We're Doomed! Seriously.
Posted on 08/21/2006 5:36:31 AM PDT by areafiftyone
- Adults in the United States place three Republican politicians as their top choices for the next presidential nomination, according to a poll by the Pew Research Center for the People and Press. 26 per cent of respondents would vote like Arizona senator John McCain to be the next presidential candidate.
Former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani is a close second with 24 per cent, followed by current state secretary Condoleezza Rice with 18 per cent. Support is lower for former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich, Virginia senator George Allen, Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, Tennessee senator Bill Frist, and Kansas senator Sam Brownback.
In 2000, McCain won seven GOP presidential primaries in the United States, but retired from the race after eventual nominee George W. Bush became the frontrunner.
Giuliani garnered national and international attention in the aftermath of the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Last month. Giuliani’s political action committee, Solutions America, reported total contributions of $1.49 million U.S. for June.
Rice previously served as Bush’s national security advisor. In October 2005, she appeared to rule out a presidential bid, saying, "It’s not what I want to do with my life, it’s not what I’m going to do with my life."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Now I am going to read you the names of some possible candidates for the Republican nomination for president in 2008. After I read all the names, please tell me which one you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party’s candidate for president?
|
|
|
|
John McCain |
26% |
|
Rudy Giuliani |
24% |
|
Condoleezza Rice |
18% |
|
Newt Gingrich |
5% |
|
George Allen |
3% |
|
Mitt Romney |
3% |
|
Bill Frist |
2% |
|
Sam Brownback |
1% |
|
Other |
1% |
|
None |
13% |
|
Don’t know |
4% |
Source: Pew Research Center for the People and the Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,219 registered American voters, conducted from Aug. 9 to Aug. 13, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
McCain is running - no doubt about it. That man has been all over the planet lately. Giuliani is going to run if the Republicans keep the House and Senate in November. Frist wants to run but no one really cares about him. Allen has to worry about his big Macaca problem right now cause he's starting to slide in Virgina but if it all blows over he'll probably decide to run. Newt probably won't run he's just having fun right now and teasing the media. Condi won't run. Romney wants to run so badly and he probably will. And I don't think anyone else is interested right now.
I think its Rudy. Rove Met with Rudy a few times. He hasn't met with the other ones that are thinking of running.
I wouldn't put too much stock in this type of poll this early. This is mostly a name-recognition exercise, but when the Shiite hits the fan as the primary season starts, that's when we'll start to see who the real contenders are.
We're Doomed! Seriously.
This forum is going to go ballistic if McCain gets the nomination. What to do, what to do???
sw
We will see after November 2006. After the election is when all the candidates who are going to run will come out.
You are right. It's going to be a very interesting race in 2008.
Well, I don't think they'll do anything to telegraph the president's preference. Keeping their powder dry will keep the 'Rats and the MSM off the successor's back.
I just hope 43 has someone picked out. Preferably someone who isn't from that cesspool up on the Hill.
Scary as hell!
I have seen lots of enthusiam for Tancredo here, so I watched an interview on c-span last week. Or, I watched as much as I could before he put me to sleep. What a snooze!
For your consideration:
http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/columnists.nsf/billmcclellan/story/92356F2497C7C010862571D100324D06?OpenDocument
A political prognosticator offers picks for president
By Bill McClellan
ST. LOUIS POST-DISPATCH
08/21/2006
I visited John Nero last week. He is this column's political expert. In the summer of 2004, I asked aspiring political experts to predict the results of the August primaries and the November general election. The races included St. Louis County executive, the congressional race in the 3rd District, all statewide Missouri offices, the presidential races in Missouri and Illinois and constitutional amendments 1 and 2 on the Missouri ballot - the casino at Rockaway Beach and the ban on gay marriage.
Nero missed only one primary - the Democratic contest for treasurer. He had everything else right. He picked Gene McNary to beat Kurt Odenwald. He picked Claire McCaskill to beat the sitting governor. He was spot on in the general election. He had Charlie Dooley beating McNary, Matt Blunt beating McCaskill, and so on.
[SNIP]
I asked about the presidential race. How will the primaries go?
Nero first talked about the Democrats. He said Sen. Hillary Clinton of New York is clearly the early favorite, but will face a strong challenge from Russ Feingold of Wisconsin. He was the only senator to vote against the original Patriot Act, and he has always opposed the war in Iraq, Nero said. So he'll get an early boost from the crowd that opposed Sen. Joe Lieberman. But that will actually help Clinton because a challenge from the left will frame her as a centrist. She'll win the nomination and select Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois as her running mate.
A woman and a black? Isn't that risky?
Not really, Nero said. Most of the country is beyond that, he said. He also said that the strongest Democratic nominee would be Sen. Evan Bayh of Indiana. He's experienced. He's not seen as a polarizing figure, and he has consistently won elections in a red state. He could win Ohio in addition to Indiana, Nero said. You have to figure out what states a nominee can win.
And the Republicans?
Sen. John McCain of Arizona will go in as the favorite, but the social conservatives don't really trust him, and they won't no matter how many commencement speeches he gives at Liberty University, Nero said. And any effort to woo those people will hurt his credibility as a straight-talker. So he won't make it. The nominee will be Sen. George Allen of Virginia.
But didn't he just call one of his opponent's workers, an Indian-American, a macaca? A monkey?
That will be long forgotten, said Nero. When people have microphones in front of them all the time, they're bound to say something stupid. Happens all the time.
And Allen's running mate?
"Jeb Bush is a popular governor of a must-win state," said Nero.
And the next president is?
"I think a Clinton-Obama ticket, with perhaps floating out a role for former President Clinton as secretary of state, would be extremely strong. But two years out, I just don't know what state she would win that John Kerry lost. So at the risk of looking like a real macaca, the next president is George Allen."
FYI, I have noticed that Jeb is now wearing a suit.
Has Hagel seen this poll yet?
Most Senators and Congressmen are drones. They talk the talk but don't walk the walk. There is not one I would vote for president.
Nah he won't run. He won't win not this time. Maybe in 2012. The American people will not vote another Bush in office just yet.
Check out former Va. Gov. Jim Gilmore
"Allen just kicked himself in the butt last week and in a Rasmussen poll that came out last week he's 49% while Webb is 45%."
That's ridiculous. (not saying your wrong) It is hard to believe people will not vote for Allen simply because he called someone a name. Not many people knew what that name meant anyway. Allen probably didn't either.
"If the GOP nominates either McCain or Giuliani, consider Hillary Clinton a shoo-in as President in 2008."
Why do you think this? Do you believe that Repubs will stay home and hand the Whitehouse over to the Dems? Do you think HRC has the support of enough voters to win over McCain or Giuliani?
Neither McCain nor Giuliani is my choice but I will never, ever vote for a democrat nor will I stay home and not vote. Am I that different from other Conservatives?
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