Bob Bennett, Republican Chairman of Ohio, said Bush is going to win outside the margin of error in OH, on MSNBC about 15 minutes ago.
The bogus exit poll is turning out to be the October Surprise. There is some schmo on CSPAN right now who works for the exit poll company lecturing on how accurate and worthy exit polls are. The whole thing stinks and looks coordinated.
I've got my scotch ready to pour and my victory cigar ready to fire up. Just let me know when I can spark that flame.
Maybe there are more women voters than men. Very likely here in Fla. with its aged population.
Here's some more kind of good news from NRO just now:
THIS DRAMA [KJL]
This e-mail from a GOP insider is worth reading and passing on:
There are media reports that we are behind in early exit polls. Here’s my sense of things. The early exit poll numbers are hard to make sense of right now, until we dissect and analyze them, which is being done even now. It’s of course still early, and it depends on where in the state the numbers are coming from. Much more importantly, our data also suggests what Drudge is reporting: the early samples are heavily weighted toward women (58 percent), which would of course give an artificial advantage to Senator Kerry. That imbalance will not hold up. Indeed, among men we are winning 53-45. To put it another way: if we’d one down in states with a sample that is heavily female, we’re in good shape with the overall population. To put it a third way: it looks like the first exit polls are a reflection of the composition of the electorate, not how the president is performing. Once those return to norm, the President should gain several points (2-3 pts) and Senator Kerry should lose several points (2-3 pts), giving the President the lead in a number of states.
Also of note: right now we are ahead among Catholic in Wisconsin by ten points (we lost Catholics in Wisconsin in 2000). The same is true of Pennsylvania. And in the early exits nationally, we are getting 40 percent of the Hispanic vote (in 2000, we received 35 percent).
One other thing: the early exit polls in 2000 looked a good deal bleaker than what we are seeing today. For example, early exit polls in 2000 showed us down by four in Arizona; we won by six. Early exit polls in 2000 showed us even in Colorado; we won by nine. And early exit polls in 2000 showed us down by three in Florida; we ended up slightly more than even.
I’m not being Pollyannaish here; the race will be a close one. But I would simply caution against putting too much weigh on such early polls. This drama has a ways to go before it fully unfolds.
Posted at 04:38 PM
We shall see.
We might still get a couple of pleasant surprises tonight.
My fellow freepers, let this not make us complacent, but let it spur us on to greatness!
The men are at work and have yet to hit the polls yet. White men will go to Bush 70-30 or better.
FWIW, the money on tradesports seems to think Kerry will win. Dubya is down to 38, Kerry up to 62. And, W was at *59* earlier today.
Now, it's possible Soros or someone is walking down the contracts, but I seriously doubt it. More likely is that the Dem vote fraud machine has outmanuvered our honest, GOTV efforts in key battleground states.
I'm getting just a bit concerned. (And, yes, I've already posted this on the "panic" thread).
My nerves are killing me.
Peace on earth. God bless GWB and Hugh too.....
I have already voted and want every lover of freedom to vote but my experience is that it is losers whose rally cry is don't believe the polls. Tradesport, Iowa, are not lopsided for Kerry. The stock market sold off on the news. People with real money involved are usually a reliable indicator.
But they can always slide over to Indianapolis and visit the Children's Museum!
Yes. And if you saw the faces of the people in both campaigns in the last day or two, I think you all know its pretty much over for Kerry. Otherwise we'd see a LOT of happy Democrats. For the record, Tom Daschle doesn't look too happy, does he?
Three GOTV calls so far at the house. The ground game is working....
Beer calms nerves too. Just had one.
Your thoughts need more substance before they are to be taken seriously.
Repubs work for a living. Wait for the after-work votes to be added.
Nobody else looks very chipper either. Andrea Mitchell, James Carville, Paul Begala, Joe Trippi...This gives me some scant hope.