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Lopez Obrador leading Calderon in Mexican Vote Recount [Update: Calderon now leading]
www.easybourse.com ^ | 05 July 2006 | Tom Barkley

Posted on 07/05/2006 2:12:31 PM PDT by chilepepper

MEXICO CITY -(Dow Jones)- Mexico's leftist presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador holds a small lead in the final vote count being conducted by the Federal Electoral Institute, or IFE, based on results from 35.2% of polling stations, The Associated Press reported Wednesday afternoon.

Lopez Obrador, of the Democratic Revolution Party, or PRD, is ahead with 37.1%, while conservative Felipe Calderon of the ruling National Action Party, or PAN, has 34.3% of the vote, according to IFE.

A quick tally the night of Sunday's vote proved too close for IFE to call a winner, so election officials Wednesday started a full review of tallies compiled by polling stations. The process could take several days to complete.

In a preliminary vote count, Calderon led by a little over 400,000 votes, about 1 percentage point, with 98.5% of the country's more than 130,000 balloting places reporting.

Lopez Obrador's campaign has rejected the preliminary results and called on IFE to open ballot boxes and conduct a vote-by-vote recount, citing irregularities. Leonel Cota, president of the PRD, upped the stakes Wednesday by saying the campaign won't concede the election without a full recount.

While parties can appeal to district election officials to open ballot boxes for a recount, it's unclear if a nationwide recount is allowed under Mexican law.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Mexico; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: calderon; chavez; election; elections; happyjimmuhcarter; horroratdu; mexico2006; obrador; presidentialelection; shtf
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To: chilepepper

We'll know Gore is advising them if they start disenfranchising military voters.


21 posted on 07/05/2006 2:53:25 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: Vigilanteman

Have Faith, weak knees worry wobbles!!! Follow the money at Intrade.com., Valderon is still a 80% favorite over labrador who is polling at a 20% chance of winning or stealing the election.


22 posted on 07/05/2006 2:53:32 PM PDT by Jack Ian
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To: conservative in nyc

Obragoes's lead is now down to 2.42% with 64.34% of the vote recounted. Are these periodic vote totals being released to let them know how many more they need to manufacture?

If so, one would think it would play out like the 2002 eletion in South Dakota, where just enough votes came rolling in from the final county to report to erase Thune's all-night lead against Johnson.

Of course, this is Mexico, so maybe PAN has their own vote manufacturers.


23 posted on 07/05/2006 2:53:53 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (crime would drop like a sprung trapdoor if we brought back good old-fashioned hangings)
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To: chilepepper

There already was a full count - Calderon won:

http://www.elecciones.imagen.com.mx/imagen.php

If any recount does anything majorly different, then something is rotten somewhere.


24 posted on 07/05/2006 2:57:23 PM PDT by WOSG (-)
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To: IslandJeff
Why can't these people find real jobs?

LIE-berals civil servants are never out of work as long as there are other liberal civil servants.

25 posted on 07/05/2006 2:58:12 PM PDT by llevrok ("Drink your beer, damnit! There are people in Africa sober.")
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To: Vigilanteman
With 65.68%:

ObraGore (PRD) 36.91% (-.07%)
Calderon (PAN) 34.60% (+.04%)

The PAN vote is increasing a bit with the recent data dump.
26 posted on 07/05/2006 3:16:15 PM PDT by conservative in nyc
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To: Vigilanteman
All the votes are in, and there already has been a preliminary count in which ObraGore lost by about .6%. There are no votes to manufacture. In fact, I think they are just re-reviewing the 130,000+ precinct tally sheets, not actually recounting the physical votes.
27 posted on 07/05/2006 3:18:22 PM PDT by conservative in nyc
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To: conservative in nyc

Good to have you back NYC. The money is still big on Calderon at InTrade.com, so I am not worried the little Marxist with no passport will not steal it.


28 posted on 07/05/2006 3:21:26 PM PDT by Jack Ian
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To: Vigilanteman

It is a little odd that they would be releasing the recount of the vote tallies as they come in from the various electoral districts. Obviously, there are regional differences, and Obrador did better in some areas than Calderon and vice versa. So these piecemeal releases tell us nothing.

Mexico has a very secure voting system and I think it would be hard for them to manufacture votes in the tried and true Dem way (i.e., the dead-but-voting, the persons who have mastered bilocation, etc.). However, I suppose it's possible that the Mexican left has worked out some other creative way of thwarting elections.


