Posted on 09/14/2004 7:15:44 AM PDT by tellw
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
If Western Europeans Could Vote in U.S. Presidential Election, Kerry Would Lead Bush by 6-to-1 Majority:
Less than 20 percent of adults in each of five largest countries support Bush
Rochester, N.Y. and London – 14 September, 2004 – A new survey by HI Europe conducted in the five largest European countries finds that if Europeans could vote in the U.S. elections, they would currently prefer John Kerry over George W. Bush by a massive 6-to-1 majority. However, the survey also finds that many adults (27%) in these countries are undecided about whom they would vote for.
These are the results of a five-nation survey of adults (aged 16 and over) conducted by HI Europe, based on 1,032 interviews in Great Britain, 1,011 in France, 1,056 in Germany, 1,028 in Italy, and 974 in Spain. The surveys, which were conducted online between August 11 and 17, 2004, were designed to be representative of all adults in each country.
In three countries, President Bush is supported by less than seven percent (7%) of adults. The largest majorities who choose Kerry over Bush were found in Germany (69% to 6%), France (63% to 4%) and Spain (57% to 5%).
In Italy, where Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has been a strong supporter of President Bush, Kerry has a 52 percent to 18 percent majority.
In Britain, where Prime Minister Tony Blair has been the strongest and most visible supporter of the war in Iraq, Kerry leads Bush by a more modest 36 percent to 12 percent plurality, with fully 45 percent still undecided.
Not only do most European adults prefer Kerry over Bush, they also believe (by 62% to 16%) that Kerry will defeat Bush. These results suggest that most Europeans have not been following the U.S. elections very closely, as Kerry has not enjoyed a large lead in any American poll, and most polls have shown the race to be close or have given President Bush the lead.
Methodology
This survey was conducted online by HI Europe between August 11 and 17, 2004, among the following nationwide cross sections of adults aged 16 and over: 1,032 in Great Britain; 1,011 in France; 1,056 in Germany; 1,028 in Italy and 974 in Spain. Figures for region, age, sex, education and income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
In theory, with probability samples of these sizes, one could say with 95 percent certainty that the results in each: Great Britain, France, Germany, Spain and Italy have a statistical precision of plus or minus 3 percentage points of what they would be if the entire adult populations in those countries had been polled with complete accuracy.
Unfortunately, there are several other possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be interviewed (non-response), question wording and question order, and weighting. It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. These online samples were not probability samples.
Our founding fathers had the wisdom to break from these kooks and cut the umbilical cord.
they wouldn't be Western Europeans, they'd be Americans.
An aside; the Presidential Election of Burundi is coming up, get your absentee ballots now. /sarcasm
I just heard on CNBC that the money managers who last month were saying Kerry would win are now saying Bush
I vote for Lance Armstrong.
Old Europe, like the Old Media........is irrelevant.
Lets not forget our Canadian brothers to the north. Give the eastern provinces to the french and the western provinces to the U.S. Beyond that, the only real friend we have resides at #10. The rest want us destroyed.
The ammoral Europeans and the American Demorat party, a perfect match.
Yep, my dog loves snausages, you nailed it. Was that likely barkers? LOL
What about the Americans who will vote from these countries? Anybody know the numbers?
Still...good thing they can't vote here, eh?
I was in Ireland last spring and watched what passes for "News" there. On Sky News -people all said it was the "conservative" news channel - there was a segment on some American political story, and the 2 interviews were with........wait for it..........Charlie Rangel and Jim McDermitt.
As you can plainly see, the Europeans make sure they get both sides of the story. </sarcasm>
This just convinces me more than ever that GW is the man for the job. You piss Europe off, you must be doing something right!
Actually, this is pretty good news! Western Europe is full of left-wingnuts who want everything for free.
They enjoy their freedom, but won't fight for it.
Just like Senator Kerry, those countries are towers of jello. Quel surpise!
It's always important to note in these discussions of foreigners, that our ancestors left everything they had in those countries to come here. There is a reason that people leave everyone and everything they've ever known to move to a strange land. (Mostly that it sucked living over there.)
Liberty, I swear I didn't read your post before I posted my reply. You sure we aren't kin? LOL
What superscript? I don't see any superscript!
P.S. - how do I get Liquid Paper™ off a computer screen?
Well, that's why I'm glad to be an American.
Who knows? Maybe the same number who would vote for Kerry if they could.
This idiocy is more evidence that Europeans are a long way behind us on the saturation-media learning curve. Skepticism and suspicion of the media barely exist in Europe, so it is natural that the masses would accept media prejudices as gospel.
They are still in the late 1960s in many respects, comparable to the time when the socialist traitor Walter Cronkite was the "most trusted man in America."
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