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Tomorrow's Zogby poll to show Kerry up by 1
National Review ^ | 10/29

Posted on 10/29/2004 10:58:12 PM PDT by ambrose

I HEAR [KJL]

Zogby's latest will have Kerry up one nationwide, but Bush not doing bad in most battlegrounds, save for Florida (Florida where Bush internals are giving Bushies confidence).


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; zogby
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To: ambrose

I agree with your assessment in post 1, and I'm sick of polls. I can state with confidence that 99% of Americans are also disgusted with polls, and that 97% don't believe them.


21 posted on 10/29/2004 11:06:48 PM PDT by Judith Anne (The last time Kerry said "Reporting for duty!" he betrayed his comrades, his flag, and his country.)
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To: ambrose

ambrose......great analysis....^5

now please stop insulting assclowns :)


22 posted on 10/29/2004 11:06:54 PM PDT by kingattax
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To: ambrose
"No one with any [political] knowledge would believe the assumptions made by Zogby."
-Dan Pfeiffer, Campaign Spokesman for Tom Daschle
23 posted on 10/29/2004 11:07:13 PM PDT by West Coast Conservative
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To: ambrose

Zog just plays the slots, and hopes he gets enough hits to get to the beach before the music stops. I know the feeling. I have been there.


24 posted on 10/29/2004 11:08:30 PM PDT by Torie
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To: ambrose
and took a three-point lead in Pennsylvania, reversing a Bush lead of three points the previous day.

This indicates bull, even with the DUI. No way there was a 6 point swing in one day ..... not without a picture of Bush in a dress and heels!

25 posted on 10/29/2004 11:08:36 PM PDT by bushisdamanin04
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To: Merry

I don't trust Zogby even when I like his results.


26 posted on 10/29/2004 11:08:39 PM PDT by MEG33 (John Kerry has been AWOL on issues of national security for two decades)
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To: faithincowboys

Zog's final poll in 2000 had Gore +2


27 posted on 10/29/2004 11:09:18 PM PDT by kingattax
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To: Torie
Zog just plays the slots, and hopes he gets enough hits to get to the beach before the music stops. I know the feeling. I have been there.

I don't I'm a blackjack man.

The dealer (Kerry) is showing a 5.

I feel good.

28 posted on 10/29/2004 11:09:28 PM PDT by NeoCaveman (Everyone calm down, Ohio is still Bush country)
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To: Merry

Yes, but I think it's NewsMax that says that Zogby was the only one right in 2000.


29 posted on 10/29/2004 11:10:25 PM PDT by cccellar
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To: ambrose
I actually experienced the making of Zogby's special sauce when I was polled last week. Here's how it works. For each question in the survey there are a set of valid answers. In my case, the interviewer did not offer to name the valid answers. Many of the questions I could answer excellent or good but some questions were less clear and I prompted the guy to tell me the choices. At one point I provided an answer and then, testing his interpretation of my answer, asked him which valid he chose, he got it WRONG.

So there you have it. Poll interviewers "interpret" answers and Zogby "interprets" the results.
30 posted on 10/29/2004 11:10:44 PM PDT by hobson
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To: ambrose
Look, until the election, I take ALL poll seriously, because that's all we've got.

so these numbers are disappointing. not the end of the world, but disappointing nonetheless.

31 posted on 10/29/2004 11:10:58 PM PDT by smonk
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To: Torie

when will his last poll post?


32 posted on 10/29/2004 11:11:07 PM PDT by cccellar
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To: ambrose

When did the DUI think hit?


33 posted on 10/29/2004 11:11:27 PM PDT by faithincowboys
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To: ambrose

Zogby gets credit for being right on for the 2000 presidential election. People forget that Fox News had the 2000 election tied as well. Right now Fox News has our great president up by five. As far as I'm concerned, Fox News' poll is just as accurate as Zogby, just without the fanfare.


34 posted on 10/29/2004 11:11:57 PM PDT by sydbas
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To: Torie

Remember this?

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1089475/posts


35 posted on 10/29/2004 11:12:11 PM PDT by ambrose (A vote for Kerry is a vote for bin Laden)
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To: hobson

Interesting. And somehow he is the king of the polling hill. In a way, his poll reflects my fears. I'll just hope for the best.


36 posted on 10/29/2004 11:12:56 PM PDT by faithincowboys
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To: ambrose

He had a day or two of honesty then decided to do his best for Kerry again.


37 posted on 10/29/2004 11:13:31 PM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: Porterville
I did believe Zogby's polls but he has injected opinion far too much to be trusted so I'll stick to Gallup and a variety of secondary tier polls

Same here. Having a pollster picking the winner months in advance is silly as it puts the poll in serious doubt. I have no idea why Zogby does it.

38 posted on 10/29/2004 11:13:33 PM PDT by Troublemaker
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To: ambrose

I knew it was about time for him to start adding some more of his special sauce to the results. The demoralized left must have some hope or they won't go to the polls.


39 posted on 10/29/2004 11:13:36 PM PDT by Route66 (America's Mainstreet)
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To: ambrose

Bush will win in a landslide. Zogby knows it and so does the Kerry Campaign


40 posted on 10/29/2004 11:13:52 PM PDT by MJY1288 (A MONDAY MORNING QUARTERBACK HAS NEVER LED ANY TEAM TO VICTORY)
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