Larry Sabato: Election Eve 2006 (THE FINAL PREDICTIONS)

Larry J. Sabato and the University of Virginia Center for Politics ^ | 11-6-06 | Larry Sabato

[maineman]

THE GOP WILL SHOCK THE WORLD AND KEEP THE HOUSE AND SENATE

[Dubya-M-Dees]

Same here.. bookmarking for later reference.

[AngieGOP]

"THE GOP WILL SHOCK THE WORLD AND KEEP THE HOUSE AND SENATE."


... and the DemocRATS and the MSM will claim they cheated. Cue the battery of lawyers the 'Rats have waiting in the wings.

[Petronski]

Cue the battery of lawyers the 'Rats have waiting in the wings.

[My2Cents]

Someone hang on to these predictions, and then wrap them around his neck after tomorrow. The big losers tomorrow are going to be the media, their biased polls, and partisan hacks like Sabato who parade around like neutral analysts.

[mrsmith]

Good lord, I just heard he's been hired to do commentary for the BBC.

Proving once again that lying for the Dems is the best resume enhancer in the world's media.

[stylin19a]

The 3 votes (IL) out of my house polled FOR Duckworth, will be voting for Roskam.
I love it when a plan comes together.

[colorado tanker]

Whew, I thought we were in trouble until I saw this. Depend on Larry to get it wrong.

Even the New York Times conceded Tennessee to Corker on Sunday, but Larry can't bring himself to give up on a Dem Senate.

[The Electrician]

Connecticut - Leans Lieberman - Sen. Joe Lieberman (I/D) will win reelection over Ned Lamont (D).

Very telling. And so predictable. Lieberman is not running on the I/D line. His "party" is the "Connecticut for Lieberman" party, at the bottom of the ballot. Yet Sabato bends over backwards to put a D next to Lieberman's name, even though Lieberman is not the D candidate. No doubt if Lamont were ahead, Sabato would have felt free to put the independent I next to Lieberman's name all by its lonely self, without feeling the need to hedge by adding the arguably false "/D".

[Inspectorette]

“I hope that someday your children and grandchildren will tell of the time that a certain president came to town at the end of a long journey and asked their parents and grandparents to join him in setting America on the course to the new millennium—and that a century of peace, prosperity, opportunity, and hope followed. So, if I could ask you just one last time: Tomorrow, when mountains greet the dawn, would you go out there and win one for the Gipper?” —Ronald Reagan, November 7, 1988

Well, now you've gone and done it: tears running down my cheeks here. How I loved this great man, and I still miss him dearly.

[The Electrician]

See this CBS Article titled "New 'N Word' Woe For George Allen Well-Known Professor Says Va. Senator Used Racial Slur; Allen Denies It".

[Canali]

All Larry Sabato did was get 4 graduate assistants to go check the Tradesports lines...and then write a few lines of fluff to match the current spreads.

[spacejunkie]

Early in the controversy....and then had to come out and say he didn't actually 'hear' Allen say it, he heard others say he said it :|

[GraniteStateConservative]

Well, Joe is caucusing with the Democrats-- just like Bernie Sanders will.

[Starter]

"CO-06 - Likely GOP - Rep. Tom Tancredo (R) will win reelection over Bill Winter (D). The rest of the nation has trouble understanding why this exurban Colorado district sends hardcore anti-immigration leader Tancredo to Washington every two years, but he remains popular at home. It's a rough year for Colorado Republicans, and the Haggard scandal may depress GOP turnout slightly, so we wouldn't be surprised to see Tancredo's percentage fall to the mid-50's"

What? Tancredo is a *likely* win? He's in a heavily Republican district, he's been running ads fairly heavily and this article is the first time that I've even seen his opponent's name mentioned. And Sabato thinks that there's some possibility that he might lose? Good grief.

[The Electrician]

Nevertheless, he is running as an I, and not as a D...

[Bigg Red]

Thanks for the info about Sabato's smearing of Allen. What a jerk!

[AmericanExceptionalist]

Sabato lists MN-06 as a tossup, and (to the extent that there is a tie-breaker) shows the momentum to be with the Republican candidate, Michele Bachmann. He adds: "Even in the post-Foley scandal era, we give the social conservative Bachmann a tiny edge over the child protection advocate Wetterling."

So his bottom-line conclusion?

"Patty Wetterling (D) will defeat Michele Bachmann (R)."

Say what?

[jwalsh07]

Toss-up? Corker has been pulling well away from Ford the last week or so. Sabato is blowing smoke here - painting a best-case picture for the Dems.

I tossed up my cookies when I saw that one. We may be in for a rough ride tomorrow but Larry Sabato is a dim bulb in a burned out socket with a tripped breaker.

[dirtboy]

We may be in for a rough ride tomorrow but Larry Sabato is a dim bulb in a burned out socket with a tripped breaker.

If Sabato can still refer to that race as a toss-up, one must wonder just how spot-on the rest of his analysis might be.

In a better age, Sabato's blatant partisan misrepresentations would exile him back to a dim office at his university. But in this day and age, it apparently guarantees him endless face time as a pundit. Which illustrates as well as anything just how pathetic the MSM has become.