29 posted on 07/05/2006 3:25:49 PM PDT by livius
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To: conservative in nyc
With 69.01%

López Obrador 36.81%
Felipe Calderón 34.64%.

30 posted on 07/05/2006 3:30:18 PM PDT by CedarDave (When a soldier dies, a protester gloats, a family cries, an Iraqi votes)
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To: conservative in nyc

Not fast enough, I'm afraid.


31 posted on 07/05/2006 3:31:03 PM PDT by CedarDave (When a soldier dies, a protester gloats, a family cries, an Iraqi votes)
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To: livius
With 69.01%:

ObraGore (PRD) 36.81% (-.10%)
Calderon (PAN) 34.64% (+.04%)

The gap is closing - but is it closing fast enough? I have no idea which precincts were out in the count. I doubt they've been doing it alphabetically by state, since Calderon would be pulling about even by now if they were (and would have never fallen this far behind).
32 posted on 07/05/2006 3:31:33 PM PDT by conservative in nyc
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To: DesScorp
Better get that fence-wall up soon....if you think border crossings are bad now, it's gonna get a lot worse under this fool.

Socialist countries are very good about preventing their slaves people from leaving.

33 posted on 07/05/2006 3:35:21 PM PDT by FreedomCalls (It's the "Statue of Liberty," not the "Statue of Security.")
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To: WOSG
goddamn. the leftists are stealing the election?!??!

Why would you assume that it's Obrador who is stealing the election and not Calderon? It seems very plausible that the corrupt ruling party (and by the way, that's not a specific attack on Calderon, just an observation that "corrupt" and "ruling party" are historically joined together in Mexico) might adjust the voting results to maintain its grip on power.

I certainly hope Obrador loses, since he's the greater of the two evils. But I don't expect anything particularly good to come out of a Calderon victory.

34 posted on 07/05/2006 3:36:58 PM PDT by dpwiener
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To: conservative in nyc
With 71.46%

ObraGore (PRD) 36.87 (+.07%%)
Calderon (PAN) 34.56% (-.08%)

The most recent precincts favored ObraGore.
35 posted on 07/05/2006 3:50:31 PM PDT by conservative in nyc
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To: conservative in nyc

With the recount at 71.46%

Candidatos Presidenciales:

Andrés Manuel López Obrador: 36.87 %
Felipe Calderón: 34.56 %
Roberto Madrazo: 22.02%
Patricia Mercado: 2.72 %
Roberto Campa: 0.94 %


36 posted on 07/05/2006 3:51:33 PM PDT by CedarDave (When a soldier dies, a protester gloats, a family cries, an Iraqi votes)
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To: conservative in nyc

What about those 700,000 "annulled" votes we heard about a couple of days ago. Are those being counted now?


37 posted on 07/05/2006 3:53:19 PM PDT by CedarDave (When a soldier dies, a protester gloats, a family cries, an Iraqi votes)
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To: CedarDave
What about those 700,000 "annulled" votes we heard about a couple of days ago. Are those being counted now?

I doubt it. This is supposed to be just a re-tallying of the tally sheets and recounting of the votes in areas where the tally sheets had errors.

Sometimes, people are disgusted by all of the candidates and don't want to vote. There were at least two other races going on - for Senate and Chamber of Deputies, and some local races as well.
38 posted on 07/05/2006 3:57:12 PM PDT by conservative in nyc
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To: CedarDave
What about those 700,000 "annulled" votes we heard about a couple of days ago. Are those being counted now?

I doubt it. This is supposed to be just a re-tallying of the tally sheets and recounting of the votes in areas where the tally sheets had errors.

Sometimes, people are disgusted by all of the candidates and don't want to vote. There were at least two other races going on - for Senate and Chamber of Deputies, and some local races as well.
39 posted on 07/05/2006 3:57:13 PM PDT by conservative in nyc
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To: dpwiener

" Why would you assume that it's Obrador who is stealing the election and not Calderon? "

1. Obrador made clear that he would take action if he lost, meaning street action, etc. He has arrogantly assumed he would win all along. Obra-gore indeed.
2. The full first count had Calderon winning by 1%. You *dont* change numbers that much.

The corrupt ruling party *was* the PRI.

"But I don't expect anything particularly good to come out of a Calderon victory."

The defeat of a leftist for one, and the salvation of mexico's economy for two.


40 posted on 07/05/2006 4:07:46 PM PDT by WOSG (-)
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