Analysis: How the US 'lost' Latin America

bbc ^ | 4/3/2006 | Staff

[wjersey]

There is trouble ahead for Uncle Sam in his own backyard. Big trouble.

It is one of the most important and yet largely untold stories of our world in 2006. George W Bush has lost Latin America. While the Bush administration has been fighting wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, relations between the United States and the countries of Latin America have become a festering sore - the worst for years.

Virtually anyone paying attention to events in Venezuela and Nicaragua in the north to Peru and Bolivia further south, plus in different ways Mexico, Argentina and Brazil, comes to the same conclusion: there is a wave of profound anti-American feeling stretching from the Texas border to the Antarctic.

And almost everyone believes it will get worse.

President Bush came into office declaring that Latin America was a priority. That's hardly surprising. It's been a priority for every American president since James Monroe in 1823 whose "Monroe Doctrine" told European nations to keep out of Latin American affairs.

In pursuit of American interests, the US has overthrown or undermined around 40 Latin American governments in the 20th Century.

For his part, President Bush even suggested that the United States had no more important ally than... wait for it... Mexico.

None of that survived the attacks of 9/11.

More ulcers?

Mr Bush launched his War on Terror and re-discovered the usefulness of allies like Britain.

While Washington's attention turned to al-Qaeda, the Taleban, Iraq and now Iran, in country after county in Latin America voters chose governments of the left, sometimes the implacably "anti-gringo" left, loudly out of sympathy with George Bush's vision of the world, and reflecting a continent with the world's greatest gulf between rich and poor.

[Violeta Chamorro] told me that Washington politicians could always find money for wars in Latin America - but rarely for peace

The next country to fall to a strongly anti-American populist politician could be Peru. Voters there go to the polls on 9 April to elect a president and Congress.

The presidential frontrunner is Ollanta Humala, a retired army commander who led a failed military uprising in October 2000 and who is now ahead in the opinion polls.

Now, opinion polls in Peru are not especially reliable. They under-represent poor voters in the countryside.

But that is the point. The rural poor form the backbone of Mr Humala's support. If he is ahead even in the flawed opinion polls which tend to under-count his key constituency, Mr Humala is confident he can take the presidency.

And if he does, there will be more ulcers in George Bush's White House.

Shades of red

Like President Hugo Chavez in Venezuela and President Evo Morales in Bolivia, Mr Humala talks of the evils of what he calls "the neo-liberal economic model that has failed to benefit our nation".

He dismisses the role of multinational companies that "offer no benefits" to the people of Peru, and he speaks of a new division in the world.

Where once Cuba's Fidel Castro could harangue the US with talk of the colonisers and the colonised, Ollanta Humala attacks globalisation as a plot to undermine Peru's national sovereignty and benefit only the rich on the backs of Latin America's poor. "Some countries globalise, and others are globalised," is how he puts it. "The Third World belongs in the latter category."

All this may discourage foreign investment, but it is mild compared to Venezuela's Hugo Chavez.

He compares President Bush to Hitler.

"The imperialist, genocidal, fascist attitude of the US president has no limits," Mr Chavez says. "I think Hitler would be like a suckling baby next to George W Bush."

If you were to colour a map of anti-Americanism in Latin America, for nearly 50 years Fidel Castro's Cuba has been the deepest red. Three of the most economically developed countries - Brazil, Chile and Argentina - are now in varying shades of left-of-centre pink.

Peru - if Mr Humala wins - would join Venezuela and Bolivia in bright post-box red, with two other countries - Mexico and Nicaragua - possibly about to follow.

Bogeyman returns?

Nicaragua is close to my heart. What has happened there for the past 20 years sums up the failures of US policy across Latin America.

As a young reporter I travelled across Nicaragua witnessing the fall of the left-wing Sandinista government led by the revolutionary Daniel Ortega.

Now in this new century things are changing, and [Latin America's] potential is being realised

For years Mr Ortega was Washington's Enemy Number One, the ultimate bogeyman. President Bush's father, George Bush senior, was a key player in undermining Mr Ortega and the Sandinistas.

Mr Bush senior had been Director of Central Intelligence and Ronald Reagan's vice-president before he became president of the United States in January 1989.

During the Reagan administration money was channelled - illegally Democrats said - to the Nicaraguan "Contra" guerrillas, a motley crew of CIA trained anti-communists, paramilitaries and thugs.

The resulting scandal - known as "Iran-Contra" - almost brought down the Reagan administration. George Bush senior survived the scandal, and as president managed to see his policies finally work when Nicaragua's own people threw out the Sandinistas in a democratic election in 1990.

