monday morning staff meeting, writing this post on my wireless PDA.

Haven't you figured out how to use that thing to get you out of those meetings in the first place? ;)

31 posted on 10/20/2003 7:36:22 AM PDT by general_re ("I am Torgo. I take care of the place while the Master is away.")
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To: stainlessbanner
What I'm looking for is a smartphone/pda with a "push to talk" feature like that offered by Nextel or Verizon. I don't want that clunky Blackberry thing that their pushing either. I'm sure that it's coming, but until then I'll stay with my Kyocera Smartphone.
32 posted on 10/20/2003 8:05:33 AM PDT by Tallguy (Leave the gun, take the cannoli...)
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To: boris
Oh, I bought one: a neat Handspring monochrome thin thing. It never leaves its cradle.

When my last pda broke, (and stole everything with its failure mode), I looked around for a pda that worked like a phone. They did not make them then, so I just went with a phone. Then I retired, and now I can't remember why I would want a pda anyway.

33 posted on 10/20/2003 8:42:28 AM PDT by KC_for_Freedom (Sailing the highways of America, and loving it.)
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To: stainlessbanner
Tomorrow's headline today:

PDA's DOA PDQ!


34 posted on 10/20/2003 8:47:14 AM PDT by Revolting cat! (Far out, man!)
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To: stainlessbanner
I believe Apple pioneered the PDA. Whatever became of them, and will the same thing happen to the $500 iPod?
35 posted on 10/20/2003 8:48:05 AM PDT by js1138
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To: governsleastgovernsbest
Smart phones can also take and transmit photos, which PDAs can't.

My Sony Clie can take pictures, play MP3's, connect via WiFi, record voice, etc....

36 posted on 10/20/2003 8:53:00 AM PDT by CheneyChick (Let the Hauskleaning Begin)
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To: Revolting cat!
delivered by PSA
37 posted on 10/20/2003 8:55:17 AM PDT by stainlessbanner
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To: stainlessbanner
The PDA is dead,--- says David Levin, the boss of Symbian, the leading maker of smartphone software

Gee do you think he might be a little biased? He's hoping and praying for its demise. I love my PDA.

Ok you smartphone users, try downloading a book into your smartphone and reading it on a three hour airplane flight and see if your battery is still functioning when you land. Oh, I forgot, you can't turn your phone on while you're on a plane. Never mind.

38 posted on 10/20/2003 8:57:35 AM PDT by P-Marlowe (Milquetoast Q. Whitebread is alive!)
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To: stainlessbanner; madison10; Chancellor Palpatine
>I still take notes on a legal pad

My PDA costs
99¢ and handles
text and graphics great!

39 posted on 10/20/2003 9:26:26 AM PDT by theFIRMbss
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To: CheneyChick
Live and learn!
40 posted on 10/20/2003 9:59:24 AM PDT by governsleastgovernsbest
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