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Is China building a carrier?
Jane's Defence ^ | 12 August 2005 | Andrew Koch

Posted on 08/14/2005 6:00:25 PM PDT by Jeff Head

Is China building a carrier?

By Yihong Chang JDW Correspondent &
Andrew Koch JDW Bureau Chief
Hong Kong & Washington, DC

Chinese shipyard workers have been repairing a badly damaged ex-Russian aircraft carrier and have repainted it with the country's military markings, raising the question once again of whether China is pursuing longer-term plans to field its first carrier.

In the latest developments, images show that workers at the Chinese Dalian Shipyard have repainted the ex-Russian Kuznetsov-class aircraft carrier Varyag with the markings and colour scheme of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) Navy (PLAN). Additional new photographs show that other work, the specifics of which could not be determined, appears to be continuing and that the condition of the vessel is being improved.

JDW believes that PLAN technicians have also conducted thorough studies of the basic structure of the Varyag during the past few years to obtain a comprehensive understanding of the carrier's structural design. Former PLAN commander General Liu Huaqing stated in his memoirs that China had purchased blueprints for the carrier - a fact that Russian sources confirmed to JDW. Moreover, Gen Huaqing added: "The competent departments of the defence industry employed Russian aircraft carrier designers to come to China and give lectures."

Still, China's ultimate intentions for the Varyag remain unclear. One possibility is that Beijing intends to eventually have it enter into some level of service. A military strategist from a Chinese military university has commented publicly that the Varyag "would be China's first aircraft carrier".


Yaryag undergoing work through 2004 in the Dalian Shipyards


Varyag after movement to another shipyard in 2005

(Excerpt) Read more at janes.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: aircraftcarriers; armsbuildup; armsrace; chinathreat; chinesebuildup; chinesecarrier; chinesemilitary; dragonsfuryseries; freeperjeffhead; jeffhead; navy; planaircraftcarrier; planbuildup; plancarrier; redchinathreat; varyag; worldnavies; worldwariii; worldwidecarriers; wwiii
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Most people never bought the story that the Chinese bought this relatively new carrier hull from Ukraine to make it into a floating Casino...particularly when it was revealed that the "company" that bought it had extremely close ties to the Chinese Military (surprize), and then especially after the purchase and towing to China when that "company" went out of business.

Now, as work continues and the vessel takes on more and more vistage of a ship being worked on and potentially prepared for service, that is all the more obvious.

China is embarked on one of the largest naval military buildups in history. Given the miriad of new vessels they are building, including all of the vessels necessary to comprise a Carrier Battle Group, except the carrier, an operational Chinese carrier group in the China Sea will pose a major upset in the balance of power.

For much more information on the Chinese Naval buildup, see:


1 posted on 08/14/2005 6:00:26 PM PDT by Jeff Head
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To: joanie-f; Dukie; Squantos; JohnHuang2; RobFromGa; k.trujillo; Travis McGee; jim macomber; ...

For those following the continued PLAN (Red Chinese Navy) buildup...this latest from Jane's on the carrier.


2 posted on 08/14/2005 6:01:19 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head

It just seems odd to me that a regime which is basing a new blue water fleet on the submarine, and concentrating on developing and amassing anti-carrier weapons, would bother with an expensive-and in their view, eventually worthless-weapons system like an aircraft carrier.


3 posted on 08/14/2005 6:03:40 PM PDT by warchild9
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To: Jeff Head

I acquired this photo at great risk.

4 posted on 08/14/2005 6:05:30 PM PDT by BulletBobCo
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To: Jeff Head

Casino ship or not, it still seems like there's alot of gambling involved.


5 posted on 08/14/2005 6:07:19 PM PDT by kcar (theUNsucks.com)
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To: Jeff Head

Communist China has Imperialistic ambitions...


6 posted on 08/14/2005 6:07:50 PM PDT by coconutt2000 (NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
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To: BulletBobCo

That's hilarious.


7 posted on 08/14/2005 6:09:07 PM PDT by kcar (theUNsucks.com)
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To: Jeff Head

big whoop.......buying a aircraft carrier dont mean squat until you have experience in sea warfare. Which China DOESNT.


8 posted on 08/14/2005 6:09:18 PM PDT by Tiger Smack (www.tigersmack.com <------- for LSU & SEC sports/news/stuff)
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To: warchild9

"It just seems odd to me that a regime which is basing a new blue water fleet on the submarine, and concentrating on developing and amassing anti-carrier weapons, would bother with an expensive-and in their view, eventually worthless-weapons system like an aircraft carrier."

