Posted on 09/24/2004 4:22:28 AM PDT by VeniVidiVici
000
WTNT31 KNHC 240833
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 24 2004
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
WE ARE REMINDED THAT FROM SUNDOWN TONIGHT UNTIL SUNDOWN SATURDAY IS YOM KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY. YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE LISTENING TO RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF THE HURRICANE SITUATION.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.6 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES... 550 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE.
TIDES WILL GRADUALLY BE RISING IN THE WARNED AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...26.1 N... 71.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 969 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
Very weary. This is a sudden storm; a lot of people still have their plywood up (like me...). No panicking here. If you want to live in the Sunshine State, you have to pay the price. One price is hurricane season. The other price is liberal immigration from the North.
No rest for the weary.
Be Seeing You,
Chris
I left my boards up too. I also didn't have to do much in the way of replenishing other supplies :-)
Hey, at least I get to try out my new weather gear. Put up remote sensors for anemometer, barometer and rain gauge.
High pressure yesterday - 1015
Current pressure - 1011
This should keep me occupied ;-)
Shutters up, beer in the fridge, generator fueled, plenty of propane and charcoal, nothing left to do but laugh at folks in the paper who are blaming Bush for the hurricanes.
My camping gear is still out. Managed to find a single gallon can of Coleman gas yesterday. Plenty of D batteries to keep my XM Satellite Radio up and running with the Fox News audio feed!
I went to WalMart late last night and I was shocked, shocked I tell you, at the amount of Coleman gas, propane and flashlights still on the shelves. All the 'D' batteries were gone though.
Heck, all that stuff was gone days before Frances and Ivan.
I need to put my generator thru its paces today. Hook up my mini-fridge to it and let it run. At least I still have tons of fuel left from when Ivan bypassed.
Best of luck to all of you down there riding out yet another one. Stay safe - especially during and afterwards.
Well, what sucks is that I took down the boards over the sliding glass doors. I'm down here in Sunrise, just west of Ft. Lauderdale. I don't think we're going to get a direct Breakfast slam from this thing, but I do have charcoal, some food, flashlights, etc. I suspect we'll end up getting TS force winds again. The only pain is that when all this is done, my brother in law and I will have to go up and do some shingle repair. Be Seeing You,
Chris
I bought a box of tapcons and one of deck screws yesterday, just in case.
My shutters are still up too, mostly, but some of the old fittings have failed, so I want to be ready to reinforce them if Jeanne, named after my wife, decides to come here.
I am seriesly thinking about a beer. This hurricane season in going to drive me to drink, or to religion, or maybe to both!
LOL! Does this mean she'll come and stay awhile or come, wipe you out and then leave in a huff? :-)
I bought tapcons a few days ago. Don't know why other than I couldn't find a one near Frances time. I had to use masonry nails. What a pita.
I think it may say something with regards to unpredictability...
Ha! They are not mutually exclusive!
...JEANNE CONTINUING TO MOVE WESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI... ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ON THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JEANNE.
WE ARE REMINDED THAT FROM SUNDOWN TONIGHT UNTIL SUNDOWN SATURDAY IS YOM KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY. YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE LISTENING TO RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF THE HURRICANE SITUATION.
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES...505 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE NEAR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE.
TIDES WILL GRADUALLY BE RISING IN THE WARNED AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...26.1 N... 72.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 969 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
You might be a Floridian if …
You have more than 20 C and D batteries in your kitchen drawer.
The freezer in your garage is full of homemade ice.
You flinch when you are introduced to a person named Charley, Frances or Ivan.
You find yourself dropping words like "millibar" and "convection" into
everyday conversation.
Your pantry contains more than 10 cans of Spaghetti Os.
Making coffee on your propane grill does not seem like an odd thing to do.
You are thinking of repainting your house to match the plywood covering your
windows.
When describing your house to a prospective buyer, you say it has three
bedrooms, two baths and one safe place.
You are on a first-name basis with the cashier at Home Depot.
You are delighted to pay $2 for a gallon of unleaded.
The road leading to your house has been declared a No-Wake Zone.
You decide that your patio furniture looks better on the bottom of the pool.
You have the number for FEMA on your speed dialer.
You own more than three large coolers.
You can wish that other people get hit by a hurricane and not feel the least
bit guilty about it.
Three months ago you couldn't hang a shower curtain; today you can assemble a
portable generator by candlelight.
You catch a 5-pound catfish. In your driveway.
You can recite from memory whole portions of your homeowner's insurance
policy.
At cocktail parties, women are attracted to the guy with the biggest chain
saw.
You have had tuna fish more than 5 days in a row.
There is a roll of tar paper in your garage.
You can rattle off the names of three or more meteorologists who work at the
Weather Channel.
Someone comes to your door to tell you they found your roof.
Ice is a valid topic of conversation.
Relocating to North Dakota does not seem like such a crazy idea.
What kind of weather station did you buy?
I almost got a divorce over my weather station collection ;)
Don't tell me they are all about to come back. I haven't got my house returned to order yet. Plus, my hubby and I were looking forward to some..hmm...uh...quiet time.
We DO NOT NEED this again!!!!
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