Posted on 10/15/2004 9:13:31 AM PDT by slowhand520
With all the polls today I think the "Big Mo" is coming our way
Kerry has no way to recoup, this is it for Kerry.
Best of all, his extra month on the $70 million now reaches crunch time. He's Out Of Money.
I'm going to give my opinion on something. If you see any poll that has Nader with more than 1% of the vote, the poll has way too many liberals in it. Or conservatives are messing with the pollsters heads.
Only slight negative is that this is unchanged from yesterday.
I'd like to see the internals of this. Looks like the 4 point spread is reliable. Good news.
The big MO is with GWB. Rasmussen shows it at 49.0 to 45.5 as of today and Zogby has it at 48 to 44. Both pollsters state that the undecideds are moving to the President.
Guess Kerry should have lied and said he loved his wife.
somewhere, somehow, Gallup is revising mathematical models and demographic algoritms to be able to show a Kerry lead pulling away before the sunday news shows... Bet Me.
BBTTT!
Bush Bounce to the top!
There is always that 30 year-old DUI they could bring up on election eve. Oh wait, they already tried that trick.
Lets let the Mary Cheney Gaffe start snow balling and I think W will increase his lead. Everytime Dick Morris says Bush is in trouble there is always a poll that shows the opposite.
Which is typical in a Presidential election.
Kerry lost the election Wednesday night.
One thing of note on the site, the poll is a 4-day rolling average. That seems kinda high to me, 3-day seems like a good compromise to catch trends and not blip all over the map too. But this means that Bush is holding steady with some old data in there too, so he could easily gain ground when all new days roll into the poll.
"October 11-14 tracking poll was conducted with 810 likely voters."
From your lips to God's ears.
Having said that, let's be careful...we know that national polls are not accurate indicators of the state of this race. Give the tendencies of the pollsters and their clients, it would not be suprising to see the polls swing to Kerry.
What matters is what is happening in the States with GOTV and where the candidates are campaigning.
Right now, those observations favor us - the battle is being fought, primarily, in states that Gore won in 2000.
That's a sucker bet. :)
You're right on the money. I'd wager that Zogby has Kerry back in the lead by next Friday.
Looks like the markets are coming back too
DON'T RELAX
I said don't get too down when we were down and now im saying dont get too up
KEEP FIGHTING
That's 3 showing Bush leading..is that why kerry is shouting 'draft'?
It is good to see the polls moving our way; HOWEVER, let us not get over-confident. Remeber all those disgusting Democratic 527's still have a lot of money and the MSM is in sheer panic (Katie Couric is despondent) that they will try anything to prop up their puppet. I also think they the MaryGate (Mary Cheney gaffe) is hurting Kerry. Also, I have high hopes that the Swift Vets and other anti-Kerry VIetnam Vets have the final blow ready to give him the coup d'grace and send Kerry into a tailspin.
yep shoulda said he loved her, but instead he said he loves his mommy more. Funny, his mom's last words were “Integrity”, Integrity. Integrity”. She had to tell him three times not to lie.
In unseating a sitting Prsident, a tie isn't good enough. The Challenger must deliver a knockout. In spite of the propaganda produced by the MSM, I think it's obvious that Kerry tried and failed to deliver a knockout during the debates. He has nothing left. Kerry's peaked, and it's all downhill from here.
"She had to tell him three times not to lie."
I guess three times wasn't enough.
I sent this post to you, did you get it? We need this kinda stuff in MD.
"There was a great article in the atlantic (lib mag my wife reads) about Rove. The writer whines all about Rove’s tricks, but they work and he is a genius. He got a rumor started about this dem judge who gave a lot of money to a charity for kids, so they took those pictures of the judge with the kids and said he was a gay pedophile. It worked.
Check it out: http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200411/green
"
Haven't had the chance to read all the posts yet.
Perhaps we've met?
Nah. I'm not really active as a volunteer or anything But I read some of your comments about Keyes you said you work on a lot of campaigns and in MD doing special ops, reminded me of Rove. I agreed with the stuff you said about Keyes and Mike Steele. Shame that one nutcase doesn't get it. Anyway, just like bloggin away. We gotta be real about 2006 gonna be tough. Might need to play dirty. Most recent campaign activity: Me and my buddies went to the dem debate party at a bar in baltimore heckling Kerry, O'Malley and all the other dems kept giving us dirty looks, we just kept heckling like we were at an O's game.
You may want to keep the "might want to play dirty" comments to private email exchanges! Anyway, what makes you think some of those things don't or haven't occurred?
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Re: TIPP Tracking poll...
From NCPAC | 10/18/2004 7:14:44 AM PDT new Most people who write on this site are cool. However, a lot of lurkers peek in to see what the Right is saying. Especially after "Rathergate," FreeRepublic is one of the most watched blog/political sites in the world. As for MO'M, his day is coming. A lot of the reason that everyone knows his history is because of what has gone on beneath the surface.
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Re: TIPP Tracking poll..
From NCPAC | 10/18/2004 9:15:03 AM PDT replied FreeRepublic is the site that actually broke the "Rathergate" story. The first person to openly state the memos concerning GWB were forgeries was an FR poster named (I think) Buckhead.
Anyone can lurk on these boards and read what everyone is writing - except in private emails. Private emails are private.
I don't look for the MO'M story to hit for a little bit yet. Chances are Duncan will bring that hammer out when they start beating the hell out of one another in the Dem primary for Governor. However, a lot of what everyone knows about MO'M is because of work that has occurred. It's been a wild ride.
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Re: TIPP Tracking poll…
From NCPAC | 10/19/2004 3:44:04 AM PDT replied A few folks put in a lot of effort to ensure the MO'M story got some real float.
