BUSH BY A LANDSLIDE

National Review (The Corner) ^ | 8-3-04 | Peter Robinson

[Republican Red]

What was the prediction in 2000?

[veronica]

FYI...

[1Old Pro]

I don't need an economist's model to tell me Bush will win by a good margin.

I just open by eyes and ears to the non-filtered, non-biased news and it's clear.

[mlbford2]

But Zogby says Bush should start packing his bags and reserve a U-Haul for November.

[veronica]

The "click here" link will take you to the page with the hot links.

[Constitution Day]

Ping.

[raccoonradio]

But does it factor in people being brainwashed by Michael Moore and the liberal media? Wild-card.

[Old Sarge]

Bush will win in a landslide, capturing more than 57 percent of the vote.

A landslide of 57%? I've never heard it referred to as a landslide before.

[Uncle Miltie]

A:"The election is thus predicted to be close, with an edge for the Republicans."

[veronica]

"The actual outcome was that Gore received 50.3 percent of the two party vote. The last prediction on this site (October 27, 2000), which used actual values for all the economic variables, was that Gore would receive 50.8 percent of the two party vote. The error is thus 0.5 percentage points. The standard error of the equation is 2.15 percentage points, and so the actual error is well within one standard error. The presidential vote equation thus did extremely well."

[cripplecreek]

I started out thinking this election would be a Bush by a landslide win. Then i became much less sure and even worried that Bush could lose this one. Now I'm back to thinking it will be a Bush win by a fair margin of at least 10%.

[atomicpossum]

Not sure if this will bear out this time with other concerns skewing the mindset of the electorate....Then again, I'm still expecting a clear Bush win.

[Peach]

America is not going to elect a metrosexual gigolo. He is a faux war hero. A faux man. A pompous windbag. A liar and a hypocrite. Kerry will go down with a bang and cry when he falls.

[willgetsome]

Kerry by 2%

Too many folks are buying his "nuance" BS.

[Ditto]

A landslide of 57%? I've never heard it referred to as a landslide before.

That's a 14 point spread in a two-way race. That is a landslide.

[Rebelbase]

ELECTION 2004, Things liberals need to know:

[Bonaventure]

I agree, atomicpossum. This electoral cycle promises to be unusual. Bush should win, but not with 57% of the popular vote.

[EQAndyBuzz]

I only see one issue in this election. Who will win Ohio.

[Russ]

George Bush won a landslide in 1988 and got 53.4% of the vote. In 1984 Reagan won 58 to 40% and it was the biggest landslide in history. I would consider anything over 53% for GW a Kerry ass-whoopin'.