Too many military for the Dem to take Virgina.
|
Electoral Votes: |
Bush |
252 |
Kerry |
252 |
Tie |
Virginia (13) |
Tie |
Pennsylvania (21) |
Here's how we got there...
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142 |
Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172 |
|
2000 |
2004 |
Bush Electoral Votes |
Kerry Electoral Votes |
|
%Margin |
%Margin |
|
|
Arizona (10)* |
Bush + 6.28% |
Bush 6% |
10 |
- |
Arkansas (6)* |
Bush + 5.44% |
Bush 3% |
6 |
- |
Colorado (9) |
Bush + 8.36% |
Kerry 3% |
- |
9 |
Florida (27) |
Bush + 0.01% |
Bush 3% |
27 |
- |
Iowa (7) |
Gore + 0.31% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
7 |
Michigan (17) |
Gore + 5.13% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
17 |
Minnesota (10) |
Gore + 2.4% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Missouri (11)* |
Bush + 3.34% |
Bush 3% |
11 |
- |
Nevada (5) |
Bush + 3.55% |
Bush 5% |
5 |
- |
New Hampshire (4) * |
Bush + 1.27% |
Kerry 5% |
- |
4 |
New Mexico (5) |
Gore + 0.06% |
Kerry 3% |
- |
5 |
North Carolina (15)* |
Bush + 12.83% |
Bush 3% |
15 |
- |
Oregon (7)* |
Gore + 0.44% |
Kerry 10% |
- |
7 |
Ohio (20) |
Bush + 3.51% |
Bush 4% |
20 |
- |
Pennsylvania (21) |
Gore + 4.17% |
Tie |
- |
- |
Tennessee (11)* |
Bush + 3.86% |
Bush 4% |
11 |
- |
Virginia (13)* |
Bush + 7.00%
|
Tie
|
-
|
-
|
Washington (11)* |
Gore + 5.58% |
Kerry 11% |
- |
11 |
West Virginia (5)* |
Bush + 6.32% |
Bush 4% |
5 |
- |
Wisconsin (10) |
Gore + 0.22% |
Kerry 6% |
- |
10 |
Battleground State Totals
|
110
|
80
|
||
Current Grand Total:
|
252
|
252
|
* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.(as of Nov. 2, 2004 12:23pm)
*Please note that Zogby Final predictions will
come out Election Day at 5 pm*
(11/1/2004)
hopefully zogby is right, and the latest exit polls (as per drudge) are wrong.
Zogby is trying to get it right at the last second, because if he's off by to much at the end no one will listen to him anymore lol.
Dems take VA? What the heck is Zogby using for his statistical model? His finger and a stiff breeze.