Skip to comments.CA: Little risk to Schwarzenegger of blackouts, thanks to Gray Davis
Posted on 07/21/2006 8:15:49 PM PDT by NormsRevenge
Despite a midsummer heat wave that has pushed energy use to an all-time high this week, experts say Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger probably does not have to fear the blackouts that ended former Gov. Gray Davis' political career.
And he has Davis to thank for that.
The long-term contracts Davis signed, at great political cost, guarantee plentiful energy for the next few years at what now look like good rates.
"In an interesting twist of fate, he's benefiting from the decisions that his predecessor suffered for," said Frank Wolak, a Stanford economist who specializes in energy. "The terrible contracts" Davis "signed at the height of the crisis are now quite reasonable."
Davis was recalled from office in 2003 and replaced by Schwarzenegger, in large part because of the energy crisis.
Schwarzenegger's Democratic opponent, state Treasurer Phil Angelides, has tried to capitalize on fears of a new wave of blackouts as temperatures climbed. This week, he warned of "a new energy crisis" and blamed Schwarzenegger for failing to build enough power plants.
But energy experts say although population and job growth have pushed the system up near its capacity, today's situation is nothing like the energy crisis of 2000 to 2001.
The blackouts occurred largely because of market manipulation. With utilities dependent on the spot market, energy companies such as Enron withheld supply to drive up prices.
But with utilities now buying power under long-term contracts, there is little danger of a repeat.
And while it is true that fewer plants have been built under Schwarzenegger than while Davis was governor, the California Independent System Operator, which manages the state's power grid, said the state has adequate power supply, even during heat waves like the current one. The high temperatures are forecast to last at least the beginning of next week.
On Monday, the state shattered its previous energy consumption record, peaking at 46,501 megawatts. But the system did not falter, and Cal ISO did not have to trigger voluntary rationing by businesses.
That does not mean the state could not face problems in the future. Experts say California could face blackouts if the electricity supply fails to keep pace with rising demand or if utilities do not negotiate new long-term contracts as the old ones expire in the next few years.
State Sen. Joe Dunn, D-Santa Ana, said if a 100-year heat wave were to hit, the state would be vulnerable to blackouts because it does not have enough reserve power. That requires utilities to generate excess power, costing them money.
A 20 percent reserve, he said, "is very costly. But the problem is, 10 percent is not adequate for a 100-year heat wave."
Angelides says Schwarzenegger is not preparing for the future because he has not encouraged as many new power plants to be built as Davis did. But experts said the slowdown was the result of so many power plants being built during the Davis administration, creating a supply glut that reduced the economic incentive to build new ones.
Building new plants is not the only way to increase the state's energy supply, however.
Given California's energy use patterns, which peak on hot summer afternoons as residential customers turn up their air conditioning, several experts said the state would be better to encourage conservation than build power plants that only get used a few hours a year when demand skyrockets.
Severin Borenstein, director of the University of California Energy Institute, said Schwarzenegger could prod the state Public Utilities Commission to encourage users to conserve energy by charging them more for the power they use during peak hours. In exchange, customers would get cheaper power during off-peak hours.
Although the state spent $35 million during the energy crisis on new meters that can tell when businesses use their power each day, they have balked at being charged on an hourly basis for energy, and the PUC has been slow to set new rates.
Conservation has "taken a back seat to the, 'We gotta build, build, build' mentality," Borenstein said. He said states such as Georgia, Florida, New York and Illinois already charge companies more for peak energy use.
A spokesman for the governor, Darrell Ng, said Schwarzenegger supports a market-based conservation approach but wants to do it carefully to avoid repeating the mistakes of deregulation, which led to California's electricity crisis.
On Thursday, the PUC gave Pacific Gas & Electric permission to install new time-sensitive meters for residential users. But it will take five years to install the meters and participation is voluntary.
In the meantime, California is keeping up with rising demand by applying energy efficient building codes and better technology. Although the state's population grows by 2 percent a year, its energy usage has risen only 1.8 percent a year, said Claudia Chandler, assistant executive director of the California Energy Commission.
"On a per capita basis, California leads the nation in efficiency," she said. "Our consumption is flat compared to 30 years ago."
No mention of who put them there in the first place. lol
Right, all we had to do was have falsified blackouts cause Davis to sign up for power at triple the value for many years to come.
Huh? I am sweating here in Simi Valley because of a 2 hour brownout that just ended. It's our second 2-hour brownout this week. The first one was 4:30 to 6:30 last Saturday, and now this one from 5:30 - 7:40 tonight. There was just enough juice to keep the lighbulbs dim but not enough to allow even a fan to make a breeze. It was 85 in the house but now it is down to 82.
Gray Davis....the name seems familiar!!
Yeah, those long term contracts Dumbwad Davis should have signed 6 months prior when we'd have gotten electricity a hell of a lot cheaper. Thanks to Davis waiting for FERC to do his job for him, we're now locked in to FAR HIGHER electric prices than if he had acted sooner when prices were a lot lower. And the spot market prices have gone a lot lower since. So spare me this media swill that Davis did us some great favor. He continues to screw us everytime we pay our electric bills with rates higher than most any other state.
I can't seem to remember if things like a fridge's compressor is line voltage sensative but I wouldn't want to take a chance. AND if it screws your equipment up, there's no recourse from the power company.
I think it'd be safer to have a blackout.
At my house and a few of my buddies the air conditioners run all day and it remains hot enough outside to make it a struggle to even keep the temperature at 80. But it isn't a heat wave in Oklahoma, its a fact of life that it is going to be miserable in July and August.
I'm glad to see someone else here recognizes this article for the piece of revisionist history garbage that it is.
Typical socialist claptrap from the ap.
Not sure. California Edison bills me by automatic debit from my bank acct. so I don't get a paper bill anymore and I don't know my online password to check my online statement. If you really want to know, I'll re-set my password and find out.
They just can't wait to vindicate a crumb like Davis. Anything to try to take away from Arnold to help Gray Davis Part II, Phil Angelides.
Davis went into the exact scenario that the electrical companies wanted him to enter...pay a higher fee for years to come. I wouldn't exactly say that the guy was smart or competent.
Let's us keep our focus on the facts of the matter, shall we?
This election is trying to force us to choose between DUMB & DUMBER!!!
I hope it's not even close, I hope he loses by 10%. He was never really a good actor and he sucks as a politician. He couldn't hold Ronny Reagans jockstrap with two hands.
Borenstein is a Professor at Berkeley...Of course, he would suggest that charging Californians more for power is the answer to conserving energy.(sarc.)
If you want to prop up the dems in this state vote for the GOP punching bag. I know better.
CA solved the big "Path 15 problem" and that's why we haven't yet bumped into the black-out problem. But if anyone besides me saw that graph at the ISO today that showed how close we are coming to the maximum available... Tomorrow's super hot Saturday could very well be the very day it happens.
I gotta remember this reply on this thread in case it does so's I can crow while Arnold eats crow!!!
Sorry, but that is not correct at all!!!
Norm! Thanks for posting that graph! Will that same graph work for tomorrow? Or will it need to be a new one???
It's going to be 95 in Long Beach tomorrow, that means 115 and up inland.
Yep! I gotta hit the hay!!! G'nite...
No doubt about it, Davis was the best governor we ever had. Thats why he was recalled. The liberals and the MSM never ceases to amaze me.
Thank enviro regulations and Nimbys for that.
This is too pathetic for words.