Skip to comments.Some interesting poll numbers in a swing town - Some Bad New for Menendez
Posted on 09/15/2006 11:02:52 AM PDT by sonrise57
A poll conducted for the Democratic mayoral candidate in North Arlington shows Republican Thomas Kean, Jr. leading Democratic U.S. Senator Robert Menendez by a 47%-29% margin in this Democratic-leaning blue collar town of 15,181 people. The same survey, done by Neighborhood Research, gives Democrat Peter Massa a 31-point lead in the race for Mayor over Republican Peter Norcia, and Bergen County Executive Dennis McNerney a ten-point lead against his GOP challenger, Todd Caliguire.
North Arlington's voter registration is 30% Democratic, 18% Republican and 52% Unaffiliated.
In 2005, Jon Corzine won North Arlington by a 56%-40% margin over Douglas Forrester, and in 2004, George W. Bush won the town by six votes over John Kerry. Corzine carried the town narrowly (57 votes) over Bob Franks in 2000, while Al Gore won it by 850 votes. In 2003, State Senator Paul Sarlo won North Arlington by a 54%-46% margin; in the same election, voters picked GOP Assemblyman Paul DiGaetano and Democratic Assemblyman Frederick Scalera. Last year, North Arlington strongly supported the Democratic legislative ticket.
Its NJ folks, it smells for a reason. Don't expect any victory for Republicans, the Dems will see to it.
Now, if the Dems want to pull another Toricelli, who is available to step in? McGrevey? (LOL)
Hey, why not have Lautenberg hold both Senate seats and get two votes in the Senate. If he can enter a Senate race after the deadline, why not allow him to hold two seats?
If they're going to dump Menendez before the deadline, they're going to have to do it in the next couple of hours, or on a weekend. Pulling anything like that on the weekend would look real bad.
More likely they'll wait until early October, like they did with Toricelli. That way Kean won't have any time to get a bead on his new opponent.
If the Kean campaign were smart (and I think they are) they would start running against every prominent Democrat in the State of New Jersey, and make it clear that they are doing so because they have no idea whom they will be facing in November. Start to embarrass the Democrats about the upcoming switcharoo, so they won't be able to surprise people when the time comes.
As somebody suggested on another thread, they could run Lautenberg for this seat and have him resign the other. Then Corzine could appoint a replacement to finish out Lautenberg's unexpired term.
I wouldn't put it past them...
Yeah, but this time they don't have a Lautenberg to go to. I'm not sure they've got anyone in the wings with enough name recognition to get past Kean, Jr. at this point.
But then again, they did elect Corzine, so who knows?
And, depending on how the Jim McGreevey Rehabilitation Tour goes, they could always pull the double switch and Corzine could appoint McGreevey to finish out Lautenberg's unexpired term and Lautenberg could take over the new seat.
There's lots of possibilities!
Hey, I appreciate the sentement, but where I live in Jersey it smells like the beautiful atlantic ocean.
I don't even think the current courts would let Lautenberg hold both seats, but you never know.
Why forget about Codey? I need an education.
You can't rule anything out with the Demoncrats, especially in Jersey.
Oh yeah, I forgot about Cody! But if he's such a good pick, why didn't Corzine put him into his Senate seat in the first place?
Menendez needs to watch out or he will be Toricelli-ed.
In New Jersey? I'd be surprised if the courts didn't let Corzine keep his Senate seat and the governorship?
At the time, IIRC, there was a bit of a kerfluffle about who would get to name Corzine's replacement in the Senate, so there may have been some hard feelings.
But more likely Corzine naming Menendez was just payback to the Hudson County Democrat Machine.
But the important thing is that the voters have a "real choice" in November...