Posted on 08/27/2004 7:27:27 AM PDT by EllaMinnow
A new poll shows some possible effects.
A new Gallup poll provides what might be the best measure so far of the effect the Swift Boat controversy is having on Sen. John Kerry's presidential candidacy.
The poll, conducted August 23-25, shows Kerry's unfavorable rating at its highest point since Gallup began measuring Kerry's performance in February 1999. Forty percent of those surveyed have an unfavorable opinion of Kerry, compared to 52 percent who have a favorable opinion. Kerry's favorable rating is lower than the 54 percent of those surveyed who have a favorable opinion of President George W. Bush.
From late March until early August, Kerry's unfavorable rating hovered in the mid-30s. It was 37 percent in a poll taken July 30-August 1. In a survey taken July 8-11, it was 34 percent. Before that, it was even lower. In mid-February, when Kerry locked up the Democratic nomination, his unfavorable rating was 26 percent.
Part of the increase is the natural result of Kerry's becoming well known. Candidates with little national recognition normally have very low favorable and unfavorable ratings. In February 1999, for example, Kerry's unfavorable rating was nine percent.
But the recent increase in Kerry's unfavorable rating is likely the result of something else a combination of ads aired by the group Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, negative ads by the Bush campaign, and the simple fact that the public has had more chances to see Kerry, leading some to decide they dislike him.
The flip side of the increase in Kerry's unfavorable rating is the decrease in his favorable rating. In mid-February, 60 percent of those surveyed by Gallup rated Kerry favorably. By July, it was 56 percent. In the new poll, it is 52 percent.
Gallup's research places President Bush's favorable rating at 54 percent and his unfavorable rating at 44 percent. The president's unfavorable rating has hovered in the mid-40s for much of this year; it was in the 30s for much of 2003.
That trend is not unusual. This is, after all, an election year. In addition, voters have had four years to form opinions about the president, and a substantial number of them do not like him. What is likely to encourage Republican strategists, however, is the prospect that, if the present polling trends continue, Kerry's unfavorable rating might equal, or perhaps even surpass, Bush's well before Election Day.
Maybe people are waking up to the fact of what a piece of lying shinola Kerry is.
Kerry is just plain unlikable.
TOP OF JAPANESE NEWS IN REPORTS ON AMERICA. ATTRIBUTING THE REVERSAL OF FORTUNES TO THE "AMERCIAN VETERAN'S OF VIETNAM GROUP'S INJURY ADVERTISEMENTS AGAINST KERRY":
Today's TV in Japan:
Let us hope so. What the left produces as "presidential material" is off the scale...ala Clinton and Gore as well.
Humor: I hear Kerry has decided to retract his invitation to Bush to debate. In stead, he will debate himself, since he on every side of every issue...would that not be hilarious? --- I am suprised some clever cartoonist has not picked up on that one!!!!!
Kerry is just plain unlikable.
Agreed. Gore became a different character for each debate. He tried to treat Bush like a simpleton and came off like an ass. What kind of advice do you think Kerry will get from his handlers. Will he try to be a tough guy with lots of moral indignation? Will he bring up lots of victims? (I was talking to a poor minority mom who lost her health insurance becuase of tax cuts for your wealthy buddies...) Will he try to be "nuanced" by contradicting himself (voted for before voting against - no simple answers, I'm the sensitive guy you need)? What kind of "same old, same old" game plan will they try?
Gallup's research places President Bush's favorable rating at 54 percent and his unfavorable rating at 44 percent. The president's unfavorable rating has hovered in the mid-40s for much of this year; it was in the 30s for much of 2003.
That trend is not unusual. This is, after all, an election year. In addition, voters have had four years to form opinions about the president, and a substantial number of them do not like him. What is likely to encourage Republican strategists, however, is the prospect that, if the present polling trends continue, Kerry's unfavorable rating might equal, or perhaps even surpass, Bush's well before Election Day.
This is really wonderful news. The favorability ratings have already tipped in President Bush's favor, and Kerry unfavorability ratings can only climb.
shows Kerry's unfavorable rating at its highest point
Huh?
He will try all of the above and come off looking like a moron.
Many FReepers are requesting this EXPOSE KERRY'S FRAUD SWIFT BOAT VETERANS FOR TRUTH sticker.
They are being made by a disabled vet FReeper who has a bone to pick with Kerry, like we all do!
Large $20 (24" Wide 12" Tall) like mine
Small $10 (12" Wide 6" Tall)
Profits go to SwiftVets.com
FReep mail for details.
The Kerry damage report is bad....it is very VERY BAD!
Bottom line is since the DNC Convention, Kerry has been completely and totally on the defensive side.
And as any fighter pilot (like the President) knows, once your on the defensive, you've already lost the fight.
I don't see Kerry recovering from the past month. The only thing left is to publicize his 18 year voting record, and thats the ballgame.
Any favorable/unfavorable numbers for Laura and Terazzzzzzzzzah?
"Maybe people are waking up to the fact of what a piece of lying shinola Kerry is."
And it shows!
New swing-state figures!
Missouri Bush 46% Kerry 44%
Wisconsin Bush 48% Kerry 44%
Ohio Bush 49% Kerry 44%
Not in this one, but I saw something the other day. Laura's favorabilities are around 70 or 80%, the Widow Heinz's are in the teens or 20s.
For self-inflicted political wounds, the DNC and Kerry definitely deserve some sort of medal - and it ought to come with a cluster!
I think that the voting record will become very important in October, but I think September will be dominated by Kery's anti-war activities in the early 70s, especially his testimony to the senate.
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