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New Poll - Bush Kerry Tied in New Jersey W46 K46 N2
Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/14/04 | Fairleigh Dickinson University

Posted on 10/15/2004 1:13:06 PM PDT by Bell407Pilot

Bush and Kerry Tied in New Jersey 46-46.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: battleground; kewl; polls; purplestates
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1 posted on 10/15/2004 1:13:07 PM PDT by Bell407Pilot
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To: Bell407Pilot

Michael M. Bates: My Side of the Swamp

2 posted on 10/15/2004 1:13:52 PM PDT by Mike Bates (Just in time for your Halloween gift giving needs: THE book.)
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To: Bell407Pilot

The "global test" doesn't pass in NJ, apparently.


3 posted on 10/15/2004 1:14:18 PM PDT by My2Cents (http://www.conservativesforbush.com)
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To: My2Cents

Bush is on Kerry's heels in Wisconsin, Iowa and other stops...What are the size of his crowds compared to Kerry's? Anyone got a bead on this?

nick


4 posted on 10/15/2004 1:15:12 PM PDT by nikos1121
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To: Bell407Pilot

If Pres. Bush picks up NJ, Kerry is toast.... French Toast.


5 posted on 10/15/2004 1:15:56 PM PDT by 6SJ7
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To: Bell407Pilot

The whole McGreevey/Democratic Party mess has left a bad taste in people's mouths.


6 posted on 10/15/2004 1:16:06 PM PDT by Publius
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To: nikos1121

Ws speech in Arizona drew 30,000+


7 posted on 10/15/2004 1:16:24 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: Bell407Pilot

Kerry's campaign is in meltdown mode.


8 posted on 10/15/2004 1:16:24 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: Bell407Pilot

Bush gains in Garden State

see also:
Tabular Results
Survey Details
Republican Response
Democratic Response

The race for New Jersey’s 15 electoral votes remains closer than expected, according to the most recent results from Fairleigh Dickinson University’s New Jersey tracking poll. Kerry leads among decided voters by 44%-42%, but when leaners are included the race evens out at 46%-46% with 6% undecided and 2% for third party candidates.

“The President still has an uphill struggle in this Democratic-leaning state,” said Larson, professor of political science at Fairleigh Dickinson University and survey analyst for PublicMind. “He has to struggle against a majority who think the country is on the wrong track, a majority who think the war in Iraq was a mistake, and a majority who give him low ratings for both the economy and foreign policy.”

A majority (54%) of New Jersey’s likely voters continue to say the country “has gotten off on the wrong track” while only about a third (36%) say it’s headed in the right direction. A majority (53%) rate the President’s overall performance as President as “only fair” or “poor” against 44% who rate him as “good” or “excellent.” Likewise, a majority (53%) rate his handling of foreign policy as only fair or poor while 44% say good or excellent. A similar majority (54%) say the military effort in Iraq is going “not too well” or “not well at all.” And a majority (53%) continue to say that the U.S. action against Iraq was “a mistake.”

Nonetheless, “national security and the war on terror” outpaces every other issue as “most important” and on that issue Bush outpaces Kerry as the better candidate by 67%-26%. “It may be that voters’ concerns with terrorism are causing them to cut the President some slack on other issues,” added Larson.

The PublicMind tracking poll of 508 likely voters was conducted from Oct. 8 through Oct. 14 and has a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.

http://publicmind.fdu.edu/bkfriday/


9 posted on 10/15/2004 1:16:24 PM PDT by demlosers ( ONI: “Lieutenant Kerry wasn’t cleared to know what time it was!”)
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To: nikos1121

I'm really worried about Flordia and Ohio


10 posted on 10/15/2004 1:16:33 PM PDT by patriciamary
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To: 6SJ7
If Pres. Bush picks up NJ, Kerry is toast....


11 posted on 10/15/2004 1:16:56 PM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Bell407Pilot
Come on NEW JERSEY! Remember your dead on 9-11. YOU KNOW you cannot trust our future to John Kerry.
12 posted on 10/15/2004 1:17:30 PM PDT by MNJohnnie (Vote Bush 2004-We cannot survive a 9-10 President in a 9-11 World)
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To: demlosers
"Nonetheless, “national security and the war on terror” outpaces every other issue as “most important” and on that issue Bush outpaces Kerry as the better candidate by 67%-26%. “It may be that voters’ concerns with terrorism are causing them to cut the President some slack on other issues,” added Larson."

YA THINK????

13 posted on 10/15/2004 1:18:07 PM PDT by Dems_R_Losers (Proud to be a Reagan Alumna!)
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To: Bell407Pilot

If the current CNN/Gallup poll at realclearpolitics is replaced by a new one showing Bush ahead, its going to change the complexion of the race. MSM will have a harder time spinning the race as "neck and neck."


14 posted on 10/15/2004 1:18:15 PM PDT by Homer_J_Simpson (Ho, Ho, Ho Chi Minh/Loves John Kerry so vote him in!)
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NJ!!!!!
I am surprised it's even, but I'm not gonna complain.
every national poll i see says bush leads among women voters, as well as among men voters....who else is there??
15 posted on 10/15/2004 1:18:15 PM PDT by jer2911tx (john kerry doesn't like rice, or as he calls it 'weapons of ass destruction')
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To: Publius

Ground zero reflux?


16 posted on 10/15/2004 1:18:34 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (If it talks like a liberal, votes like a liberal and spends like a liberal, it's a liberal.)
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To: MNJohnnie

Id love to see a surprise visit to california by bush if there is any chance at winning that state...

kerry is one by one giving up his once held states...

nick


17 posted on 10/15/2004 1:18:36 PM PDT by nikos1121
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To: dead

dead - that photoshop is CRAZY! Can I use it?


18 posted on 10/15/2004 1:18:53 PM PDT by Dems_R_Losers (Proud to be a Reagan Alumna!)
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To: Bell407Pilot

WOW! I really didn't expect this. This really changes the dynamics of this election. The kerry campaign is down to a bunch of "if's".


19 posted on 10/15/2004 1:19:34 PM PDT by bad company (Global test? Damn I forgot to study.)
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To: nikos1121

"Bush is on Kerry's heels in Wisconsin, Iowa and other stops...What are the size of his crowds compared to Kerry's? Anyone got a bead on this? "

I think his crowds are bigger everyplace he goes right?

nick


20 posted on 10/15/2004 1:19:46 PM PDT by nikos1121
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