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Larry Sabato: Election Eve 2006 (THE FINAL PREDICTIONS)
Larry J. Sabato and the University of Virginia Center for Politics ^ | 11-6-06 | Larry Sabato

Posted on 11/06/2006 8:48:16 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative

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1 posted on 11/06/2006 8:48:26 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Yawn, why hould anyone listen to a person, who doesn't have the sense to get a natural looking hair rug.


2 posted on 11/06/2006 8:49:53 AM PST by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

sorry, but ever since he said that George Allen said the N word I totally discount him as a loser and a lib.


3 posted on 11/06/2006 8:50:03 AM PST by spacejunkie
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Wishful thinking, once again, by Larry Sabato. All the close Senate races except Tennessee break for the Dems? I don't think so.


4 posted on 11/06/2006 8:50:34 AM PST by Coop (FR = a lotta talk, but little action)
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To: Dane

Hey, don't make fun of his shag carpet!


5 posted on 11/06/2006 8:51:44 AM PST by tgusa (Gun control: deep breath, sight alignment, squeeze the trigger .....)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Larry who?


6 posted on 11/06/2006 8:52:37 AM PST by bmwcyle (Only stupid people would vote for McCain, Warner, Hagle, Snowe, Graham, or any RINO)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

His "final" predictions four days ago (for comparison)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1730820/posts

Also for comparison: his predictions for the last midterm...
http://64.233.161.104/search?q=cache:5CkQhvTEYcMJ:www.pkblogs.com/quasipundit/2002_11_03_quasipundit_archive.html+2002+sabato+results+%22house+seats%22+republicans+-2006&hl=en&gl=us&ct=clnk&cd=7

"Sabato has gone from +1 Democrat in the Senate to no change. Thanks to Dodd's post for pointing that out. Sabato also went from +3 Republicans in the House to +4. As close as this election is, those "tweaks" are epocal."

The actual results were:
+2 Republicans in the Senate
+6 Republicans in the House


So his average error was about 100%

No surprise these predictions are no longer on his site LOL!


7 posted on 11/06/2006 8:53:13 AM PST by mrsmith
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To: Coop
And like so many dem pollsters I've seen today, the RATS miraculously pick up exactly 6 seats. Precisely the number needed for a majority. This is laughable.
8 posted on 11/06/2006 8:55:12 AM PST by A Citizen Reporter (Sign at World Series in St. Louis, October 27, 2006 "The Experts are Idiots")
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Blah...blah...blah.


9 posted on 11/06/2006 8:55:31 AM PST by MisterRepublican
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To: bmwcyle
Hey, everybody knows Larry. He's the guy at the Interstate rest stop on I-66 in Manassas, VA.

Never believe how he does sampling or who he questions about political leanings.

10 posted on 11/06/2006 8:55:36 AM PST by muawiyah
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To: Coop
Either he is a stupid man or he hasn't seen all the latest polls. Even Santorum is now within 4. I believe that is also the margin for error.

The liberals are already wondering what happened to their MSM early polls.

11 posted on 11/06/2006 8:56:27 AM PST by 1035rep
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To: tgusa
Hey, don't make fun of his shag carpet!

Ya know after Larry Sabato is proven wrong once again, maybe we all should pitch in and buy him a subscrition to Hair Club For Men, even though he probably makes big bucks being the liberal media political analyst darling.

12 posted on 11/06/2006 8:56:48 AM PST by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

No one has discreditted himself more in this election than Sabito.


13 posted on 11/06/2006 8:57:08 AM PST by JLS
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To: GraniteStateConservative
If these chuckle-heads are as wrong as I think they be tomorrow, who the heck in there right mind in the 08' election cycle would hire them?

Maybe only delusional Dem's kind of like those would go visit the like of :

"I took my troubles down to Madame Rue, You know that gypsy with the gold-capped tooth" or so the song goes....

14 posted on 11/06/2006 8:58:57 AM PST by taildragger
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To: muawiyah

I don't take him seriously but I wanted to bookmark his predictions as a reminder of what a fool he is.


15 posted on 11/06/2006 8:59:03 AM PST by 1035rep
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To: A Citizen Reporter

I mean, it is mathematically possible. But it's just not very feasible. I still have six or seven races that could certainly go either way, and all but MD are GOP seats. (Sorry, I just don't like the GOP's chances in NJ.) But in all those races, the GOP incumbent has a significant fundraising advantage (excluding Santorum - even, and Chafee - opponent has over twice as much). And Steele has about a half million more than Cardin.


16 posted on 11/06/2006 9:00:41 AM PST by Coop (FR = a lotta talk, but little action)
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To: GraniteStateConservative; nutmeg
This guy is smoking crack, there is no way all three Republican incumbents (House) will lose.
I predict they will retain 2 of the 3 seats.
17 posted on 11/06/2006 9:01:51 AM PST by #1CTYankee (That's right, I have no proof. So what of it??)
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To: GraniteStateConservative
This is a joke:

Tennessee - Toss-up - Bob Corker (R) will defeat Harold Ford (D).

Toss-up? Corker has been pulling well away from Ford the last week or so. Sabato is blowing smoke here - painting a best-case picture for the Dems.

18 posted on 11/06/2006 9:02:28 AM PST by dirtboy (John Kerry - the world's only re-usable political suicide bomber.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative
The word "bollocks" springs to mind.

Regards, Ivan

19 posted on 11/06/2006 9:03:37 AM PST by MadIvan (I aim to misbehave.)
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To: GraniteStateConservative

Sabato revealed his true colors this election and he's nothing but a left wing activist. His prediction for a close race in VA-02 proves that he doesn't know what the hell he's talking about.


20 posted on 11/06/2006 9:04:02 AM PST by pgkdan
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