Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

LOW TURNOUT EXPECTED: Pollster predicts only 51.5% in state to vote -- no suspense in the top races
San Francisco Chronicle ^ | 11/7/6 | John Wildermuth

Posted on 11/07/2006 10:37:06 AM PST by SmithL

The election excitement sweeping across much of the nation isn't flowing into California, where the turnout for today's statewide general election isn't expected to be much better than 2002's record low, according to a Field Poll estimate released today.

With races for governor and U.S. Senate at the top of the ballot, turnout is expected to be 51.5 percent, second worst in history for a regularly scheduled election, behind only the 50.6 percent of registered voters who showed up four years ago to re-elect Democrat Gray Davis as governor. Secretary of State Bruce McPherson's slightly more optimistic prediction of a 55 percent turnout still would be second from the bottom historically.

"I hope we're both wrong,'' said Mark DiCamillo, director of the Field Poll. "But the lack of suspense and drama at the top of the ticket may be depressing turnout.''

Polls in the final days before the election showed Republican Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger with a double-digit lead over Democratic state Treasurer Phil Angelides and Sen. Dianne Feinstein running far ahead of her GOP opponent, former state Sen. Richard Mountjoy of the Los Angeles suburb of Monrovia.

In 2002, Davis held a big lead over Republican Bill Simon at the top of the ticket in a race that stirred little excitement. A year later, Davis was gone, replaced by Schwarzenegger in the historic recall election.

"This looks very similar to four years ago, an election in which there is an overwhelming favorite,'' DiCamillo said.

... Candidates for such down-ballot jobs as lieutenant governor, secretary of state, treasurer, controller, attorney general and insurance commissioner can only hope their supporters will be the voters casting ballots.

(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: governator
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last

Phil Angelides, speaking at rally in Los Angeles, is joined by Sen. Dianne Feinstein (center) Sen. Barbara Boxer (lower right) and state Sen. Debra Bowen (far right), a secretary of state candidate.
1 posted on 11/07/2006 10:37:07 AM PST by SmithL
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SmithL

Turnout in a heavily Democrat state down?

How can that be?

Isn't there a blue wave??


2 posted on 11/07/2006 10:40:35 AM PST by Dog Gone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

That's sure a scary looking crowd he hangs around with.

They look like they all probably have somebody's scrotum in their jewelry box.


3 posted on 11/07/2006 10:41:04 AM PST by digger48 (there went breakfast)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

All those illegals just itching to vote and make a difference and California politics is dead as a door nail.


4 posted on 11/07/2006 10:42:06 AM PST by kittymyrib
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: digger48

Who has Phil's?


5 posted on 11/07/2006 10:42:13 AM PST by SmithL (Where are we going? . . . . And why are we in this handbasket????)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: digger48
That's sure a scary looking crowd he hangs around with.

Eh, it's the standard crowd of lipless liberal women.

6 posted on 11/07/2006 10:42:24 AM PST by r9etb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

I'm betting it's because the Govenor's race is a done deal, so a lot of people won't bother with the rest.


7 posted on 11/07/2006 10:44:43 AM PST by vwatto
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

I'm not sure he ever had one


8 posted on 11/07/2006 10:49:20 AM PST by digger48 (there went breakfast)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: r9etb
lipless liberal women.

LOL. You're right.

9 posted on 11/07/2006 10:52:28 AM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

Opportune time to go vote if you're a republican in California. Grab your rat sweeping broom and some friends and GET OUT THE VOTE!


10 posted on 11/07/2006 10:53:04 AM PST by PeaceBeWithYou (De Oppresso Liber! (50 million and counting in Afganistan and Iraq))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: vwatto; calcowgirl
I'm betting it's because the Govenor's race is a done deal, so a lot of people won't bother with the rest.

Let's hope that there are enough real conservatives that turn out to vote for McClintock.

11 posted on 11/07/2006 10:53:32 AM PST by SmithL (Where are we going? . . . . And why are we in this handbasket????)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: SmithL
Dunno about elsewhere, but just a bit ago here in El Dorado County, our polling place 'official' reported that she couldn't remember a brisker mid-term turn-out.

While the coast is blue, the Central Valley/Sierra Foothills is RED...

Hopefully the Dems believe their 'wave' will do the work for them and stay home.

Gonna be a loooooong nite. ;)

12 posted on 11/07/2006 11:01:01 AM PST by GoldCountryRedneck (Think of Pelosi as Speaker, then hold your nose if you must, and vote Republican!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

I had to vote "None of the Above" in my San Francisco city supervisor race. One liberal wackjob worse than the other and I wasn't about to vote for the lesser of two evils. My US House member is Pelosi!! I'm out of options around here and felt like I was almost wasting my time voting in a losing cause.


13 posted on 11/07/2006 11:10:05 AM PST by Azzurri
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GoldCountryRedneck

I just voted in my Sierra mountain very small town. It was packed.....


14 posted on 11/07/2006 11:12:18 AM PST by sissyjane (Don't be stuck on stupid!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: PeaceBeWithYou

Done and DONE!


15 posted on 11/07/2006 11:14:40 AM PST by CaliGirlGodHelpMe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

You may have missed it (was news late yesterday) but McClintock's internals as of Friday had him ahead by 3 among registered voters and by 7 among likely voters with his pollster predicting a 5 point margin of VICTORY.


16 posted on 11/07/2006 11:18:24 AM PST by newzjunkey (Arnold-McClintock / YES 1A, 1E, 83, 85, 90 / San Diego: NO A / YES B & C)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: newzjunkey

We just voted, and they handed us little "I VOTED" stickers ~ in SPANISH!!!

I had to REQUEST one in English!


17 posted on 11/07/2006 11:34:31 AM PST by b9 ("the [evil Marxist liberal socialist Democrat Party] alternative is unthinkable" ~ Jim Robinson)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: SmithL
"In 2002, Davis held a big lead over Republican Bill Simon at the top of the ticket in a race that stirred little excitement."

Davis won 47-42%. Hardly a blowout.
18 posted on 11/07/2006 11:40:45 AM PST by Moral Hazard ("No we all can't be Superfly GQPhdFBI")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL

Low turn out would be great news. If only it were raining cats and dogs with a 70 MPH wind .... that would smell like ... VICTORY!


19 posted on 11/07/2006 11:45:07 AM PST by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SmithL
Let's hope that there are enough real conservatives that turn out to vote for McClintock.

Most conservatives know that there is more to voting than just the top of the ticket. The big-borrowing and new taxes being foist by Hollywood liberals should be enough to get them to the polls. I'm hoping that our more "moderate" bunch in the BigTent(R) won't follow Arnold on his big borrowing scheme and believing that "McClintock is wrong." Some Republicans even launched a robo-call ad with Arnold's quote urging votes for Garamendi!

20 posted on 11/07/2006 11:52:25 AM PST by calcowgirl ("Liberalism is just Communism sold by the drink." P. J. O'Rourke)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson