Posted on 09/30/2004 5:07:47 PM PDT by JohnnyZ
U.S. Senate candidates Erskine Bowles and Richard Burr are in a full court press. Two months ago, a WRAL News poll gave Bowles a commanding 10 point lead. After the latest poll, new numbers show only one point separates the two candidates with 11 percent undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at wral.com ...
Supposedly there a GOP-sponsored poll by POS that also shows 45-44 Bowles; it's listed on RealClearPolitics.
The SurveyUSA polls (showed +10 Bowles a few weeks ago but also showed Bush only +4) jump around a lot, as you know, and the Research2000 poll showed Bowles up 9 but Bush only up 6 and Ballantine trailing badly ~ seems like a Dem-friendly sample.
Mason-Dixon is the most accurate and shows Bush up 9%, which makes sense.
Also Burr sent out an email before this Mason-Dixon poll saying the race was 1-4 points in Bowles' favor.
That was the Argus poll and has always skewed left. Other polls show Thune with a +3 advantage. Look for W to land in Souix Falls around October 29th. Wanna bet?
There seems to be a massive shift to the GOP at all levels and in all races.
I'm not sure.
Interesting development. Negative ads to work well.
The GOP ran 13% ahead of its national numbers in North Carolina in the Presidential elections of 1996 and 2000. With Edwards on the Dem ticket, it might be asking a bit much to match that performance, but a differential of 8 to 10% seems to me to be doable, and that could be enough to pull Burr in -- maybe Ballantine, too, in the gubernatorial race. Especially if that 8 to 10% differential is on top of a national margin of a few percentage points in President Bush's favor.
Coattails are important. Remember Ronald Reagan pulling John East (let's face it, a weak candidate) through in 1980; remember G.H.W. Bush, even as he lost his re-election bid, pulling Lauch Faircloth (another weak candidate) through in 1992. No GOP Senate candidate in North Carolina has lost in a Presidential election year since 1968.
Thanks for some good news. If the President can get in here a time or two and make some appearances on Burr's behalf (and I'm sure he will) Burr stands to win this thing.
The Republicans are going to control the Congress and the White House. I don't know why North Carolina would want to be represented by a liberal Democrat. He'd spend all his time merely trying to block the Republicans. He'd not get anything done.
They probably haven't factored in the rats voter fraud
strategy. When you're dealing with scum you have to
work twice as hard to win.
Great news. Where do I go to donate and send this election home?
Great news. Where do I go to donate and send this election home?
BURR *WILL* FORGE AHEAD.
Take it to the bank, my FRiend.
Contribute to the Richard Burr Campaign
If you have any problems, please FRmail me.
Yahoo! Go Burr!
This is encouraging. But a few days ago, I saw a poll in USA Today which showed Bowles leading by 49% to 40%. I think that Bowles is still the slight favorite.
This is encouraging. But a few days ago, I saw a poll in USA Today which showed Bowles leading by 49% to 40%. I think that Bowles is still the slight favorite.
I think we could also add the mother of them all, the very popular Jim Hunt losing to Jesse Helms in the 1984 Reagan landslide. If Hunt couldn't do it, Bowles would have even less of a chance.
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