A status symbol as well as a capability perhaps? It will really scare me when China has a competent submarine fleet. Until then, they really are limited in projecting their power.


9 posted on 08/14/2005 6:09:36 PM PDT by iThinkBig
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To: Jeff Head
epairing a badly damaged ex-Russian

I missed something here... How did it get damaged?

10 posted on 08/14/2005 6:09:45 PM PDT by konaice
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To: kcar

Another Chinese carrier.

11 posted on 08/14/2005 6:11:31 PM PDT by BulletBobCo
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To: warchild9
It is clear that within China that the carrier is not viewed as worthless at all by many of the planners.

The PLA leaders want to look at it that way, but those interested in projecting power beyond the 1st Island chain do not feel that way at all and have clearly influenced the money strings. The Vayrag is just the latest in at least 3 or 4 other older carrier purchases that the Chinese have made. They are studying the issue and the main arguement right now is whether to build their own first one...or to make the fist something like the Vayrag from which they can learn.

In addition, for the last couple of years at least, at internal airfields, they have been practicing SU-27 and SU-30 aircraft take-offs from land based bow jumps...just like on the Vayrag.

My bet is that they will end up doing both.

12 posted on 08/14/2005 6:11:38 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: iThinkBig

An aircraft carrier is old war thinking. With modern ASW capabilities widely available, the submarine isn't very much more advanced.

I can't see the Chinese spending all that money on a carrier when they have so many bases around the world to develop--like in Panama and the Bahamas, for instance...


13 posted on 08/14/2005 6:12:13 PM PDT by warchild9
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To: Jeff Head
That aircraft carrier will be used to put Chinese aircraft in the Caribbean and central America. It is not tactically significant, but it does have strategic value. There will be occasions where the Chinese will use their aircraft to annoy and distract our military operations.
14 posted on 08/14/2005 6:12:33 PM PDT by Born to Conserve
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To: BulletBobCo

I would suggest that we do not trivialize or underestimate them...a lot of people did the same to the Japanese prior to WWII and it came back to haunt them...and cost a lot of lives to put that genie back in the bottle.


15 posted on 08/14/2005 6:12:44 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head
Still, China's ultimate intentions for the Varyag remain unclear.

Seems plain as day to me

16 posted on 08/14/2005 6:13:12 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: kcar

Agreed...but that is always the case with totalitarian governments that have a history of attacking their neighbors.


17 posted on 08/14/2005 6:13:22 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head

Bump to send to Chinese friend.


18 posted on 08/14/2005 6:13:45 PM PDT by Lx (Do you like it, do you like it. Scott? I call it Mr. and Mrs. Tennerman chili.)
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To: Jeff Head

Per my #13, one would think their resources were better spent on hardening bases. That, and submarines, seem to be where their heads are at these days.


19 posted on 08/14/2005 6:13:48 PM PDT by warchild9
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To: Jeff Head
If you look at the bow, it appears to be a jump jet carrier rather than a full sized fleet carrier.

SO9

20 posted on 08/14/2005 6:13:57 PM PDT by Servant of the 9 (Those Poor Poor Rubber Cows)
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To: konaice
It was out of service for a long time...and fallen into a state of disrepair. In addition, the Ukraine had stripped it of engines, weapons, props, etc.

But not damged in the classical sense.

21 posted on 08/14/2005 6:15:03 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head; warchild9

Don't tell the ChiComs, but we would sink their little boat without even seeing it....


22 posted on 08/14/2005 6:15:14 PM PDT by MikefromOhio (Waiting for Willie's boohoohoo of the week....next week, 200 strippers laid off in Tampa......)
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To: Jeff Head

The UN refused to classify this ship as a floating casino after becoming suspicious when the inspecting team pulled one of the slot machine handles and it launched three missiles. ;>


23 posted on 08/14/2005 6:16:04 PM PDT by Eastbound
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To: MikeinIraq

Just my point. Even the communists are betting that our carriers are fat juicy targets just waiting for a missle swarm.


24 posted on 08/14/2005 6:16:37 PM PDT by warchild9
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To: Eastbound

Hehe


25 posted on 08/14/2005 6:18:03 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: MikeinIraq
They are building a carrier on a second hand hull about forty years behind us. And they are planning to go the moon while we are going to Mars.

Who's kidding who about who leads and who follows?

26 posted on 08/14/2005 6:20:09 PM PDT by Thebaddog (How's yer dawgs?)
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To: BulletBobCo

" I acquired this photo at great risk."

