Another scpture has a man pressing the flesh of a woman in a way so realistic, with indentations, that it takes the breathe away. 
Posted on 10/22/2006 9:41:44 AM PDT by ClarenceThomasfan
Here's an excerpt from that article in Roll Call:
But the committee has now prioritized the Garden State, earmarking additional hundreds of thousands of dollars for grass-roots activities to help elect Kean via fund transfers to the state GOP.
In an earlier paragraph, it says that the committee has moved this race into their top tier.
As you know, I am deeply hopeful you are right. And because I know you are more intelligent than the pollsters, by that alone I give you the edge!
I'll be posting new House ratings by Tuesday but for now I'd say that my view is pretty much the same as yours: It looks like plus 20-25 Dem seats and plus 30 would not shock me.
I will respond to the Rome posts with some pics, as soon as my lost luggage arrives. It took my 30 hours without sleep to get home. I hate when that happens. Suffice it to say, after Rome, I hunger for some spare Congregationalist Church for spiritual nourishment. The grotesque ostentation of the churches in Rome was simply too much, with St. Peters the most gaudy and grotesque of all. I think the seven story high bronze alter should be melted down, and the bronze restored to the arches of the entrance to the Pantheon, from which it was taken and melted down for the alter, in one of the most hideous desecrations in relatively "recent" time of what is otherwise perhaps the most splendidly preserved example of Roman engineering, architectural and aesthetic genius on this planet. I also think the Pantheon should be restored to its pagan roots, and Jupiter restored to his place of honor. It simply doesn't work as a church, in my rather admittedly arrogant opinion.
Having said that, I found the Borghese Museum utterly jaw dropping. I have never seen anything like it, and doubt I will again. Words simply cannot capture its artistic splendor. I think Bernini is probably the greatest sculptor of all time, Michaelangelo to the contrary notwithstanding.
The best thing about Rome? Yep, you guessed it - the food and the wine. Fantastico!
Again, the significance of these moves should become clear in the next few days. The DSCC isn't sitting still either - which is the biggest problem. I'll post on it further once I decide whether or not the latest developments shift my rating. I'd guess that'll be about midweek.
I look forward to seeing the pictures!
Lol. We'll see what that says about your judgement the day after the election.
Safe Democratic
Arizona
New Hampshire
New Mexico
New York* (R)
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Wyoming
Likely Democratic
Arkansas* (R)
Colorado* (R)
Kansas
Massachusetts* (R)
Ohio* (R)
Pennsylvania
Lean Democratic
Illinois
Maine
Maryland (R)
Michigan
Wisconsin
Toss Up
Iowa* (D)
Minnesota (R)
Oregon (D)
Lean Republican
Alaska*
Florida*
Nevada*
Rhode Island
Likely Republican
California
Idaho*
South Carolina
Texas
Vermont
Safe Republican
Alabama
Connecticut
Georgia
Hawaii
Nebraska
South Dakota
Arizona: Not much to say really. The average polling margin is a 26.7% Napolitano lead if one excludes the 9% margin in the Zogby internet poll. This one was over when Munsil defeated Goldwater in the primary.
Oregon: Saxton will outspend Kulongoski by about $5.3 million to $3.2 million (and with the RGA kicking in another $1 million for Saxton). Kulongoski's approval rating is a dismal 39% with 56% disapproval (according to SUSA), and even The Oregonian has endorsed Saxton. This would be Lean GOP just about any other year. Unfortunately there are no recent match up polls of note.
Florida: This one's teetering on the cusp between Lean GOP and Likely GOP so I decided to go with the more competitive rating (again) mainly because the latest round of polls shows a narrower contest than the previous round of polls. This is a very heavy GOP lean though in my view.
Idaho: There seems to be a lot of rumbling about this race narrowing, and several pundits have moved this one all the way up to just Lean GOP, so I think it's clearly less than Safe GOP, even if I'm not yet sold enough to rate it more competitive than this. Internal polls supposedly have this one in single digits, though, and it's worth noting that the Democrat Jerry Brady did hold incumbent Governor Dirk Kempthorne to just 56.28% in the much more GOP-favorable 2002 election cycle.
South Carolina: By contrast, the buzz has subsided for the SC gubernatorial contest and Survey USA has gone from a 4% Sanford lead to a 15% Sanford lead.
Alabama: Governor Riley leads by an average 21% - nuff said.
Georgia: Governor Perdue leads by an average 22% - nuff said.
Of all the above, I would say the only significant rating moves have been Oregon and Idaho - with both of those biased towards greater vulnerability. The rest are minor arbitrary fluctuations that about as easily could've been left as they were. It's also worth noting that Iowa is just shy of going back to Lean Dem, as the last two polls peg the race, but I'm not quite ready to move it yet.
The prediction stands at a Dem net gain of 5 to 7 governors mansions.
Right now, I do not believe MN, WA, MI, or NE have at least a 5 percent chance of going R. I do not believe MD has at leas a 20 percent chance of going R. Therefore if I were putting the rankings consistent with how I see the odds on these 5 races I would have to move MN, WA, MI and NE to Safe D and MD to Likely D.
Please ping me to your Italian vacation photos, too, Torie. ;-)
Another scpture has a man pressing the flesh of a woman in a way so realistic, with indentations, that it takes the breathe away.
Polling is a Business like any other business and in order to be noticed they must get their name out there by having their polls reported in the papers. Everyone with half a brain knows you can't get your poll results in any major newspaper unless you are reporting good news for Democrats.
So by reporting Democrats are going to win they know their polls will be reported and their name out there in print. But of course to stay in business and be credible in the end their polls must match the the eventual outcome...so SUPRISE...suddenly Republicans are "catching up".
Sure beats the hell out of Warhol's Campbell's Soup labels. ;-D
In a development that may be significant, the Portland Oregonean, a liberal paper which dominates the state, has endorsed Republican nominee Saxton.
While newspaper endorsements aren't usually that important, this paper dominates the state's news coverage.
You forgot to mention that the economy here is bleeding jobs everyday, we have a 7.1 unemployment rate and the commericals done by Jeff Daniels isn't going to change that fact for someone who has lost their job or thinks they are going to lose their job.
And I don't think that the Union Dems will stay home- a lot of them will vote Republican. They aren't going to come out and admit it to the union bosses, but different people have told me that inside their plant a lot of people they know are voting Republican this year.
Also, you have to win 2 of the 3 counties in the Metro Detroit area, if you are going to win statewide. So, there has to be high turnout for R's in in Macomb and Wayne as well, so we can hit 2 out of 3.
DeVos is from West MI and Bouchard is from Oakland County.
**Polls show improving news for GOP in Senate**
A person wouldn't know it by watching the TV shows -- even FoxNews Sunday
You're off base in VA. This race is NOT a tossup. Allen is ahead in every poll and he has never trailed Webb in any poll. It's only as close as it is because he's had to fight the Webb campaign and the DC and NOVA press every single day since Labor Day. The Washington Post has had a negative story about Allen on the front page every day for months...and he still leads Webb in every poll.
Polls Schmolls, its all about turnout!
Pray for W and The Election
My money's on holding both. The Foley scandal backfired and the MSM's attempts to drive a wedge between the GOP and Christian Conservatives has only fired us up. I'll be voting for George Allen and Thelma Drake but I'll also allegorically be shoving my ballot down the MSM's collective throats. I can't wait.
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