Posted on 11/06/2006 11:07:03 AM PST by taildragger
I do notice for two races that some had predicted to be a runaway for the Dems, there seems to be very little pre-election celebrating.
Maybe they see that their candidates support is softer than they first thought.
Maureen Corrigan and Kerry Morgan look good. Morgan is an originalist, very conservative and as a benefit to many of us, a homeschool dad.
They must have heard the other races were closer than once thought and suddenly decided they did not wish to be laughed at on Wednesday morning--so: they decided to poll outside of Detroit!
She is an incumbent, and only has a 2% lead the day before?
Under polling GOP-ers, The state malaise, Malcomb County Reagan Democrats, and the GOTV effort ought to be scaring the daylights out of her.
For those in MI, vote for Corrigan & Shulman for MI
Supreme Court. They are the conservatives endorsed
by Mi Republican Party.
You can be assured that the local NBC affiliates statewide will not report just how close the race may be, they are pulling for Granholm. They want to depress the GOP vote.
I just returned from a trip to downtown Detroit from the Eastern suburbs and it is amazing to see the political signs. They are all Democratic for Granholm, Conyers, Amos Somebody,
Vote No on 2 etc etc. There were NO Republicans represented.
Thanks for the info
What's the weather prediction up there for tomorrow?
Don't despair--amazingly enough, I've sighted several huge DeVos billboards--near the Parade Company (lower east side--near the Chrysler plant)
I've also seen a few DeVos yard signs around that area too. Plus, the houses they were in front of looked lived in, not like the Dem signs in empty yards. Well, they were there last week...could have been removed by now.
Cloudy, light rain at my polling location.
This is so exciting! We just might have a good night tomorrow. Didn't Granholm come in well under where she was polling in '02? If that happens again she might actually be trailing now.
A lot of experts have thought the MI Senate race might just be 'sleeper' where an upset could happen. That would be extraordinary and the Dems would be stunned. I am sure not declaring victory yet but we sure have optimism on our side!
Bwhaha--I was just reading a website about teaching the US Constitution at http://www.nas.org/history/constitution/1_intro.html It is recounting the history of political thought and noted that "townsmen who wanted to be free of both feudal and ecclesiastical control led the way toward civil liberty as we understand it today." An oft cited phrase was "City air makes men free."
In Detroit, the air (or whatever) just makes them Democrats.
There is a lot of lessons to be taken from this election. I hope Devos and Bouchard pull this off. If the polls are to be believed Republicans are now more motivated to vote than Democrats, that alone should scare the bejesus out of the Democrats. The only two places I see a tough time of it is in PA and OH. Ohioans seem ready to put in place the party of higher taxes which is exactly what is killing that state. Taft was a loser but you don't replace one loser with one that is worse than the last. PA I think may turn out better than expected. I've seen polls showing Irey doing well. If Irey wins on election day it will be gratifying no matter the pain of other losses.
Thats normal.
Most of the rest of the state is red.
I figured they would be closer than polls thought. However, I still think Granholm and Stabenow will hold on, unfortunately.
Yes, her final margin was something like 4 points. The polls had her up something close to 10 in the final week.
On the other hand, I wouldn't put too much into just one poll at this point--polls can oversample Republicans just as they can oversample Democrats.
But it's better than that sloppy Free Press poll splashed across the front page yesterday showing a double-digit Granholm lead. That one was clearly tilted, and probably for political reasons.
EPIC/MRA is run by a former Democrat staffer, and had the reputation of oversampling Democrats when I worked in Lansing. Mitchell Communications I think is the former MRG, which did most of its work for Republicans.
The Republican Senatorial Committee gave Bouchard over $1million last week--I don't think they would do that unless he was within striking distance.
If memory serves, Mitchell is considered a fair source. I think they have been fairly accurate in Michigan.
I found that result to be stunning given Posthumos' lack of name recognition and Granholm's camera friendly profile. With the economy what it is here now I find it hard to believe that Granholm and Stabenow have the leads recent polls have indicated.
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