That's a pretty short catapult ride there. They must really pour on the knots to get that sucker airborne.


27 posted on 08/14/2005 6:21:27 PM PDT by dljordan
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To: BulletBobCo
Did you hear they were refurnishing this carrier port?


28 posted on 08/14/2005 6:22:43 PM PDT by kcar (theUNsucks.com)
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To: Tiger Smack

"buying a aircraft carrier dont mean squat until you have experience in sea warfare. Which China DOESNT."

They'll be getting plenty of experience but it won't last long.


29 posted on 08/14/2005 6:22:45 PM PDT by dljordan
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To: warchild9

Well they have seen what happened to our destroyer when confronted with a small boat full of explosives.


30 posted on 08/14/2005 6:25:48 PM PDT by CJ Wolf
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To: Jeff Head

let them build two, two carriers, two bombs, they are out alot of money


31 posted on 08/14/2005 6:26:14 PM PDT by sure_fine (*not one to over kill the thought process*)
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To: CJ Wolf

I know I sound like a broken record on these fora, but their possession of our national debt instruments is a greater threat than any dozen aircraft carriers.


32 posted on 08/14/2005 6:27:59 PM PDT by warchild9
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To: kcar

I wouldnt discount any potential enemy.


33 posted on 08/14/2005 6:28:02 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: mylife

We have what 11 active carriers?

We should build 11 more.

Name the active carriers and receive the Golden Citizen Award...


34 posted on 08/14/2005 6:29:16 PM PDT by samadams2000 (Pitchforks and Lanterns..with a smiley face!)
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To: warchild9

Maybe, maybe not. The Varyag is a Kuznetsov-class carrier.

http://www.answers.com/main/ntquery;jsessionid=bgteb70b6tnjq?method=4&dsid=2222&dekey=Soviet+aircraft+carrier+Kuznetsov&gwp=8&curtab=2222_1&sbid=lc01a&linktext=%3CI%3EKuznetsov%3C%2FI%3E-class

***
Intended missions

While designated an aircraft carrier, Kuznetsov's design implies a mission different from that of either the United States Navy's carriers or those of the Royal Navy's. The Russian ship is termed by her builders to be a tyazholiy avionosnyy kreyser - a "heavy aviation cruiser" - intended to support and defend strategic missile-carrying submarines, surface ships, and maritime missile-carrying aircraft of the Russian fleet. The aircraft of the Kuznetsov are essentially constrained to air superiority operations. The lack of catapults on the Kuznetsov precludes launching strike aircraft with heavy loads, which makes it essentially impossible for aircraft to attack land or naval targets. The carrier can carry helicopters for anti-submarine operations, however, and she also carries anti-shipping missiles.
***

The air wing of a Kuznetsov-class is 16 Yak-41M Freestyles, 12 Sukhoi SU-27K, and a whole bunch of choppers - including over 20 choppers. Basically, it is a cross between one of our Tarawa-class assault carriers and our old Forrestal-class fleet carriers, with some Nimitz-class features thrown in (though it's not nuclear powered). It's intended to support and defend a sub fleet, which is what the Chinese are building. It has a LOT more defensive systems than our Nimitz class, especially after the latest Nimitz upgrades that removed the CIWS emplacements in favor of Sea Sparrow launchers. It doesn't need a task force to escort it.


35 posted on 08/14/2005 6:29:37 PM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: warchild9
Based on what they are doing, they are fopcusing on all of the above. In one of their naval buildings they havee a large model of a full deck carrier...a Chinese full deck carrier.


Chinese artist rendering of the same

In addition, they have spent significant time and money studyoing the problem and now the Vayrag continues to be repaired. That costs money too.

Finally, the ski-jumpos at their airfields are rather obvious indications of intent.

I believe they intedn to continue there massive builduo across the board, including towards carrier development...based on their words and their actions.

36 posted on 08/14/2005 6:32:23 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: warchild9

"I can't see the Chinese spending all that money on a carrier when they have so many bases around the world to develop--like in Panama and the Bahamas, for instance..."

True.


37 posted on 08/14/2005 6:33:32 PM PDT by iThinkBig
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To: Servant of the 9

Yes, the Kuznetsov class is a ski-jump take-off carrier...but it is 60-65000 tons, and is considered full deck using the STOAL (Short take off arrested landing) the Russians developed for theirs.


38 posted on 08/14/2005 6:33:53 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: samadams2000

Nope I cant do it LoL
Enterprise? Constitution?

