Posted on 11/01/2006 4:09:13 PM PST by perfect stranger
JIHAD IS FUN! VOTE DEMOCRAT! by Ann Coulter November 1, 2006
John Kerry is the "botched joke" of American politics. For those of you keeping score at home, John Kerry has now called members of the U.S. military (a) stupid, (b) crazy, (c) murderers, (d) rapists, (e) terrorizers of Iraqi women and children. I wonder what he'll call them tomorrow. Whatever Karl Rove is paying John Kerry to say stupid things, it's worth every penny.
Now, back to the midterm elections ...
Analysts place the average midterm loss for the party in the White House at around 15 to 44 seats, depending on which elections are counted — only elected presidents, midterm elections since the Civil War, midterm elections since World War II, comparable-sized congresses, first and second midterm elections and so on.
The average first midterm election loss for every elected president since 1914 is 27 House seats and three Senate seats. The average sixth-year midterm election, like this year, is much worse for the president's party, which typically loses 34 seats in the House and six seats in the Senate.
This makes the average loss in two midterm elections for the party in the White House: 30 House seats and four or five Senate seats in each midterm election.
In his first midterm election, George W. Bush picked up six House seats and two Senate seats — making him, according to The New York Times, "the first Republican president to gain House seats in an off-year election" and only the third president of either party to pick up House seats in a midterm election since the Civil War.
This means that for Democrats simply to match the historical average gain for the party out of the White House during the first and second midterm, they would have to pick up 67 seats in the House and 11 seats in the Senate. They're about 30 Mark Foleys short of having that happen.
It at least seems clear that Democrat gains this year are going to fall far short of the historical average. No poll has the Democrats winning even half of their rightful midterm gains.
Despite the precedent of big wins in midterm elections for the party out of power — especially in a sixth-year midterm election — something is depressing the Democrats' popularity with Americans this year. I suspect it's the perception that many of them are Democrats.
But instead of recognizing that the Democratic Party is a dying party, falling far short of its due historical gains, any gain by the Democrats will be hailed as a crowning mandate for the party that wants to lose the Iraq war, shut down Guantanamo and stop spying on Islamic terrorists on U.S. soil.
Even a dying party has death throes. If Democrats win a slight majority in the House or Senate, Americans will get shrill, insane leadership of the nation in time of war.
Democrats can't not be crazy. They will instantly set to work enacting a national gay marriage law, impeachment hearings, slavery reparations and a series of new federal felonies for abortion clinic protesters. The only way to get Democrats to focus on terrorists would be to convince them that the terrorists are interfering with a woman's right to choose or that commercial jetliners exploding in midair are a threat to America's wetlands.
The probable new House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, is in a catfight with Rep. Jane Harman for not being insane enough. Pelosi has indicated she will deny Harman the chairmanship of the Intelligence Committee, instead giving it to Rep. Alcee Hastings, whom Pelosi voted to impeach from his federal judgeship in 1988 for conspiring to extract a $150,000 bribe from convicted criminals in return for lowering their sentences.
An O.J. jury had acquitted Hastings on the bribery charge in a criminal proceeding, though his alleged co-conspirator, attorney William Borders, was convicted.
But the evidence of Hastings' bribery plot was so overwhelming that a Democratic House voted to impeach Hastings 413-3 on 17 separate counts — including falsifying evidence to win his acquittal in the criminal case, and a majority Democratic Senate voted to convict Hastings on the very first count by 69-26, enough to remove him from office.
Rep. John Conyers Jr. — another finalist for the coveted "craziest Democrat in congress" title — led the charge for Hastings' impeachment, saying the judge had "betrayed his office."
In addition to having a history of soliciting bribes from criminals before his court, Hastings wants to shut down Guantanamo, and he adamantly opposes the U.S. government listening to phone calls from al-Qaida phones to anyone in America (especially federal judges negotiating bribery deals by telephone).
As millions of lunatic Muslims plot to murder Americans, some Americans — we call them "Soccer Moms" — will cast a vote to save Michael J. Fox this year. In the process, they will put all Americans at risk by voting for a frivolous, dying party.
Wesley Pruden, move over. Ann Coulter, the low cal Menkin has passed you by. Wes, it's not you, she has passed everyone.
I can't wait for her to get fat and cuddly.
"John Kerry has now called members of the U.S. military (a) stupid, (b) crazy, (c) murderers, (d) rapists, (e) terrorizers of Iraqi women and children."
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All reminiscent of JenJiss Khan....
Thanks, let's make it Democrat hell by phoning all our conservative friends and reminding them to vote.
BTTT!
Huh? I hadn't heard this.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." -Manuel II Paleologus
John Vichy Kerry: Our troops are stuck in Iraq and I am stuck on stupid!
Mullah Has Bin Ca'ree
Voting may be fun, Ann, but could you please do it in the correct district this time? (Read: quit giving your enemies ammunition AND weapons to shoot it at you with?)
She can give as many false addresses as she wants. She is certainly in danger of assassination and I, for one, do not want her to get hurt!
BUMP!
Too funny!
Ah...I see. Thanks for this tidbit Ann.
I wondered where the fanciful stories of losing 20-50 seats came from. I understand hopes but those numbers were specific. Now I get it. The wise souls in Washington think because it happened before it happens again. Even though it didn't happen in 2002 and 2004. This explains a lot, and it explains the polsters.
Sure they have biases. But they also factor in history and their own opinions of the lay of the electorate when they create their polling methodology. This explains why they have shifted, even more so than usual, percentage points to the Dems. Not entirely out of bias, because they are trying to compensate for what they believe history states will be a bad election for the Reps. And still the races are close even with this "hisorical" weighting tossed into the mix.
IMO, some reputable polsters, and there are some, have made a huge mistake then in relying so much upon 20th century election patterns.
Who are they, other than Barone?
Rass, Mason-Dixon, Battleground...and by reputable I mean they actually try to get it right whereas units like NewsWeek intentionally try to project as much bias as they can into polling.
Thanks for the info.
Let me know if you'd like to be added to the Ann Coulter ping list.
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