Gallup Poll Internal Data [Bush leads 52-46 LV; 49-48 RV]

Gallup News Service ^ | October 25, 2004

[RWR8189]

LATEST SNAPSHOT

% GEORGE W. BUSH	51
% JOHN KERRY	46
% RALPH NADER	1
Oct 22 - 24, 2004 Based on Likely Voters
View complete trend

[RWR8189]

Likely Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry
2004 Oct 22-24	52	46
2004 Oct 14-16	52	44
2004 Oct 9-10	48	50

Registered Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry
2004 Oct 22-24	49	48
2004 Oct 14-16	50	46
2004 Oct 9-10	48	48

Likely Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry	% Ralph Nader
2004 Oct 22-24	51	46	1
2004 Oct 14-16	52	44	1
2004 Oct 9-10	48	49	1

Registered Voters:

Date	% George W. Bush	% John Kerry	% Ralph Nader
2004 Oct 22-24	49	47	1
2004 Oct 14-16	49	46	1
2004 Oct 9-10	48	48	1

 

Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry Based on Registered Voters

	Oct 22-24		Oct 14-16		Oct 9-10		Oct 1-3
	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush	Kerry	Bush
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Total	48	49	46	50	48	48	48	49
Gender
Men	44	54	40	56	44	53	45	54
Women	51	45	51	44	52	43	51	45
Race
Whites	42	55	40	56	41	55	43	54
Non-whites	70	26	69	23	74	20	68	29
Age
18-49	47	51	45	51	47	48	47	50
50-64	48	48	46	50	48	49	46	52
65+	49	44	48	45	50	48	52	43
Region
East	55	43	54	42	55	42	54	42
Midwest	49	46	44	50	43	52	58	39
South	40	56	41	56	45	51	37	61
West	49	49	47	49	50	46	47	51
Education
Post-graduate	55	44	54	42	61	36	62	37
College graduate	44	55	35	63	47	51	44	54
Some college	45	52	43	52	44	51	43	55
High school or less	48	47	49	46	46	50	48	48
Income
$75,000 or more	40	58	43	55	41	55	50	48
$50,000-$74,999	45	53	39	60	39	58	38	61
$30,000-$49,999	49	47	47	48	51	47	46	52
Less than $30,000	56	39	54	39	59	36	58	35
Ideology
Conservative	25	73	19	79	24	73	23	75
Moderate	57	39	54	39	54	43	57	40
Liberal	90	8	85	11	84	10	81	14
Partisanship
Republicans	5	94	9	89	6	92	3	94
Independents	49	44	48	45	50	42	54	40
Democrats	88	9	85	11	90	8	89	10

Demographics -- Bush vs. Kerry vs. Nader Based on Registered Voters

	October 22-24			October 14-16			October 9-10
	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader
	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%	%
Total	47	49	1	46	49	1	48	48	1
Gender
Men	43	54	1	40	54	2	43	53	2
Women	50	44	1	50	44	1	51	43	2
Race
Whites	41	55	1	40	56	1	40	55	2
Non-whites	69	26	1	67	21	4	74	19	2
Age
18-49	47	51	1	45	50	2	46	47	2
50-64	47	48	2	45	49	2	47	49	1
65+	49	44	*	48	44	1	50	47	1
Region
East	55	42	*	54	41	1	54	40	3
Midwest	49	46	*	44	49	1	41	53	1
South	39	55	2	40	56	1	45	50	2
West	47	49	2	45	48	3	5	46	--
Education
Post-graduate	55	44	*	53	41	2	59	36	2
College graduate	44	55	*	35	62	1	47	51	1
Some college	44	52	1	43	52	1	44	49	2
High school or less	47	46	2	48	44	2	45	50	2
Income
$75,000 or more	40	58	*	42	55	1	40	55	2
$50,000-$74,999	45	53	--	38	60	1	39	57	1
$30,000-$49,999	49	47	1	47	47	2	50	46	3
Less than $30,000	55	39	3	54	37	2	59	35	*
Ideology
Conservative	25	73	*	19	79	*	24	72	1
Moderate	56	39	1	54	38	2	53	42	3
Liberal	88	8	2	85	9	3	83	10	2
Partisanship
Republicans	5	93	1	9	89	*	6	92	*
Independents	47	44	2	47	42	5	49	40	4
Democrats	88	9	--	85	11	--	89	8	1

 

Key State Breakdown

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

Based on National Adults

	Approve	Disapprove	No opinion
	%	%	%
National Approval Rating	51	46	3
Bush (Red) States
2004 Oct 22-24	59	38	3
2004 Oct 14-16	64	34	2
2004 Oct 11-14	55	42	3
Gore (Blue) States
2004 Oct 22-24	46	51	3
2004 Oct 14-16	41	58	1
2004 Oct 11-14	42	56	2
Up For Grab States
2004 Oct 22-24	46	51	3
2004 Oct 14-16	48	50	2
2004 Oct 11-14	48	48	4

 

As of today, do you lean more toward – [ROTATED: Kerry, the Democrat (or) Bush, the Republican]?

