Posted on 10/31/2006 6:49:39 AM PST by freespirited
With a week to go before voters cast their midterm election ballots, four key Senate races remain statistical dead heats...
Among likely voters in Missouri, Republican Sen. Jim Talent and his Democratic challenger, State Auditor Claire McCaskill, were at a dead heat, each with 49 percent support. However, among the larger pool of registered voters, McCaskill led 51-43 percent. ...
In Tennessee, Democratic Rep. Harold Ford Jr. -- hoping to make history as the first black candidate ever elected by Southern voters to a Senate seat -- trailed his Republican opponent, Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, by a margin of 52-44 percent among likely voters.
However, among registered voters, Corker's lead was just 47-45 percent, and the results for both likely and registered voters were within the sampling error.
In Virginia, Republican Sen. George Allen -- who has watched his once considerable lead vanish after a series of gaffes and controversies -- trailed his Democratic challenger, former Navy Secretary Jim Webb, by 50-46 percent among likely voters, which was also within the sampling error.
The GOP incumbent who appears to be in the most trouble in the states polled by CNN was Sen. Mike DeWine of Ohio, who trailed his Democratic rival, Rep. Sherrod Brown, by a margin of 54-43 percent among likely voters.
Democrats need to make a net pickup of six seats next Tuesday in order to win control of the Senate. To get there, they are trying to win the open GOP seat in Tennessee and targeting six vulnerable Republican incumbents, including DeWine, Talent, Allen and Sens. Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island, Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania and Conrad Burns of Montana.
Republicans are hoping to make that task more difficult by challenging Menendez and trying to pick up two open Democratic seats in Maryland and Minnesota.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Quite a significant advantage for the GOP between registered and likely voters. It makes one wonder whether the Democrat base is really as energized as the media would like us to believe.
May I suggest you join me in emailing this to everyone you can and ask them to do the same :
http://freedomkeys.com/2003taxcuts.htm
You can copy it, but the BEST thing to do is click on "File" in the upper-left-hand corner of your screen, and then "Send Page" or "Send>" and then "Page"
If you don't have a huge address book, I HIGHLY recommend you find the email addresses of the Chambers of Commerce (and, if possible, even their members) in the towns around you.
For Missouri use this one: http://freedomkeys.com/2003taxcuts10.htm
For Virginia: http://freedomkeys.com/2003taxcuts1.htm
For Ohio: http://freedomkeys.com/2003taxcuts5.htm
For Washington State: http://freedomkeys.com/2003taxcuts8.htm
For Montana: http://freedomkeys.com/2003taxcuts9.htm
For Michigan: http://freedomkeys.com/2003taxcuts14.htm
They are both running attack ads, which turns me off to begin with. I prefer to know what a candidate is FOR, not what they think their opponent has scrooged up.
I think Talent will take it with 52% or maybe 53%, but it's gonna be tight.
The Alaska Governor race is tied. Momentum is with the Dem.
She is well known in the urban and suburban areas.
She was Jackson County prosecutor and State Auditor.
She's well known in the political circles of the state and she knows how to fight dirty.
YEs, she fights dirty: promising that the dead will rise if she is elected is pretty dirty (re: Michael J. Fox stupid ad).
Hey, HEY, I live in KC.
Oh well, I still have vacation days left.
;^)
Funny how the mere mention of lewd passages can grow into "an obssession." All he did was point out that Webb is sick, and it's an obsession. LOL!
I live in Texas but Kansas City, MO is my favorite U.S. city.
You are talking to one and I have talked to numerous others who refuse to answer their phones when it is a pollster. I just hung up on one a few minutes ago. The people I am associated with in politics do not answer polls.
Bet you didn't know that a lot of national polls also leave out the middle 13 states because we are too conservative. CNN is famous for that one.
Haven't answered a pollster since I said I was voting for Bush and was told they couldn't use my answer as they had too many Bush voters for the number of registered Republicans in OK. Guess what? Pres Bush won every county in Oklahoma!
Let me explain something. Here in OK we have a lot more registered Dems, BUT they vote Republican. Most of them will not switch until their parents die but vote straight Republican in the federal elections. That means here in OK if you use the number of registered Dems, it will tilt any poll toward the Dems. This is pretty much the same across the board in the south.
Agree that we should be ignoring polls. People on the ground in a state know more what is happening!
He's talking about the trend from one poll to the next. If there's too many Dems in all the polls it wouldn't explain the trend toward Webb from Allen. Very simple.
A term such as "an obsession with lewd passages" sounds like it was picked up straight from the MSM narrative doesn't it? That's the kind of loaded term you'd hear from the mouth of someone like Wolf the Witless.
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