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Tomorrow's Zogby poll to show Kerry up by 1
National Review ^ | 10/29

Posted on 10/29/2004 10:58:12 PM PDT by ambrose

I HEAR [KJL]

Zogby's latest will have Kerry up one nationwide, but Bush not doing bad in most battlegrounds, save for Florida (Florida where Bush internals are giving Bushies confidence).


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; zogby
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To: ambrose

This is what Kerry's millions is buying from Zogby. Ain't gonna work.


41 posted on 10/29/2004 11:14:36 PM PDT by jporcus
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To: cccellar

Fox/OD had it tied as well.

Zogby seriously damaged his credibility in 2002. If he tanks this one, he should be finished.


42 posted on 10/29/2004 11:14:51 PM PDT by flashbunny (Every thought that enters my head requires its own vanity thread.)
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To: smonk

Why, when the pollster has been discredited as partisan and innacurate?


43 posted on 10/29/2004 11:15:28 PM PDT by flashbunny (Every thought that enters my head requires its own vanity thread.)
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To: ambrose

No. Never saw it before. Probably never will again. LOL. The poll I watch in state match ups is Mason Dixon. When it speaks, I listen - closely.


44 posted on 10/29/2004 11:15:44 PM PDT by Torie
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To: ambrose

Pretty soon I expect to see the "Shroud of Humpty Dumpty" appear.


45 posted on 10/29/2004 11:15:46 PM PDT by Old Professer (About the hearty and haughty the humble harbor a horrid hatred that hobbles the heavy heart.)
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To: ambrose

Zogby said that Tuesday was a really good day for Kerry in which he polled at +5. That day should be rolling off in tommorow's sample. That means Kerry would have to poll like +6 or +7 in today's sample. It was kind of like last weekend when Zogby came out and admitted that Bush had two day samples where he lead 50-43 and 49-46, yet Bush only had like a 2 or 3 point lead in the poll. Zogby's math just doesn't add up.


46 posted on 10/29/2004 11:17:20 PM PDT by Nascardude
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To: cccellar

Nov 1st.


47 posted on 10/29/2004 11:17:35 PM PDT by Torie
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To: smonk

The problem is that most polls are garbage. They have problems getting people to take the polls. That was in a WaPo article this week. They only depress the electorate so they won't turn out. Think positive and work to get W elected. Stop believing the polls and for goodness sake, don't believe Zogby.


48 posted on 10/29/2004 11:17:37 PM PDT by Merry
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To: ambrose

Does he not see that the other polls show something else?


49 posted on 10/29/2004 11:17:44 PM PDT by elizabetty
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To: Merry

I don't believe ANYBODY, for heaven's sake, but I like to keep my eye on all polls.


50 posted on 10/29/2004 11:20:09 PM PDT by smonk
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To: ambrose
Final Zogby poll numbers VS Results of Election Night (A FR Archive thread) - a blast from the past (2002 congressional elections)
51 posted on 10/29/2004 11:20:32 PM PDT by flashbunny (Every thought that enters my head requires its own vanity thread.)
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To: flashbunny

Seriously............this is all really getting to me.. One poll up, one poll down, up, down, too close to call...pundits calling it for Kerry...............I keep telling myself that God is in control and whatever happens is what He wants.........but my nerves are shaky


52 posted on 10/29/2004 11:21:33 PM PDT by cccellar
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To: Nascardude

That's where the "special sauce" part comes in. He has even said interviews that he "eyeballs" the numbers and will adjust them to reflect where he thinks the race is going.


53 posted on 10/29/2004 11:22:14 PM PDT by ambrose (A vote for Kerry is a vote for bin Laden)
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To: Torie

Is that Oneida Cty. NY? Heard they just raised their sales tax to 9.75%- Boy, that outta be good for business---not!


54 posted on 10/29/2004 11:22:20 PM PDT by midnightson
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To: MJY1288

Yes,I concur.


55 posted on 10/29/2004 11:22:34 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: ambrose
"Unlike a Gallup, Zogby refuses to reveal his methodology, or even leave his call sheets up for audits. He literally can make up whatever numbers he feels like"

Not true.

In 2000 he said he added 3% to Gore because the Dems had a better get out the vote effort and his poll on Monday the day before the election showed strong voter turnout for Gore.

Anotherwords he guessed correct !

56 posted on 10/29/2004 11:23:47 PM PDT by america-rules (It's US or THEM so what part don't you understand ?)
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To: Merry

Is it just me, or have Zogby's numbers really gone crazy since he had those runins with Novak (saying Bush wins) and later in the same day Jon Stewart (saying Kerry wins)?


57 posted on 10/29/2004 11:26:20 PM PDT by eddiebear
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To: america-rules

The funny thing, if this is true....

if he had not added 3 points to Gore, his final number would have been MORE ACCURATE...


58 posted on 10/29/2004 11:26:24 PM PDT by ambrose (A vote for Kerry is a vote for bin Laden)
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To: midnightson

Yep. Zogby has his boilerplate operation in some industrial building in Utica, where little old ladies make calls working at the minimum wage, or close to it.


59 posted on 10/29/2004 11:27:34 PM PDT by Torie
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To: goldstategop
Forget Zogby. Wait for the final TIME and Gallup polls. They should be dead on within a few percentage points of predicting the winner's final results on Election Day.

Exactly. I would also forget TIPP, Rasmussen, Newsweak -- just about all of them except for Gallup, Time, and the two polls that came out today: Opinion Dynamics and Battleground.

60 posted on 10/29/2004 11:28:14 PM PDT by kesg
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