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Rasmussen Report - Missouri
Rasmussen
| 6-3-04
| Rasmussen
Posted on 06/03/2004 12:29:13 PM PDT by TJC
Just Released...
Missouri:
Bush 44% Kerry 43%
TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
1
posted on
06/03/2004 12:29:15 PM PDT
by
TJC
To: TJC
Yawn.
Wake me when it is October.
2
posted on
06/03/2004 12:30:37 PM PDT
by
Lunatic Fringe
(John F-ing Kerry??? NO... F-ING... WAY!!!)
To: TJC
What was his last MO poll?
To: TJC
All the Kerry voters are in St. Louis and Kansas City.
4
posted on
06/03/2004 12:31:37 PM PDT
by
E. Pluribus Unum
(Drug prohibition laws help fund terrorism.)
To: Citizen of the Savage Nation
I think this is his first.
5
posted on
06/03/2004 12:33:27 PM PDT
by
TJC
To: Lunatic Fringe
I agree, but it is interesting to watch polls come in.
6
posted on
06/03/2004 12:35:02 PM PDT
by
TJC
To: TJC
Not bad. It will get better. W will win out there.
7
posted on
06/03/2004 12:42:42 PM PDT
by
jmaroneps37
( Kerry's not "one of us": catholicsagainstkerry.com. needs your help.)
To: TJC
Bush beat Gore by 4% in Missouri during the 2000 election. Gore was from a southern state that borders Missouri and had the advantage of running as a semi-incumbent.
Kerry is a Massachusetts liberal. The margin of victory for Bush in 2004 will be much higher. Bank it.
Right now, I'm working my heart out every day campaigning for Bush in the Show-Me-State.
8
posted on
06/03/2004 12:46:40 PM PDT
by
zencat
(Visit my profile for MAGNETIC Bush/Cheney '04 bumper stickers!)
To: Citizen of the Savage Nation
9
posted on
06/03/2004 1:00:29 PM PDT
by
donozark
(I have benefited unfairly from the Bush tax cuts and rebounding economy. I feel SOO guilty!)
To: TJC
Will probably cause Dales to downgrade to Slight Advantage for Bush.
Other than that... Yawn.
10
posted on
06/03/2004 1:03:57 PM PDT
by
rhinohunter
(Miller for Alaska Senate!!!)
To: TJC
Just Released...
Oregon:
Bush 46% Kerry 45%
11
posted on
06/03/2004 1:07:40 PM PDT
by
TJC
To: donozark; All
#9 should be "led."
3 things that will draw voters in Missouri this fall?
1.Partial birth abortion issue. People know where both Parties stand on this. Ruling by 9th Circus Court has issue back in the news. Right where Dims do not want it.
2.Gay marriage-even if it is on August ballot. This will "fire-up" voters, and clearly identify which Party represents what.
3)AW Ban "sunsets." Assuming it does-on Sept. 13. Voters here know, again, which Party represents what.
12
posted on
06/03/2004 1:08:13 PM PDT
by
donozark
(I have benefited unfairly from the Bush tax cuts and rebounding economy. I feel SOO guilty!)
To: TJC; Dales
13
posted on
06/03/2004 1:14:54 PM PDT
by
WinOne4TheGipper
(Third parties serve only to kill what they claim to promote and promote what they claim to oppose.)
To: rhinohunter
There is no way he loses Missouri. Bank it.
14
posted on
06/03/2004 1:39:20 PM PDT
by
Keith
(The American Press is in violation of Article III, Section 3. Time to prosecute.)
To: TJC
Rasmussen's state polls have been running +4 for Kerry (meaning if you add 4 for Bush you get results in line with the other polls). The other Missouri poll where Bush was ahead by 7 was an outlier (for Rasmussen -- one would have expected it to show Bush ahead by 1, as this one does).
IOW, Bush +1 translates to Bush +5, which is right at what one would expect.
Similarly, the latest reliable Oregon poll showed Bush ahead by 5. Rasmussen has Bush ahead by 1, so that also agrees (with the adjustment).
Also the last reliable Ohio poll has Bush ahead by 6. Rasmussen has Bush +2. So once again it adds up.
Simply add 4 to Rasmussen and you'll get a good estimate.
15
posted on
06/03/2004 2:00:49 PM PDT
by
TomEwall
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