'Swifties' make $4.7 million ad buy

United Press International ^ | 10/21/2004 | UPI

[patriciaruth]

It's possible a lot of the new registrants are fakes made up by those who were paid $2 per by the Dems.

The question is whether these fakes are going to be voted by people showing up and claiming to be the fake person.

Or whether a Republican is going to show up and vote and not know in a showdown that his vote will be tossed because his signature doesn't match the one on the new registration card. (Someone changed him to Democrat to collect $2, and signed a card with a fake signature.)

[Future Useless Eater]

I agree with the Swifties choices and ad-purchase amounts

What they will help do is cement Bush's lead and keep it from
eroding with the last minute slimeball attacks and dirty tricks
we KNOW will come.

The RATS don't have 10,000 election attorneys spread around
in mostly those two states just to assure voters. They are
there to MAKE trouble.

And Florida was their particular sore spot last time. They
will give their left arm to win there. It would be their
vindication and trophy.

[patriciaruth]

The 2002 Gubernatorial race in Florida was back when President Bush had high approval numbers, before we went into Iraq and before the Dems began their Bush lied/Iraq is a mess campaign/Abu Ghraib campaign.

We can't rely on the mood of an electorate 2 years ago. A lot of blood has flowed under the bridge since then.

[LoyalAmerican69]

I know - I'm a little worried about things. All the Pollyannas around here predicting a Bush landslide look pretty silly now. I don't undersatnd you're comment. Why they look silly? And whay are you calling them parrots? SBVT are just an outcropping of the truth and why Bush will win big. Please explain.

[patriciaruth]

I have some extra Bush/Cheney bumperstickers. Could you use them if I sent them to you?

[Yaelle]

And I have to search online to see swiftboat ads.

Not even! I saw the one with the brilliant panning of the enormous group of men last night on Fox News (I think on Hannity and Colmes)! I was amazed (being in L.A.)!

[Southack]

OK, here's where the election stands: we need 269 Electoral Votes to win (because we control the House and Senate). The other side would need 270 to beat us.  Right now it looks like we've got 227 versus their 200, or do the ME switch and we've got 228 versus 199.

Maine (ME) is a special case. GWB should get 1 of its 4 EV's. This means that of the white states that you see above, we need *any* combination that gets us 41 or more outright EV's (i.e. up to 268) plus ME's 1. That takes us from 227 up to 269, where we win.

You can run numerous scenarios, but the above is what is at stake and how it will all play out in only a few states is all that remains of the Election 2004 drama (court challenges notwithstanding).  This should enable everyone to simplify Election 2004 in their heads.  Roughly, there are just 9 states that are contestable by both sides.  They are shown in white above.  Worries or hopes about any other states for either side pretty much deviate from reality.  Keep it simple.  The 9 contested states are shown above, and we need 42 EV's from them (or 41 plus ME's 1).  That's the whole race right now.

[GeronL]

Oregon, New Mexico, Minnesota and Wisconsin go to Kerry.

I think Bush will actually come close if not take Michigan (a feeling). A poll of 400 today said Bush led 47-43

---

What would that do?

[Southack]

If GWB gets *any* two of MN, WI, and IA, then he only needs one state from PA or FL to win. Likewise, OH plus any two of MN, WI, and IA might require as little as winning any one of OR, NM, or NH to win.

MI doesn't factor in to this election in almost any scenario. It would be great to have, but that's unlikely and yes, it would doom JFK to more years as a junior Senator from MA.

Speaking in broad generalities, we need 41 more EV's outright plus ME's 1, whereas they would need 71 EV's to win.

And those are states in which GWB either leads, is tied, or is within the margin or error...so it would take an extreme shift in political sentiment for JFK to run the table by scoring those last needed 71 EV's.

We need the right 2 (more) states. He'd have to win the right 4 (more) states.

So clearly our hurdles are lower than his.

[JLAGRAYFOX]

I don't think PA has been written off. I just think the SBVs believe that GW Bush must win Florida and Ohio, and they only have so much money to spend, so they wanted to spend it where they feel it will do the most good!!!

[GeronL]

I just hope can pull it out in Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire and Iowa. I bet they will still try to steal it too.

[onyx]

Absolutely NOT.
PA will go to Bush unless Rendell
can cheat him out of it.

[occutegirl]

I am too. I am concerned all the new voters are voting because they think it is trendy to be anti Bush

[backhoe]

To read the latest on the Franchurian Candidate's bizzare exploits, click the picture, goto "last," and work backwards:

If you would like to help the Swift Boat Vets ( as I have, and I urge all to do-- even a few dollars will help ) kindly click on this logo:

Take a look at these short video clips, especially the last one. You will walk away with a heavy heart.

POW'S TELL ABOUT TORTURE

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-more-

 

 The FREE 3:52 Video Clip from Stolen Honor that Nails Kerry. E-mail to everyone NOW-

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 Click Here for
The Final 2 Swift Boat Vets Ads-
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[fortheDeclaration]

WI is not going to Kerry, Bush has a commanding lead in that state.

[fortheDeclaration]

It is interesting that even though Bush is leading in both Ohio and Fl. they are never put in his column.

According to the polls NJ and Hawaii are in a dead heat, yet they are put in Kerry's column.

[GeronL]

There are even some nice trends in the 'swing' states

[fortheDeclaration]

There are even some nice trends in the 'swing' states

Kerry has no campaign to speak of (I am not Bush).

Note the recent article put on FR on how now people in Penn. are considering terrorism as the major issue.

When people go into the voting booth, they will remember what kind of people we are fighting and who is the man that can deal with them.

[Rebelbase]

"Ohio looks extremely vulnerable now!!!!"

Nope, I don't buy it. The polling is biased towards Kerry. The Media wants Kerry to win. The pollsters want Kerry to win. The polls are manipulated. Kerry is his own worst enemy.

I am confident.

[Rebelbase]

BTW, I am looking forward to channel surfing on election night so that I can watch the disgust and contempt on the faces of Jennings and Brokaw, etc as they have to report a Bush landslide.