Our fleet is dwindling and many such as Rumsfeld feel that we need a sleeker more agile military. and I do think there is merit to the arguement.

However I would not discount any threat from china


39 posted on 08/14/2005 6:34:18 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: Jeff Head
The Chinese have spent the past twenty years studying the old ex-Australian carrier Melbourne and I believe they also purchased another old flattop a few years ago. Their engineers have undoubtedly been using these older models as hands-on classrooms for the repair of the Varyag and the construction of some homegrown carriers of their own (rumors have been persisting for the past several years that they might have already begun construction, but I haven't seen anything definite, yet).

Anyone who doesn't believe that China will not be a major threat to the United States in the next few years needs to take a major dose of reality and consider the fact that China has been wooing Mexico and many of our southern neighbors for the past few years. A build-up of several million Chinese troops on our southern border could very well be in the cards in the next decade. This carrier, and any future brethren, would go a long way toward securing a supply corridor between China and Mexico. Capture a few small islands in the Central Pacific and the Chinese will have a series of airbases to provide air cover for their convoys.

Yes, our fleet could possibly stop this scenario, or at least put a damper on their plans, but a Pearl Harbor-style assault on the US bases at Pearl Harbor, San Diego, and Bremerton would cripple the US Pacific Fleet long enough for the land war to be decided one way or another.

40 posted on 08/14/2005 6:34:19 PM PDT by Stonewall Jackson ("Those who fail to study history are doomed to repeat the mistakes of the past.")
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To: Jeff Head

The question is why? They have enough bases all around the world to project power virtually anywhere without the use of a vulnerable and expensive aircraft carrier. I just don't see it.


41 posted on 08/14/2005 6:34:58 PM PDT by warchild9
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To: samadams2000

Nimitz class: Nimitz, Eisenhower (on RCOH status right now, though), Vinson, Roosevelt, Lincoln, Washington, Stennis, Truman, Ronald Reagan. The USS George H. W. Bush is building in the yards with a 2008 delivery date.

Kennedy class: USS John F. Kennedy

Enterprise class: USS Enterprise.

I *think* the USS Kitty Hawk (name ship of the class) is still in service (permanent forward deployment in Japan), while Constellation (of the same class) has been decommissioned.


42 posted on 08/14/2005 6:35:12 PM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: warchild9
I believe they intend to use both. If they use one first...and it has the intended effect, they would be in more of a position to use the second.

Additionally, in the litoral waters within the 1st island chain, covered by their significant numbers of land based air, a couple of carriers backed up with large numbers of their new AEGIS-like DDG's, would present a much more difficult task for us.

All of the bravado not withstanding, we are foolish to underestimate them.

43 posted on 08/14/2005 6:37:11 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: warchild9

Take a look at the class description for Varyag. It's supposed to support a sub fleet by itself; it's not a primary offensive weapon like our Nimitz class.


44 posted on 08/14/2005 6:37:31 PM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: Spktyr
The Russian ship is termed by her builders to be a tyazholiy avionosnyy kreyser - a "heavy aviation cruiser" - intended to support and defend strategic missile-carrying submarines,

And China is well underway on nuclear ballistic missle subs. Theve sucsesfully launched from a sub

45 posted on 08/14/2005 6:38:28 PM PDT by mylife (The roar of the masses could be farts)
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To: warchild9
Ask yourself the same question about us. We have more bases...and yet one of the first questions any president asks when a hot spot pokes up is "where are the carriers?".

They are mobile, much harder to target and allow us to project our presence globally, anytime, anywhere.

The Chinese desire the same capability...startying in their own backyard.

46 posted on 08/14/2005 6:38:55 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Spktyr

Good Man! Golden Citizen to you my friend.!


47 posted on 08/14/2005 6:38:55 PM PDT by samadams2000 (Pitchforks and Lanterns..with a smiley face!)
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To: Jeff Head

That looks supiciously like the early CVNX proposals....


48 posted on 08/14/2005 6:39:05 PM PDT by Spktyr (Overwhelmingly superior firepower and the willingness to use it is the only proven peace solution.)
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To: Jeff Head

But isn't an aircraft carrier for projecting power outside the bounds of land-based air?


49 posted on 08/14/2005 6:39:52 PM PDT by warchild9
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To: samadams2000

Im still waiting for the USS Reagan to hit my hobby store. Hear its gonna cost $250. Worth it.


50 posted on 08/14/2005 6:40:15 PM PDT by samadams2000 (Pitchforks and Lanterns..with a smiley face!)
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