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The numbers: Votes vs. All Final Poll Numbers
Real Clear Politics ^ | Nov 3, 2004 | RCP

Posted on 11/03/2004 4:22:59 AM PST by Notwithstanding

Lets take a look at the actual popular vote vs final the nationwide polling numbers of all the big polling firms:

Actual Popular Vote: B - K - Na 51 - 48 - 0 Final National Polls: 49 - 48 - 1 ABC/WP 48 - 48 - 1 ARG 49 - 47 - 1 CBS News 49 - 46 - 1 CBS/NYT 46 - 48 - 1 FOX 49 - 49 - 1 Gallup 50 - 46 GW/Battleground 49 - 48 - 2 Harris 49 - 50 - 1 Marist 50 - 44 - 1 Newsweek 51 - 48 - 1 Pew 50.2 48.5 Rasmussen 50.1 48.0 1.1 TIPP 48 - 47 - 1 Zogby


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bushvictory; napalminthemorning; polls; rcp
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1 posted on 11/03/2004 4:22:59 AM PST by Notwithstanding
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To: Notwithstanding

Actual Popular Vote:
B - K - Na
51 - 48 - 0
Final National Polls:
49 - 48 - 1 ABC/WP
48 - 48 - 1 ARG
49 - 47 - 1 CBS News
49 - 46 - 1 CBS/NYT
46 - 48 - 1 FOX
49 - 49 - 1 Gallup
50 - 46 GW/Battleground
49 - 48 - 2 Harris
49 - 50 - 1 Marist
50 - 44 - 1 Newsweek
51 - 48 - 1 Pew
50.2 48.5 Rasmussen
50.1 48.0 1.1 TIPP
48 - 47 - 1 Zogby


2 posted on 11/03/2004 4:23:10 AM PST by Notwithstanding (TeeRayZuh - the other Gabor sister.)
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To: Notwithstanding

Pew hit the nail on the head.


3 posted on 11/03/2004 4:24:01 AM PST by Notwithstanding (TeeRayZuh - the other Gabor sister.)
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To: Notwithstanding

Bump!

I'll look at these more closely later.


4 posted on 11/03/2004 4:24:09 AM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
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To: Notwithstanding

Pew, Rasmussen, and TIPP are the winnuhs...


5 posted on 11/03/2004 4:25:30 AM PST by ambrose
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To: Notwithstanding

6 posted on 11/03/2004 4:25:59 AM PST by Notwithstanding (TeeRayZuh - the other Gabor sister.)
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To: Notwithstanding

Pew, tipp and rasmussen did great. I'm so happy Zogby got exposed for their propaganda.


7 posted on 11/03/2004 4:26:25 AM PST by xuberalles
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To: Notwithstanding

We can finally put to rest the myth of Zogby as being this great prognosticator.


8 posted on 11/03/2004 4:26:44 AM PST by jpl (How do you ask someone to be the next innocent civilian to die from a "nuisance"?)
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To: Notwithstanding

Pew nailed it...but Rasmussen was very close.


9 posted on 11/03/2004 4:27:23 AM PST by Dog (Who has the coffee IV?)
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To: Dog

I wonder if Bush could hit the 60mil on the vote count. That would be huge.


10 posted on 11/03/2004 4:30:05 AM PST by feyler
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To: xuberalles
Zogby... How did the Beatles sing it?

I'm a loser, and I'm not the pollster I used to be...I'm a loser...

11 posted on 11/03/2004 4:30:15 AM PST by Alas Babylon!
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To: Notwithstanding


My CAMEC didn't do too badly ... ;-)

Overestimated turnout a bit, and overestimated the vote "others" would receive, but overall it went pretty well.

Just need a few tweaks for 2008.


12 posted on 11/03/2004 4:31:27 AM PST by Josh in PA
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To: ambrose

Tarrance was the closest. He even included tenths of a percent.


13 posted on 11/03/2004 4:31:34 AM PST by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds, a pessimist fears this is true.)
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n the wee hours of this morning, I heard gov. b.richardson say "Do not give GWB New Mexico yet, because "we think we have found about 20,000 more votes and maybe a couple of thousand more that could put Kerry over the top. What is going on with this. With the dem machine using folks like jackson, sharpton, trumping voter disenfransing the voters,will this get uglier?


14 posted on 11/03/2004 4:36:29 AM PST by peekaboo
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To: Notwithstanding
Mason Dixon by the way for the 2nd election in a row was EXTREMELY accurate on their state polls.

Real Clear Politics

15 posted on 11/03/2004 4:46:43 AM PST by The G Man (Are Osama Bin Laden and Saddam Hussein better off now then they were 4 years ago?)
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To: Notwithstanding

Battleground gets MY vote for MOST ACCURATE because not only
they had Bush up by +4 at the end, but they were CONSISTENT.

Pew suffered with wild random nutty swings.

From what I recall Tipp was fairly consistent(?)

Fox Dynamic was disappointing, too erratic

ARG and Zogby Interactive (the biggest jokes I have ever seen!)


16 posted on 11/03/2004 4:52:04 AM PST by Future Useless Eater (FreedomLoving_Engineer)
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To: Notwithstanding

It wasn't as close as the electoral vote seems to show. Bush won the popular vote by 3%, first majority President since his father in 88, I believe.

Can anyone say "MANDATE?"


17 posted on 11/03/2004 4:53:15 AM PST by Brilliant
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To: Notwithstanding

B - K - Na
51 - 48 - 0
Final National Polls:

48 - 48 - 1 ARG
46 - 48 - 1 FOX
49 - 49 - 1 Gallup
49 - 50 - 1 Marist
48 - 47 - 1 Zogby

These pollsters can all bite me, and Fox was the worst, what an embarassment.


18 posted on 11/03/2004 5:20:56 AM PST by FastCoyote
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To: FastCoyote; Ernest_at_the_Beach; MeekOneGOP; PhilDragoo; Liz; nopardons; Miss Marple; Howlin; ...

"These pollsters can all bite me, and Fox was the worst, what an embarassment."

"46 - 48 - 1 FOX"

It is obvious that the "new" Fox News is now part of the left wing MSM. Fox News is the same as ABCNNBC BS.

FoxNews was bought out, rolled over like a cheap whore and did its best to defeat GW yesterday and last night.


19 posted on 11/03/2004 5:31:22 AM PST by Grampa Dave (When will ABCNNBCBS & the MSM fishwraps stop Rathering to America? Answer: NEVER!)
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To: xuberalles; FastCoyote; Ernest_at_the_Beach; MeekOneGOP; PhilDragoo; Liz; nopardons; Miss Marple; ..

"I'm so happy Zogby got exposed for their propaganda."

It is obvious that Zogby is the pollster of the crooks in charge of the lunatic left.

He does fairly accurate polling up to his last poll. Then his last poll is nothing more than a cover for all of the voter fraud that the rats will commit in the election.


20 posted on 11/03/2004 5:33:51 AM PST by Grampa Dave (When will ABCNNBCBS & the MSM fishwraps stop Rathering to America? Answer: NEVER!)
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