Posted on 08/13/2004 8:37:12 AM PDT by anymouse
Pre-Convention bounce for President Bush?
Nah, post convention slide for Frenchy. Although the slide may go for quite a while
Bush win with 58%. My prediction.
I made the same prediction in 2000. I have since gotten out of the prediction business.
It's encouraging, but it's within the margin of error. Also note that it's too early to make a determination with that slim of a margin. Also the accuracy of telephone polling has diminished with caller id.
Hate to tell them, but Rasmussen has had Bush at over 50% for a couple of months, and at 53-52% for more than a week. (I think he slipped one day to 51%)
Every time Prick Morris shows up on O'reilly discussing how Bush is in trouble some poll always comes out and shows the opposite. I am curious about the timing of this poll. The Dems should launch an investigation!
Yeah... it'll go higher after the Convention to around 60% and then half of that 10 point bounce will disappear by late October. The President will be re-elected with 54-55% of the popular vote.
It just the more Kerry is in the Limelight the worse he looks...The media is protecting his fragile campaign....If they spent just 5 days attacking him this contest would be over......
I'll give GW a 3-4 % bump after the convention and going into the debates a slight lead which he will be able to solidify after smacking Kerry and his multi face postion approach to politics...
My prediction again is BUSH 51% Kerry 46 % come Spetember....
Wonderful news!
If the electorate would pay attention to what's being disclosed about Kerry (no thanks to the liberal media), Bush's approval rating would soar. Unfortunatly, no one wanted to hear the negative reports about Clinton either. They disregarded them and said "character doesn't matter."
Rather than a poll tax, maybe we should give an IQ test before someone can vote. (However, that would have eliminated all the "confused" voters in Florida.
The Kerry Edwards Convention did not have a bounce. In fact, it appears as if it was more like a implosion or crash. Reminds me of those old NASA films from the 1950's when the rockets would explode on the launchpad. I remember one rocket shot up slightly, then started spinning round and round until it crashed and exploded--STM Kerry-Edwards Campaign is that rocket.
There aren't 5 people in Nevada who'll vote for Kerry because of Yucca Mountain who otherwise would've voted for Bush.
I agree with you. My buddy, who is a political independent, was a little weary about the swift boat vets. He even said Kerry's record should not even be mentioned. But after Kerry had to "re-phrase" this Christmas in Cambodia incident he says Kerry is starting to sound like a liar. I'm sure millions of Americans are having the same feeling
You can yell at me or celebrate with me in Nov. I stand by it.
I agree, that Kerry needs more limelight. But I stand by my prediction. Time will tell.
Bookmarked.
Bush win with 58%. My prediction.
I made the same prediction in 2000. I have since gotten out of the prediction business.
My own gut feeling is that Bush will win comfortably. But with my track record, I wouldn't bet money on it.
I won't yell at you if Bush loses. But if he wins, I will be happy to celebrate with you -- once I get my fill of schadenfreude by watching the suicide watch at DU.
Has Morris EVER made a correct prediction? It seems to me he's always wrong and owing Bill O'Really a big dinner! Snicker.
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