Posted on 10/28/2004 6:13:20 PM PDT by swilhelm73
I believe your electoral vote total is 3 too high. Total electoral votes is 538.
Bush 52% Kerry 47% Bush takes 301 Electoral votes. Election decided Nov 2 by 11pm CST when MN goes for Bush.
Bush 52% Kerry 47% Bush takes 301 Electoral votes. Election decided Nov 2 by 11pm CST when MN goes for Bush.
Naturally I'll get into trouble. I'll be called names as well but... 288-250 Kerry. Sorry.
Saw a prediction that had GWB squeaking over the top but that R's would capture 55 Senate seats.
For me: GWB 338, JK 200
Do we get to kick these smug idiots in the a$$ if they are wrong. Now that would make for more responsible reporting ;-)
Do we get to kick these smug idiots in the a$$ if they are wrong. Now that would make for more responsible reporting ;-)
Petronski
Bush wins Popular Vote: 53% Bush - 46% Bush Electoral College: 338 Bush - 200 Kerry
Senate: 55 (R), 45 (D)
House: 232 (R), 202 (D), 1 (I)
Dark horse: Murkowski pulls it out in AK
Bush 52% Kerry 47% 306 - 232
Senate 54 45 1
House 234R 201D
Overall, a very bad night for the dems. Daschle gone. Bowles losing. Martinez wins in Florida which isn't even close for the dems.
Feingold will be the new Senate minority leader.
What about Alaska? Murkowski Knowles 50-50
Soros will get caught trying to bribe members of the Electoral College to switch their votes to Kerry.
Good predictions! For those people who are in a panic mode about Ohio, I did a little research. Ohio has gone MORE Republican than the national average in every presidential election since World War II, except for two landslide elections (1964 & 1972). In every close or competitive election, it has gone more Republican than the national average. In other words, it seems highly unlikely that we would lose Ohio unless we were in trouble in enough other states to lose the election no matter what.
Here are the stats. The first number is the percentage of the vote the GOP got nationally for each year listed, the second number is the percentage the GOP got in Ohio that year:
1948: 45.1 / 49.2
1952: 55.1 / 56.8
1956: 57.4 / 61.1
1960: 49.5 / 53.3
1964: 38.5 / 37.1
1968: 42.7 / 45.2
1972: 60.7 / 59.6
1976: 48.0 / 48.7
1980: 50.7 / 51.1
1984: 58.8 / 58.9
1988: 53.4 / 55.0
1992: 37.7 / 38.3
1996: 40.7 / 41.0
I don't have the stats for 2000, but I know that Bush did better in Ohio than nationally. He won by between three and four points in Ohio, while narrowly losing the popular vote nationwide.
So Ohio hasn't gone more Democrat than the nation as a whole in over 30 years, and has only gone more 'Rat than the nation as a whole twice since World War II, both in landslide elections.
I think this is good news! Unless you think we'll lose the popular vote, we should win Ohio.
I am wondering the same about California. I understand a huge registration turnout there, I suspect it isnt for the dims either.
Barnes and Last are closest.
That is some great research, but is it in the margin of democratic voter fraud?
I hope our guys have a handle on it! Fraud is the one thing the 'Rats have going for them.
Kerry - 48% (252 EV)
Kerry doesn't fight the result. Finally shows some class.
Senate GOP pick up 3 Seats. (Dashole goes down).
I make it 320-218 Bush, 52-47 Bush in popular vote.
Perfect Storm.
POPULAR: Kerry 59, Bush 38. Extreme voter fraud.
ELECTORAL: Bush 269, Kerry 269. House decides.
SENATE: Rep 55, Dem 44
HOUSE: Republicans gain 5.
Maykbe Diva wins the big one on November 2nd !
The Melbourne Cup that is...
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.