U.S. SENATE RACES - 2004

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[DefCon]

SENATE RACES 2004

DEMOCRATS			REPUBLICANS
Bayh, Evan	IN		Bennett, Robert	UT
Boxer, Barbara	CA		Bond, Christopher	MO
Breaux, John *	LA		Brownback, Sam	KS
Daschle, Thomas	SD		Bunning, Jim	KY
Dodd, Christopher	CT		Campbell, Ben Nighthorse	CO
Dorgan, Byron	ND		Crapo, Mike	ID
Edwards, John *	NC		Fitzgerald, Peter *	IL
Feingold, Russell	WI		Grassley, Chuck	IA
Graham, Bob *	FL		Gregg, Judd	NH
Hollings, Ernest *	SC		McCain, John	AZ
Inouye, Daniel	HI		Murkowski, Lisa	AK
Leahy, Patrick	VT		Nickles, Don *	OK
Lincoln, Blanche	AR		Shelby, Richard	AL
Mikulski, Barbara	MD		Specter, Arlen	PA
Miller, Zell *	GA		Voinovich, George	OH
Murray, Patty	WA
Reid, Harry	NV
Schumer, Charles	NY
Wyden, Ron	OR
* designates open seats

[DefCon]

Regarding Herman Cain.
Who is his opposition?

[zbigreddogz]

Yah, the Gay Marrage thing is a noose for Dashle.

However, don't look for Bush to be traveling to SD anytime soon. He will, appropriately, be too focused on winning reelection himself, and him winning SD isn't a matter of if, but of how much. Thune is on his own as far as that goes. Wouldn't count out some heavy hitters campaigning for him, but GWB will be too busy.


But, the fact that GWB is gonna win that state will help him. Basically, GWB is gonna win the state by 8-15%, and so Dashole will need to find 8-15% of the people to vote for a split ticket, which won't be easy. Excuse any sacrelige, but it's hard to find someone to vote for both God and the Devil at the same time.

[ggekko]

I would rather have a candidate who is not named Ryan but he appears to be the front runner in Illinois and I think he can go all the way because he has some crossover appeal.

Things certainly look a lot better for the Republicans holding this seat then they did 6 months ago.

[raloxk]

thats good

[raloxk]

Youre moving from IL to NJ???

I pity you

[painter]

States in Play Open: LA, IL, FL, GA, SC, NC, OK Republican: Specter, Murkowski, Bunning, Bond

Bond? He is very popular in Missouri.It would take massive vote fraud to beat him.

In 2002Jim Talent beat the widder Carnahan in a fairly close election.St.Louis couldn't deliever the vote for her.The voting places where watched too close that time.Matt Blunt being Sec of State instituded rules making it Very hard to vote more than once.

[JohnnyZ]

Bond? He is very popular in Missouri.

He's certainly favored to win, but so are Lincoln, Feingold, Murray, Boxer, Reid, and Bunning. Bond has a decent challenger in Nancy Farmer, and all his races are close.

[Kuksool]

Our chances of picking up four Senate seats are as good as the Chicago Cubs chances of winning 100 games and going to to the World Series this year. With the signing of Greg Maddux, the Cubs have improved an already top notch pitching staff. However, the Cubs have a habit of choking at the end. Ditto with GOP candidates.

[dfergu7477]

"I think we'll sweep the FL-GA-SC-NC open seats, lose one of OK-AK-IL, but take either LA or defeat one of the incumbent Democrats. +4 pickup"

You may be too pessimistic. I think we'll complete the southern sweep with LA, and Daschle, Murray, Boxer, and Feingold are vulnerable. Who knows, the people in NV may be so disgusted as to dump Reid, too. He barely won last time.

With Bush running strong (and I believe he will by Fall), and 'Fn Kerry getting killed by his liberal record, we may do LOTS better than we dare hope. Also, this gay marriage issue may bring the boot to a lot of RATS, via an electorate that will have had it with "anything goes."

I say, we get darn close to 60, or do get there. It's agony, but we'll just have to wait and see.

[livius]

We've GOT to get a Republican here in Florida.

[Clintonfatigued]

I used to think that Blair Hull would win this race. But he recently got tripped up by a past domestic violence incident with his ex-wife. Barak Obama has strong support in Chicago's black neighborhoods and could win the multi-candidate primary. If he does, I think the Republican nominee (probably Jack Ryan) would start out with the edge.

[raloxk]

"But he recently got tripped up by a past domestic violence incident with his ex-wife"

Didnt know that. That's sweet.

hmmm....will it matter though????

[Clintonfatigued]

In virtually every Senate election cycle, there is at least one race that surprises the experts. I fully expect that this will happen this year. Some possible Senators who could get caught off guard are Jim Bunning (R-KY), Christopher Bond (R-MO), Harry Reid (D-NV), and Barbara Boxer (D-CA).

[Homer_J_Simpson]

I was sure Boxer would be vulnerable, but the Repubs in Calif can;t even focus on thier own Primary, much less start building a concensus against Boxer.

I think either Bill Jones or Howard Kaloogian can knock off Boxer, and with Arnolds's help W will take California. Or at least come close enough to force the rats to spend all their money preventing it. Of course, I'm an eternal optimist.

[Clintonfatigued]

I have some info on that race. In the year of 2003, Tom Daschle spent $3,248,373 on his campaign, a full year before the vote. In the meantime, opponent John Thune spent nothing and even stayed out of the public eye. A Mason-Dixon poll on Feb. 7 showed a Daschle lead of 50% to 44%, while a Rasmussen Reports poll on Feb. 11 showed Daschle ahead by only 48% to 45%. In other words, in spite of holding statewide office for 22 years and having near-universal name I.D., Daschle is not only unable to establish a decisive lead, but can't even poll a majority of the vote. Furthermore, Daschle has been one of Bush's harshest, most high-profile critics, yet needs Bush voters to cross over and vote for him. I know what this leads me to expect in this race.

[JohnnyZ]

Some possible Senators who could get caught off guard are Jim Bunning (R-KY), Christopher Bond (R-MO), Harry Reid (D-NV), and Barbara Boxer (D-CA).

But all of them are on guard and taking their races seriesly.

[chicagolady]

Thats correct Ryan from Illinois has not got a chance!
Glad to see that sometimes you are honest and truthfull!

[republicanwizard]

Polling data. Between the primary and the runoff, Kirk led Cornyn. Then the campaign and nature of the state kicked in, and Cornyn pulled ahead and stayed ahead.

[deport]

Okay...... Yes I guess there were some polls showing Kirk winning but I never even considered them legit in that Kirk was in a high profile primary race, part of the hyped 'Dream Team' and Cronyn was unopposed and got very little if any media coverage. I think I remember one poll from the DMN that had Kirk winning by a slight number with some 25% undecided...

[Defender2]

The demoCommiecRATs strings are pulled by these people:


http://www.dsausa.org/

and are governed by these people:

http://www.geoffmetcalf.com/wndarchive/19519.html

demoCommiecRATs = one truly sorry, pathetic, sick, sad, bad
Freak Show!!!!