After the polls closed in the capital, Managua, I stood in a counting station next to a young Sandinista woman in green military fatigues. Shaking with emotion she brushed away a tear as the voting papers piled up for the Washington-supported opposition candidate, Violeta Chamorro.

"Adios, muchachos," the Sandinista girl called out to her defeated comrades, "companeros de mi vida!!!" (Goodbye boys, comrades of my life.)

Money issue

That was then. This is now. The young Sandinista revolutionary, Daniel Ortega, is back. He may well be re-elected president of Nicaragua.

Can you imagine it? The man who survived CIA plots and Contra death squads, who relinquished power peacefully to Washington's candidate, Violeta Chamorro, sweeping back into the Nicaraguan presidency?

It will be a huge embarrassment for George Bush junior, a symbol of everything that has gone wrong with American foreign policy in the hemisphere. And guess who predicted it would go wrong? Violeta Chamorro herself.

The night before her election victory over Mr Ortega I was invited to dinner at the walled compound of Mrs Chamorro's house in Managua. She told me that Washington politicians could always find money for wars in Latin America - but rarely for peace in Latin America.

She said even a slice of the money used to back the anti-communist Contra guerrillas could build a new Nicaragua - but she predicted that if she won the election Washington would declare victory - and then cut off the money supply. She was right.

Potential realised

And now? Well, most of my travelling in Latin America in the 1990s was to cover bad news: insurgency in Peru, American troops invading Panama, the killings by the Contras in Nicaragua, the repressive regime of Fidel Castro in Cuba, and armed thugs burning the rainforest in Brazil.

Even then, the potential of this wonderful continent was obvious.

Now in this new century things are changing, and the potential is being realised. With the exception of Cuba and Haiti, democracy has flourished, almost everywhere.

Latin American voters have thrown out their governments and - often - given a two-fingered salute to Washington. That is their prerogative.

Economically, some countries - including Peru - have been roaring ahead.

Their cultures are flourishing too. A new generation of novelists is following the path blazed by Gabriel Garcia Marquez, Mario Vargas Llosa, and Carlos Fuentes.

The music? In this special series, we'll be hearing from Novalima from Peru - just one of the talented new bands.

And the cinema? If you haven't seen some of the new hot films from Mexico or Argentina, then you are missing a real treat.

I will be reporting shortly for Newsnight from Argentina on the New Generation cinema which is hotter than a chilli pepper and cooler than a long-neck beer. Plus we'll be covering the run-up to Peru's elections live from Lima, and assessing the huge leftward shift from Argentina to Venezuela.

Oh, yes, and I've also been an extra in a film being made in Buenos Aires. (I don't think the Oscar judges are likely to get too interested. But it was fun.)

I hope, in other words, that Newsnight's Inside Latin American season will capture some of the spice and rhythms of a continent full of life, and hope and promise - plus a lot of problems for Uncle Sam.

[wjersey]

A problem as long as you have a lot of poor people - the left looks pretty good to them.

[opinionator]

Yes, the world is a dynamic place. Friends become enemies and enemies become friends. How about that?!

[dfwgator]

Whatever. Latin America flirts with socialism every 20 years or so, and then after a few years, realizes that it won't work. Rinse and Repeat.

[facedown]

...George Bush junior...

Yeah, this is an objective analysis.

[Logophile]

It will be a huge embarrassment for George Bush junior, a symbol of everything that has gone wrong with American foreign policy in the hemisphere.

Why would it be an embarrassment for President Bush? The ones who should be embarrassed are the scurrilous Leftist politicians and the useful idiots who support them. Together, they will run their countries into the ground and still find a way to blame the United States.

[USFRIENDINVICTORIA]

The left loves poor people -- they spend every waking moment thinking about how to make more of them.

[PeteB570]

Time to build that fence and make sure its 20 feet high. All the way from sea to sea, CA to TX.

[kinghorse]

actually it is. Perhaps someday he will preside over the united americas of america.

[plain talk]

He paints a dark picture but he doesn't make a case for how it is Bush's fault that the masses in these 3rd world countries are suckered in by socialists. Even people in this country fall for it.

[AmericanChef]

-relations between the United States and the countries of Latin America have become a festering sore-

Correction: Latin America IS a festering sore. The U.S. is tired of dealing with it.

[CROSSHIGHWAYMAN]

Problems in the 50s and 60s too.

[kinghorse]

otherwise known as oceania.