Did not see the story about the vet suing Sinclair. I'm not surprised to hear it's happening, though. There's always a patsy somewhere willing to do the BS work for the wrong side.
I do forsee Duncan and MO'M beating each other to a pulp. Hell, at this point I hope it's MO'M who wins the primary.
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Re: TIPP Tracking poll…
From NCPAC | 10/19/2004 3:41:51 PM PDT replied The MO'M story still does have float - so much so that at the premier of "Engine 49" in Baltimore, MO'M and Katie (his wife) were walking around telling the Governor and anyone who would listen that they were "Still together." That's all they'd say - the 'happy couple' would walk up to whomever and say "We're still together."
Further, certain reporters have the story and are holding it - at least for now.
I saw Lieberman got canned. Then I heard (don't know whether it's true) that Sinclair caved under pressure and are not mandating that their stations air "Stolen Honor." Sinclair's Mark Hyman is a protege of MD Governor Ehrlich. Ehrlich helped Hyman land the job at Sinclair.
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For the record, this thread is linked to Chip Franklin's WBAL webpage. [Baltimore 9-12am talkshow host.]
And further for the record the poster MD4BUSH appears to have posted private freepmails on the forum in an attempt to provide more "for the record".
Sure looks like a set up to me
Are these private freepmails?
That would be the word.
A note to reporters visiting Free Republic:
Phones are used for 911, and phone sex
TV is used for serious news, and Jerry Springer
Free Republic broke the Dan Rather story, and has Omally rumors.
Before you start the next big Free Republic sucks story, realize it for what it is.
BTW-Doesn't the Washington Post run ads for message parlors? Check their sports page.
I guess we can demonize them too now.
Another note to reporters - First of all, it is an ethical no-no on this forum to post private freepmails in the open forum without the permission of the sender. And second, these could be just as bogus as the Dan Rather memos, because we have no link proving that the posters in question either sent or received these.
Imagine that. Someone posts alleged freepmails from a freeper in the news on a very old forum thread. And lo and behold, the press finds it immediately.
MD4Bush, I sure hope you don't have any skeletons in your closet. Because you just set yourself up for the Gannon treatment.
Why the HELL does MD4Bush still have posting right?!
Looks more like a smear campaign to me.
MD4Bush, I sure hope you don't have any skeletons in your closet. Because you just set yourself up for the Gannon treatment.
What a coward....it'll be quite interesting to watch who MD4BUSH tries to bring down with him after he's be outed....it will happen.
That will probably change. From all appearances, he was
That will probably change. From all appearances, he was subtly staking NCPAC - check his posting history.
Re: TIPP Tracking poll...
From NCPAC | 10/15/2004 2:08:44 PM PDT replied
However, this is how a freepmail reply is formatted:
Re: XXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
From XXXXXXX | 02/10/2005 5:42:31 PM EST read
Not, replied, read. Plus MD4Bush put in formatting that is not available in freepmails.
Smoked one out. How many other moles are out there?
Does anyone think that JimRob should waive his privacy policy in this case and release the identity of MD4Bush, since the poster obviously was acting in bad faith? We should discuss the pros and cons of this.
I believe that users' IDs are subpoenable with search warrants. So the ethics of voluntarily IDing someone who has acted in truly bad faith, has contacted other media with FReepmails, and the like, are to me justifiable. MD4BUSH is no longer someone who I would protect via the privacy policy. Things have their limits.
Notice something else about his three posts of alleged freepmails from NCPAC? In all three cases, MD4Bush posted them to himself. Someone searching for posts from NCPAC via a screenname lookup for NCPAC would not have found these posts. Yet WBAL had these linked shortly after MD4Bush posted them. Which to me is a strong indication that MD4Bush posted them and then tipped off reporters as to where they were.
Wow. Thanks for noting this. Even more evil than I had imagined. Shameful! Utterly shamful!
I wholeheartedly agree.
This may be the smoking gun:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1300213/posts
Posted by MD4Bush to NCPAC
On News/Activism 12/13/2004 7:21:28 AM PST 71 of 149
Amazing that they could take Kerick down sooooo easily-- yet O'Malley still roams unscathed. Should send a note to Kerick, Baltimore is looking for a Police commissioner, it doesn't matter if you cheat on your wife.
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I hate John Kerry and I'm sick of his lies. This is the most important election in history and George bush must win. If not the Islamic Terrorists will win, there will be more attacks on the states.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1244087/posts
Karl Rove on the Tony Snow Show (Confident!)
Posted by MD4Bush to NCPAC
On News/Activism 10/14/2004 1:15:13 PM PDT ? 100 of 102
There was a great article in the atlantic (lib mag my wife reads) about Rove. The writer whines all about Rove?s tricks, but they work and he is a genius. He got a rumor started about this dem judge who gave a lot of money to a charity for kids, so they took those pictures of the judge with the kids and said he was a gay pedophile. It worked.
Check it out: http://www.theatlantic.com/doc/200411/green
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1174344/posts
O'Malley Rumours
Posted by MD4Bush to Dahoser
On News/Activism 10/08/2004 8:30:19 AM PDT ? 75 of 80
Yeah, he cheats on his wife. I heard that he is not allowed in the house and is living in some new high-rise near city hall. He's is a young arrogant punk for sure. I can't him, he is like Slick-Willy.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1232358/posts
Debate #1: How Did They Do?
Posted by MD4Bush to NCPAC
On News/Activism 10/07/2004 1:22:16 PM PDT ? 58 of 58
You are right about the "yes men", What can we expect this friday as far as the questions go... Do you know? Will it be a snoozer? Chenney kicked Edwards butt. It was like "Who do you want a heart beat away from the prez, Mickey mouse or George Patton. Of course, CBS (might as well call them DNC) said Edwards won.
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