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The Harris Poll: Bush, Kerry Neck and Neck (B 47, K 48)
Wall Street Journal ^ | 10/27/04 | WSJ

Posted on 10/26/2004 8:37:41 PM PDT by nj26

Likely Voters* George W. Bush 47% John Kerry 48 Ralph Nader 1 Other 1 Not sure/Refused 2 Methodology: The Harris Poll was conducted online within the U.S. Oct. 21-25, 2004 among a nationwide cross section of 2,493 likely voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: harrispoll; poll; polls
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1 posted on 10/26/2004 8:37:42 PM PDT by nj26
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To: nj26

online?


2 posted on 10/26/2004 8:38:33 PM PDT by Cosmo (Got wood?)
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To: nj26
The Harris Poll was conducted online within the U.S. Oct. 21-25, 2004 among a nationwide cross section of 2,493 likely voters.

Online poll???

3 posted on 10/26/2004 8:39:14 PM PDT by pgkdan
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To: Cosmo

not vouching for accuracy/lack of bias here.. that caught my eye as well...


4 posted on 10/26/2004 8:39:28 PM PDT by nj26
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To: Cosmo

This is another Internet poll, just like some of Zogby's trash. Why do they waste their time and our's with this rubbish?


5 posted on 10/26/2004 8:39:51 PM PDT by nailspitter
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To: nj26

It's pure garbage. It's an online poll.


6 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:01 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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To: nj26

Harris poll has always been bias. Going back to when there were just two major polls, Harris and Gallup, Harris was always 2-3 points to the left of Gallup, and usually 2-3 points off.


7 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:22 PM PDT by Numbers Guy
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To: nj26
Harris leans left. My guess is this poll - like the Dog Trainer's poll today, oversamples Democrats, undercounts men and overcounts women and minorities. Another garbage poll.
8 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:26 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: nj26

Darn! It's going to be a long week.


9 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:30 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds, a pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: nj26

Harris was right on last time.

I was worried when I saw the headline until I saw "online".

In other words, Bull S$%#.


10 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:35 PM PDT by Reaganez
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To: nj26

I believe that Mrs. Lou Harris is or was a big official in the Democrat National Committee. Harris in the past has overstated Democrat strength, but I understand this year, he had been polling fairly favorable to Bush.


11 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:44 PM PDT by Theodore R.
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To: Cosmo

yes, online. I was scared for a minute when I saw this poll, thought it was phone, but its online.


12 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:50 PM PDT by eatdust11
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To: nj26
One would think the WSJ would be smart enough not to be using "online" polls like this one and Zogsauce.
13 posted on 10/26/2004 8:40:52 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (The price of freedom is eternal vigilance)
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To: Cosmo

Yeah, I was concerned until I saw "online". Still, the weapons thing will probably cause a temporary dip in Bush's spread over Kerry even though it is bogus. Hopefully the fallout from it turns into a nice Bush bounce by Tuesday.


14 posted on 10/26/2004 8:41:16 PM PDT by txjeep
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To: nj26

I don't understand how they can say cell phone users throw off certain results, yet think there is ANY value to online polling.


15 posted on 10/26/2004 8:41:27 PM PDT by Darkwolf377
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To: nj26

outch


16 posted on 10/26/2004 8:41:56 PM PDT by ClintonBeGone (Take the first step in the war on terror - defeat John Kerry)
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To: nj26

Not any more accurate than the AOL poll. Crapola.


17 posted on 10/26/2004 8:42:00 PM PDT by dc-zoo
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To: Cosmo

I was not aware of this relatively new federal law which requires ID for all first time voters. This should help prevent fraud.

"HAVA" (VOTING LAW CHANGES FOR 2004)

The federal Help America Vote Act of 2002 will change some voter registration procedures to be followed in the primary. These specify the identification documents accepted when voters register to vote, identification requirements for first-time voters and procedures to follow when a voter's name does not appear on the voter rolls on Election Day. Also, state law provides for a modified partisan primary in which nonpartisan voters may choose among several ballots to vote.

The following summarizes significant features of the upcoming election.

New Identification Requirements
For Voter Registration or Re-Registration
The federal Help America Vote Act of 2002 specifies the identification documents accepted when voters register to vote, identification requirements for first-time voters and procedures to follow when a voter's name does not appear on the voter rolls on Election Day.

It is now necessary to include the driver's license number, the Department of Motor Vehicles ID number or the last four digits of the individual's Social Security number on a new Voter Registration Card when voters register or re-register to vote.

For First-Time Voters
First-time voters must provide identification when they first register to vote.
If first-time voters registered to vote by mail after January 1, 2003 did not provide a copy of acceptable identification when requesting an absentee ballot for a federal election, they must provide identification when they return the absentee ballot. Absentee ballots may be returned at the polls or by mail.


18 posted on 10/26/2004 8:42:26 PM PDT by Kay
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To: txjeep

Don't know if RCP will include this in their average.
If they don't, you'll know it is utter B.S.


19 posted on 10/26/2004 8:42:27 PM PDT by Galtoid
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To: COEXERJ145

Harris has been around a long time. Does anybody know if they have fully switched to online polling, or are some of their polls done by telephone?

I don't understand how you can do an online poll without biasing against certain groups (e.g. older voters.) Even if you reweight, it has a lot of potential to skew a sample.


20 posted on 10/26/2004 8:42:43 PM PDT by nj26
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