Posted on 10/31/2004 3:18:54 PM PST by nopey23
In a CBS News/New York Times poll out Sunday, President Bush has the support of 49 percent of likely voters to 46 percent for John Kerry.
Forty-nine percent of likely voters think Mr. Bush will win, to 33 percent who bet on Kerry. More voters see the president as strong, a man in tune with their priorities, someone who says what he thinks. Fifty-five percent approve of the president's handling of the war on terrorism....
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
I dunno...... I got a bad feeling about this. If I was gonna bet on it... I'd bet on Kerry. Unbelievable that half of this country would vote for that traitor.
Wow. I'm dizzy from the spin.
CBS shows Bush leading and they inserted UNCERTAINITY REIGNS.....no bias here.
CBS among the most accurate pollsters in 2000 per National Council of Pollsters:
| Poll | Bush/Gore Error |
Nader Error |
| Harris Poll | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| CBS News | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| IBD/CSM/Tipp | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| ICR/Politics Now | 1.0 | 4.0 |
| Gallup/CNN/USA Today | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Pew Research | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Zogby/Reuters | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| NBC News/WSJ | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Battleground | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Average | 1.1 | 1.3 |
2,3,4 point leads. Regardless it comes down to the electoral college. Very few Republican states are in jeopardy compared to the democrats. If Bush wins florida, Kerry is just about sunk because Bush will win Ohio.
Why does anybody care what CBS says?
Great news. That's two polls in a row today with Bush at +3. Pretty consistent. Hovering right at 50%, meaning 52% by the time the infamous "undecideds" kick in.
RCP Average 10/25-10/30 48.8% 46.4% 0.8% Bush +2.4
Zogby, ARG and La Times have Kery at 48 but only during the weekend. He sinks during the week. I have no idea why that is but it is.
Sounds good. I haven't felt this much tension since the 2002 Red Wings/Avalanche Western Conference Finals.
This is making me a bit nervous. Bush is up + 2.54% (adjusted)in My PCP.
The geometric average is within +.12 of the weighted average.
Bush should be doing better in State polls. Am I looking at this right?
We are all going to get whiplash as the try to get the polls in line to the actual numbers.
Most if not all polls show Bush will take Ohio after all. It appears that it will once again come down to Florida.
The polls that "weight" replies have got to be considered suspect. That includes ABC and Zogby. I don't think Gallup weights? If you weight for party affiliation, then why not weight for sex of respondents, regional location, etc. etc. the list goes on forever! I think this weighting thing will have to be discarded, as it is unscientific...
If only a third of likely voters think K will win, and half think W will win; split the difference (49-33=16/2=8)
BUSH WILL WIN BY 8 Percent.
PING for Nov 2
but you have a "bad feeling?"
Wow. What does it take for you to have a "good feeling?" 120%?
The only poll that counts.
MAN this is one for the record books--they have pro-Bush news and go grasping everywhere they can to spin it for Kerry. Kery up in all the battleground states? uhhhh...no.
between FL and OH, FL is more solid Bush...
Pew and CBS are in line with my 6 month old prediction of a 51 to 47 win for W.
If I was gonna bet on it... I'd bet on Kerry.
Say what?
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