Based on Registered Voters

	Kerry	Bush	Neither (vol.)	Other (vol.)	No opinion
	%	%	%	%	%
Bush (Red) States
2004 Oct 22-24	40	57	*	*	3
2004 Oct 14-16	34	62	2	--	2
2004 Oct 9-10	41	55	2	--	2
Gore (Blue) States
2004 Oct 22-24	53	44	1	--	2
2004 Oct 14-16	59	38	*	*	3
2004 Oct 9-10	53	44	1	--	2
Up For Grab States
2004 Oct 22-24	49	47	2	*	2
2004 Oct 14-16	47	47	1	--	5
2004 Oct 9-10	50	45	2	1	3

[RWR8189]

Gallup Ping

FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.

[TheBigB]

Huh? Is Bush at 51 or 52?

[RWR8189]

ping

[aft_lizard]

your title is wrong, although its better than another wrong title seen here earlier

[RWR8189]

Go ZOT yourself.

[kcrackel]

Goodbye Troll...

[RWR8189]

How is my title wrong?

[AmericanMade1776]

[TheBigB]

Can I get a ZOT! ZOT!

[RWR8189]

51 with Nader, 52 without Nader.

[fortheDeclaration]

Latest MSM spin, Bush is only getting stronger in his own states.

Bush is starting to pull away from Kerry and it will translate to a large electoral college win.

[Hazzardgate]

Go away DUmmy

[Capt. Jake]

Sore Loserman? Is that you?

[AmericanMade1776]

I can tell by your cries Contemplation, that you are a Liberal soreloser...waaaaaaaaawaaaaaaaaaaaaa!

[Nataku X]

(Troll's remarks copied and pasted here because I know I hate it when I see a deleted post and have no idea what was said)

Jim Robinson and most of the FREE REPUBLIC klan are clearly on the fringe of humankind, thank goodness. No concern for human well-being, except their own. Many comments are bigoted, wimpy, and whiny, suggesting poor souls living in hidden pockets around the country. You guys are just like the Ku Klux Klan - oh so strong when talking up a storm in their own gang, but wimpy when it comes to standing up on their own, without the integrity nor intelligence to engage a challenging discussion. All you Free Republic hounds will see, as soon as Jim Robinson, who edits this website of anything bothersome to his blinded view, sees this email, he will rapidly block any further correspondence - can't take the challenge, can't stand the heat !!! So, if you viewpoints had any merit, what's the problem with some opposing views ? Obviously, that might muck up the flow, the self-righteous pandering. Just like Bush, who only allows pre-screened public to his chat groups, so he can't be challenged with any tough, unexpected questions. And when he was confronted with harder questions, as in Debates especially #1 & 2, he messed up, looked confused, annoyed, unable to handle it. Then he complains over 10 times in Debate #3 that 'being President is a hard job' - well daah, what did you expect? What do we expect? I challenge anyone out there in 'Free Repulic' land to enter any discussion with opposed viewpoints, and have to use the tools of fact and knowledge, rather than innuendo. As for Bush vs. Kerry, I challenge anyone of you to match the respected high-caliber minds endorsing Kerry compared to those supporting Bush ( try this, do Google search for terms: Nobel laureates science + economics or law officers or teachers + Bush + Kerry : YOU TOO will discover that all those groups, with global respect for accomplishment and intellect, support Kerry overwhelmingly !!!! I wonder if any of the 'Free Republic' audience is bright enough, and open-minded enough to recognize such facts. I suspect there are a few ... who may be reluctant to post on webpage due to baseless remarks......

NX's response: I'm sorry... I know that constipation can be a *itch.

[slowhand520]

3 way it is 51%. 2 way 52%

[AZamericonnie]

So, if you viewpoints had any merit, what's the problem with some opposing views ?

Did you read the sign on the door that says "Conservative Forum". If you're lonley go back to DU. I'm sure someone there will talk to you.

[stockpirate]

Gallup PING...

Soory but we missed the Troll.