I wish Depression #16 would hit at its current strength and move on. It's been loitering East of FL for a few days now, ruining the weather.
Posted on 09/06/2005 2:54:19 PM PDT by Johnny Crab
Does anyone see what I see that is not on weathernews yet?
Er... just damn.
It will hit mexico. I am watching Tropical Depression number 16 off the coast of Florida.
Sometimes you can't catch a break. I am sure it is Bush's fault.
You can't be right. The computer models haven't recognized it yet ;-)
Actually a couple days ago NOAA noted that conditions in the lower Gulf were ripe ....
It looks like the system in the Gulf has better rotation than TD 16. I'll be watching it closely, as warm as the Gulf still is, it wouldn't surprise me if it got it's act together enough to become TD 17
TD #16 is just stirrin' up the breeze a'bit here in S. Florida.
Maybe Mexico could take one off us. Texas doesn't want it and La doesn't need what Florida got last year.
This is just a reminder that a Catagory 4 or 5 can happen any year. Katrina is by no means a once in a lifetime storm, as those who were in Mississippi for Camile can tell you. Everything rebuilt could be blown away next year.
I subscribe to Joe Bastardi's column on AccuWeather and he is very worried about this situation. He hopes he is wrong but it looks like another tropical system may be affecting the Gulf Coast within the next week - possibly taking a path similar to Katrina.
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN SEA
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2005
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N
ATLC FROM 7N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
AMZ080-070330-
SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2005
...HURRICANE WARNING N OF 26N E OF 71W ASSOCIATED WITH NATE...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING N OF 24N W OF 78W ASSOCIATED WITH
SIXTEEN...
.TONIGHT AND WED...ASSOCIATED WITH NATE...TROPICAL STORM FORCE
OR GREATER WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER TONIGHT INCREASING TO
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WED. HIGHEST WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT
TONIGHT INCREASING TO 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT WED NEAR CENTER OF NATE.
SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF NATE WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 120 NM
OF CENTER EXCEPT WITHIN 240 NM OVER SE QUADRANT. ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN...HIGHEST WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT BY MIDNIGHT NEAR CENTER OF
SIXTEEN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS DEVELOPING WITHIN 30 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 10 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT INCREASING TO
10 TO 15 FT LATE TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OVER N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9
FT INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 FT WED. SCATTERED TSTMS N OF 25N W OF
75W. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11
FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N W OF 75W SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 27N E OF 75W SE TO S WIND 10 KT. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...ASSOCIATED WITH NATE...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE OR GREATER WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER INCREASING
TO WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER THU. HIGHEST WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT
INCREASING TO 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT THU NEAR CENTER OF NATE. SEAS
12 TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF NATE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SQUALLS WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER. ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM...HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 56 KT INCREASING TO 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT THU NEAR CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 25 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 120 NM OVER N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. S OF 28N W OF 75W SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6
FT. S OF 28N E OF 75W SE TO S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 27N W OF 79W.
ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. N OF 27N E OF 70W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT
IN CONFUSED SWELL. S OF 27N W OF 75W S TO SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2
FT. S OF 27N E OF 75W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT
WITH E SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS NW AND NE WATERS.
.SAT AND SUN...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED N OF 28N W OF
80W SAT SHIFTING W OF AREA SUN. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 77W SE
TO S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT SUN. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT
SAT SUBSIDING TO 7 TO 10 FT SUN. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N NE TO E
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN CONFUSED SWELL. S OF 27N E
TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT E OF THE BAHAMAS AND 2
TO 3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. SCATTERED TSTMS NW WATERS.
AS A RESULT OF HURRICANE KATRINA WEATHER FAX BROADCASTS FROM NEW
ORLEANS ARE INOPERABLE. ON A TEMPORARY BASIS THE BOSTON FAX
BROADCAST WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE A SUITE OF PRODUCTS FOR
THE CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF MEXICO WITH STARTING TIMES OF
0452...1028...1824...AND 2228 UTC ON 4235...6340.5...9110 AND
12750 KHZ. SEE THE COMPLETE SCHEDULE AT
HTTP://WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/PUB/FAX/HFMARSH.TXT
USE LOWER CASE FOR HTTP ADDRESS.
$$
FORECASTER NELSON
I wish Depression #16 would hit at its current strength and move on. It's been loitering East of FL for a few days now, ruining the weather.
Yep. We survived Betsy when in NOLA as our parents stayed. Our Texas "plan" is anything above a Cat 1 and we're outta here(old farmhouse that has survived major storms here since the 1920's, main structure). Claudette was intense(Cat 1). We have lists, children have lists, flood & home insurance is paid up.
Great.
Then the MEXICANS can blame Bush.
Why does the formation in the gulf seems to be spinning the opposite direction compared to the three water vapor loops
shown here:
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
get a grip ... seriously. no, nada, nothing. Do you remember how big Katrina was? how big the eye was? This quantifies as NOTHING ... pure foolish scare-mongering, worry-warting, you fill in the adjective.
Did Rove leave the WeatherTron on?
at worst it's scheduled to reach "tropical storm" level. Frankly, just a lot of scaremongering by the media. When else do these types get this much attention?
Oh no, then they all might come here! Oh, wait...
This is the worry that Joe Bastardi at Accuweather has.
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