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This Market Is Sending a Signal (carbon dioxide trading scheme)
Tech Central Station ^ | 12/06/2005 | Ronald Bailey

Posted on 12/06/2005 7:11:20 PM PST by neverdem

MONTREAL -- "Environmental effectiveness and minimum cost are two core building blocks for any long term modern climate policy," declared Olivia Hartridge, a representative from the Environmental Directorate of the European Commission. She was speaking on a panel on the European Union's Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) at the United Nations' Climate Change conference in Montreal. The problem is that it is not at all clear the EU ETS fulfills either goal.

The EU launched its new carbon dioxide trading scheme this past January as a way to begin to meet its commitments to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 8 percent below what the EU emitted in 1990. The idea is to keep the earth's climate cool by cutting fossil fuel emissions that tend to warm the atmosphere. The EU ETS applies to 11,500 facilities that produce or use 20 megawatts of power, including electric power generation plants, refineries, metal foundries, and cement manufacturers. These facilities emit about 45 percent of the CO2 produced in Europe.

First, let's consider environmental effectiveness. The ETS has allocated 2.2 billion allowances to emit CO2 among the 11,500 facilities it covers. Speaking on the same panel, Abyd Karmali, an energy consultant with ICF Consulting, estimated that the allocations have lowered emissions by perhaps 50 million tons compared with what they would otherwise have been in a business-as-usual scenario. Even if all the cuts mandated by the Kyoto Protocol were achieved -- which Karmali estimates to be equal to a cut of 700 million tons of CO2 emitted per year -- they would spare the earth a negligible 0.02 to 0.28 degrees of warming by 2050. Reducing CO2 emissions by a mere 50 million tons clearly has no discernible impact whatsoever on the earth's climate.

And what about the core building block of minimum costs? Before CO2 trading began, models devised by consultants projected that the price of a ton of carbon would be under 10 Euros. Last January, the price for a metric ton of CO2 opened at around 5 to 7 Euros. However, the price rose steeply to nearly 30 Euros by September before settling back at around 22 Euros currently. Meanwhile European wholesale electricity prices have soared, rising from about 28 Euros per megawatt hour (mwh) to over 40 Euros per mwh during the past year.

Admittedly, a good bit of the increase is the result of the recent run up in natural gas and oil prices. But the high prices for CO2 allowances are also responsible for some of the increase. In order to meet their Kyoto Protocol commitments, Karmali estimates that European Union member states will have to cut their carbon emissions by 250 million metric tons per year between 2008 and 2012. This would clearly add even more upward pressure on the price of CO2 emissions allowances.

Ultimately, Europe's experience with a CO2 market is sending the world a signal about just how hard and costly it will be to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

Copyright © 2005


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Canada; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Germany; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Russia; Technical; US: District of Columbia; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: climatechange; crapitalgains; globalwarming

1 posted on 12/06/2005 7:11:21 PM PST by neverdem
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To: neverdem

So, how is CO2 traded? Bottles???


2 posted on 12/06/2005 7:13:32 PM PST by clee1 (We use 43 muscles to frown, 17 to smile, and 2 to pull a trigger. I'm lazy and I'm tired of smiling.)
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To: clee1

Bottles aren't needed, because the scheme depends on selling carbon dioxide that you don't have.


3 posted on 12/06/2005 7:27:22 PM PST by Oztrich Boy ( the Wedge Document ... offers a message of hope for Muslims - Mustafa Akyol)
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To: Oztrich Boy
Ahhhhh!

CO2 speculation

Does this mean that CO2 will become a traded commodity? Should we be buying into plants that produce MORE of it, in order to reduce the prices to those nations in short supplies of it?

< /dripping sarcasm>

4 posted on 12/06/2005 7:36:56 PM PST by clee1 (We use 43 muscles to frown, 17 to smile, and 2 to pull a trigger. I'm lazy and I'm tired of smiling.)
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To: Oztrich Boy; Grampa Dave; marron

Blah, Blah Blah. This writer doesn't get it, no?

It's a money laundering scheme. Phoney reductions, phoney trades, unverifiable statistics.

This will make Enron's scheme of fake power plants, etc. look pipsqueak.


5 posted on 12/06/2005 7:40:06 PM PST by Shermy
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To: Shermy

Exactly...and it's a giant circlejerk.

6 posted on 12/06/2005 7:48:06 PM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: neverdem

Gracie Allen: "This is so silly, why don't they just close all the greenhouses?"

George Burns: "It isn't about greenhouses, it's about money. Say goodnight, Gracie."


7 posted on 12/06/2005 7:52:21 PM PST by gas0linealley
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To: clee1

"So, how is CO2 traded? Bottles???"

No, in the fantasy world Al Gore and his UN Kyoto Klowns created for the EU, they're dealt in little permit papers allowing a certain amount of CO2 pollution, which the UN verifies for all the world's companies, except of course in countries that actually do pollute. Those, the UN will conveniently ignore so that the countries can 'sell' their permit papers to other countries that DON'T pollute. And of course, the UN will look the other way given the right amount in the ol' Swiss account.

And BTW, Kyoto's been irretrievably broken already. Some country already decided it deserved more 'credits' and assigned itself more. I think it was France.

Part of me thinks just one of the states should join, just to mess with the UN enforcement scheme.


8 posted on 12/06/2005 7:52:47 PM PST by LibertarianInExile (Cowards cut and run. Marines never do. Murtha can ESAD, that cowardly, no-longer-a-Marine, traitor.)
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To: Southack

A great investigative reporter would bust through the do-gooder cover story for the suckers and talk about how money really moves under this scam.


9 posted on 12/06/2005 7:56:17 PM PST by Shermy
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To: LibertarianInExile

Sadly, some of our governments here have already pledged their allegiance to Kyoto.


10 posted on 12/06/2005 7:58:18 PM PST by gas0linealley
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To: LibertarianInExile

"And BTW, Kyoto's been irretrievably broken already. Some country already decided it deserved more 'credits' and assigned itself more. I think it was France."

Just like the Euro zone deficit rules. They break deficit restrictions, force smaller countries to comply. France effectively gets a subsidy from these countries to soften the inflationary effect of France's deficits.


11 posted on 12/06/2005 7:58:26 PM PST by Shermy
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To: clee1

Beer.


12 posted on 12/06/2005 8:01:42 PM PST by MarkeyD (Cowards cut and run. Marines finish the job. I really, really loathe liberals.)
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To: clee1
Should we be buying into plants> that produce MORE of it, in order to reduce the prices to those nations in short supplies of it?

Irresistible pun:

Plants don't produce CO2, they consume it. Ever hear of photosynthesis? :-)

Cheers!

13 posted on 12/06/2005 9:50:42 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Shermy

"A great investigative reporter would bust through the do-gooder cover story for the suckers and talk about how money really moves under this scam."

Are there any good investigative reporters left, or are all of them trying to electronically lynch our president with their lies/spins and half truths?


14 posted on 12/06/2005 10:50:35 PM PST by Grampa Dave (NY / LA Slimes and Wash Compost charge subscribers for their lies about Iraq and the USA!)
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