[mgist]

Like I told my Euro friend, The U.S. is as responsible for Latin America as much as Europe is for Africa. It is true however, that Latin America is taking a dangerous turn towards Socialism. They are poor and desperate. The indian populations are manipulated and used. The only positives are Fox and Uribe in Colombia.

[muawiyah]

Our lax immigration controls have allowed most of the Middle Class people in Latin America to escape.

When they're gone, the only people left are rabid leftist nutcases.

We have to tighten up immigration control, and send people back home to their own countries to face up to their own responsibilities.

[GaryMontana]

Since these nations hate the USA so much == we should cut all of our foreign aid to them. See how they enjoy their status than. Furthermore stop imports from these countries as well.

I would like to see how long these nations last without our money, trade, and knowledge.

[SirJohnBarleycorn]

After the polls closed in the capital, Managua, I stood in a counting station next to a young Sandinista woman in green military fatigues. Shaking with emotion she brushed away a tear as the voting papers piled up for the Washington-supported opposition candidate, Violeta Chamorro.

"Adios, muchachos," the Sandinista girl called out to her defeated comrades, "companeros de mi vida!!!" (Goodbye boys, comrades of my life.)

To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, one would have to have a heart of stone to read this account of the sad Sandanista girl without laughing.

[Darkwolf377]

She said even a slice of the money used to back the anti-communist Contra guerrillas could build a new Nicaragua - but she predicted that if she won the election Washington would declare victory - and then cut off the money supply. She was right.

That's some cut-off money supply:

To enable Nicaragua to meet eligibility requirements for borrowing from international financial institutions, the United States government promised Nicaragua approximately US$300 million in 1990. These funds were designated primarily for debt repayment and petroleum imports (the country's petroleum bill in 1989 was US$90 million). A smaller portion was earmarked for employment generation. However, these promised funds would prove slow to come. Two hundred days after the inauguration of President Chamorro, only US$160 million of the US$300 million pledged by the United States had been delivered. Conditions for new loans were also placed by international banking organizations. In 1991 the IMF approved a US$55.7 million standby credit over an eighteen-month period to support President Chamorro's economic program. Requirements for the money, however, were similar to those of the United States government and included accelerated privatization. In July 1991, President Chamorro signed a US$420 million loan with the World Bank and the IDB. Beginning in 1992, US$220 million was disbursed for investment in coffee, cotton, and cattle and for improvement of damaged and worn infrastructure. The remainder was to be used to pay off a bridge loan from Colombia, Spain, Venezuela, and Mexico, money those countries had loaned Nicaragua to pay a US$360 million debt to the World Bank and the IDB. Arrears payments to the international financial institutions were a standard condition for eligibility for new loans. Nicaragua also received additional aid from seventeen other countries to pay off arrears. Data as of December 1993

http://www.photius.com/countries/nicaragua/economy/nicaragua_economy_foreign_aid.html

[1rudeboy]

Boy, that film critic for the BBC got you all riled up, didn't he?

[Conservative Firster]

Otto Reich

Bush Loses Key Aide for Latin America

In 2001, Ambassador Reich was nominated by President Bush to become assistant secretary of state for hemispheric affairs.

A full floor Senate vote was blocked by Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn., the ranking Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee’s Subcommittee on the Western Hemisphere. Dodd holds several grudges against Reich, including Reich's work to oust Nicaragua's communist Sandinistas. Dodd had argued the Reagan policies that opposed the Sandinistas were misguided.

[snip]

It was not only Fidel Castro or Daniel Ortega whom Reich fought, Menges pointed out. As President Reagan’s ambassador to Venezuela, he was steeped in the diplomatic and political landscape all throughout Latin America

Drawing on that experience and background, Dr. Menges told NewsMax, “Ambassador Reich understood early that Chavez is a person who has opposed political democracy.” Chavez is closely allied with Castro and has called himself a second Fidel.

“And he saw that Chavez, along with Castro’s secret networks, was supporting the armed communist guerillas in Colombia, and destabilization in Bolivia, and many other anti-democratic actions throughout the hemisphere.”

[Question_Assumptions]

South American countries will move left, flirt with communism, thousands if not millions of people will die, and the American left will yawn and blame it on America. That's been their M.O. for nearly a century now. They don't care how many poor Third World people die in the quest for the communist utopia. All that matters was that the people who kill them meant well. Pinochet killed some 3,000 people and he's the devil, as far as the American left is concerned. Mao killed tens of millions and leftists carried around his Little Red Book.