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Freeper research help needed- source of line that 100,000 civilians dead in Iraq?
12/2/04

Posted on 12/02/2004 9:52:17 AM PST by dukeman

My hometown newspaper today included one of those letters to the editor re "Bush administration has no 'moral values' because it's killing 100,000 Iraqi civilians in an unncecessary war!" I'm working on a rebuttal letter and wonder whether anyone has run down the facts behind the claim of 100,000 civilian deaths because of U.S action. Does anyone know where this figure came from and whether or not it has been debunked (or authenticated)? My sense is that the figure is high for propaganda purposes.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bogus; contrived; dubious; madeup
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1 posted on 12/02/2004 9:52:19 AM PST by dukeman
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To: dukeman

it comes from a reports by a self proclaimed human rights group and a british newspaper (if i recall correctly). given the sources, you can draw your own conclusions about the bias.


2 posted on 12/02/2004 9:54:33 AM PST by minus_273
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To: dukeman
It is bogus. I have heard more sources citing a number closer to 15,000.

But for the sake of argument, lets say 100,000 have been killed. Using organizations like Amnesty Internationals numbers when they were fighting to get sanctions lifted, more people died per year under Saddam than have been killed during the war. So in reality, LESS people have died in the war than if there had been no war.

3 posted on 12/02/2004 9:54:39 AM PST by Phantom Lord (Advantages are taken, not handed out)
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To: dukeman

I can't provide a link off the top of my head, but the study had a margin of error of plus or minus 92,000. That means the number could have been as low as 8,000.


4 posted on 12/02/2004 9:54:50 AM PST by TexasAg1996
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To: dukeman
It's just a Leftist talking point that has an untraceable origin like every other Urban Legend.

The body count of "civilians" (meaning attackers who don't wear an Iraqi military uniform) is around 10,000. Even the Leftist "Iraqi Body Count" site only puts the number between 14,000 and 16,000.

5 posted on 12/02/2004 9:55:12 AM PST by Prime Choice (I like Democrats, too. Let's exchange recipes.)
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Comment #6 Removed by Moderator

To: dukeman
TRY:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1275434/posts

Got the whole mess!~

7 posted on 12/02/2004 9:55:45 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: dukeman

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1260893/posts


8 posted on 12/02/2004 9:55:45 AM PST by RushCrush ("Of the four wars in my lifetime none came about because the U.S. was too strong." Reagan)
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To: dukeman

It was an obvious October surprise timed to influence the election as well.


9 posted on 12/02/2004 9:56:06 AM PST by notfornothing
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To: dukeman

I've got that same feeling. I think if the casualties were that high that even Karzai would be outspoken about it. I would be surprised if it was even a tenth of that figure.


10 posted on 12/02/2004 9:56:15 AM PST by MadAnthony1776
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To: dukeman

Any thing a liberal pulls out of his rear is FACT until proven otherwise. Then the allegation is true. Just ask Rather.


11 posted on 12/02/2004 9:56:16 AM PST by rudypoot
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To: dukeman

SWAG by the MSM. There are no supporting data.


12 posted on 12/02/2004 9:56:29 AM PST by freedumb2003 (When does the Revolution start? I'm going for a bike ride for a while. Please fill me in later.)
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: dukeman

Remember, terrorists are not in uniform. These left-wing psycho groups probably count all the dead terrorists as civilian dead.


14 posted on 12/02/2004 9:56:47 AM PST by lnbchip
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To: dukeman

Freepmail me tonight and I'll give you two articles that debunk it neatly. One was by Michael Fumento in the NY Post (don't know if it's still available online, and it was mighty hard to find on their website even the day after it was published). Can't recall the source of the other article, but it was good too. I have both of them on my home computer.


15 posted on 12/02/2004 9:57:21 AM PST by GovernmentShrinker
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To: Prime Choice

And how many of them were killed by the so-called "freedom fighters".


16 posted on 12/02/2004 9:57:43 AM PST by MadAnthony1776
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To: dukeman

I would definitely ask THEM to provide the source stating that there were 100,000 deaths. They should have cited the source when posting the article (although libs never do). Since they didn't, I would challenge them and ask them to provide proof or a source.


17 posted on 12/02/2004 9:57:44 AM PST by Joann37
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To: Prime Choice

The leftist body count site has the number at 14,000 to 16,000. On their site, they say this about the 100K number

"IBC response to the Lancet study estimating "100,000" Iraqi deaths

Some people have asked us why we have not increased our count to 100,000 in the light of the multiple media reports of the recent Lancet study [link] which claims this as a probable and conservative estimate of Iraqi casualties.

Iraq Body Count does not include casualty estimates or projections in its database. It only includes individual or cumulative deaths as directly reported by the media or tallied by official bodies (for instance, by hospitals, morgues and, in a few cases so far, NGOs), and subsequently reported in the media. In other words, each entry in the Iraq Body Count data base represents deaths which have actually been recorded by appropriate witnesses - not "possible" or even "probable" deaths."


18 posted on 12/02/2004 10:05:01 AM PST by SAR
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To: dukeman
The original source was a "study" by some doctors at Hopkins who based their numbers on interviews with a small number of Iraqis, and who concluded that the "excess deaths" were "between 10,000 and 170,000."

Goggle "100,000 Iraqi deaths" and "Johns Hopkins" and you should get the original report. Just from the huge range of the "results" you can conclude that this is an example of junk science.

Congressman Billybob

Click for latest, "Jennings on Jeopardy! -- Nice Guys Do Finish First"

19 posted on 12/02/2004 10:05:22 AM PST by Congressman Billybob (Visit: www.ArmorforCongress.com please.)
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To: dukeman

It was in the British medical journal Lancet, IIRC.


20 posted on 12/02/2004 10:06:29 AM PST by Cynical Nation
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