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The truth about global warming - it's the Sun that's to blame
{London] TELEGRAPH ^ | July 17, 2004 | Michael Leidig and Roya Nikkhah

Posted on 01/23/2007 10:41:17 AM PST by Moseley

Global warming has finally been explained: the Earth is getting hotter because the Sun is burning more brightly than at any time during the past 1,000 years, according to new research.

A study by Swiss and German scientists suggests that increasing radiation from the sun is responsible for recent global climate changes.

Dr Sami Solanki, the director of the renowned Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research in Gottingen, Germany, who led the research, said: "The Sun has been at its strongest over the past 60 years and may now be affecting global temperatures.

advertisement"The Sun is in a changed state. It is brighter than it was a few hundred years ago and this brightening started relatively recently - in the last 100 to 150 years."

Dr Solanki said that the brighter Sun and higher levels of "greenhouse gases", such as carbon dioxide, both contributed to the change in the Earth's temperature but it was impossible to say which had the greater impact.

Average global temperatures have increased by about 0.2 deg Celsius over the past 20 years and are widely believed to be responsible for new extremes in weather patterns. After pressure from environmentalists, politicians agreed the Kyoto Protocol in 1997, promising to limit greenhouse gas emissions between 2008 and 2012. Britain ratified the protocol in 2002 and said it would cut emissions by 12.5 per cent from 1990 levels.

Globally, 1997, 1998 and 2002 were the hottest years since worldwide weather records were first collated in 1860.

Most scientists agree that greenhouse gases from fossil fuels have contributed to the warming of the planet in the past few decades but have questioned whether a brighter Sun is also responsible for rising temperatures.

To determine the Sun's role in global warming, Dr Solanki's research team measured magnetic zones on the Sun's surface known as sunspots, which are believed to intensify the Sun's energy output.

The team studied sunspot data going back several hundred years. They found that a dearth of sunspots signalled a cold period - which could last up to 50 years - but that over the past century their numbers had increased as the Earth's climate grew steadily warmer. The scientists also compared data from ice samples collected during an expedition to Greenland in 1991. The most recent samples contained the lowest recorded levels of beryllium 10 for more than 1,000 years. Beryllium 10 is a particle created by cosmic rays that decreases in the Earth's atmosphere as the magnetic energy from the Sun increases. Scientists can currently trace beryllium 10 levels back 1,150 years.

Dr Solanki does not know what is causing the Sun to burn brighter now or how long this cycle would last.

He says that the increased solar brightness over the past 20 years has not been enough to cause the observed climate changes but believes that the impact of more intense sunshine on the ozone layer and on cloud cover could be affecting the climate more than the sunlight itself.

Dr Bill Burrows, a climatologist and a member of the Royal Meteorological Society, welcomed Dr Solanki's research. "While the established view remains that the sun cannot be responsible for all the climate changes we have seen in the past 50 years or so, this study is certainly significant," he said.

"It shows that there is enough happening on the solar front to merit further research. Perhaps we are devoting too many resources to correcting human effects on the climate without being sure that we are the major contributor."

Dr David Viner, the senior research scientist at the University of East Anglia's climatic research unit, said the research showed that the sun did have an effect on global warming.

He added, however, that the study also showed that over the past 20 years the number of sunspots had remained roughly constant, while the Earth's temperature had continued to increase.

This suggested that over the past 20 years, human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation had begun to dominate "the natural factors involved in climate change", he said.

Dr Gareth Jones, a climate researcher at the Met Office, said that Dr Solanki's findings were inconclusive because the study had not incorporated other potential climate change factors.

"The Sun's radiance may well have an impact on climate change but it needs to be looked at in conjunction with other factors such as greenhouse gases, sulphate aerosols and volcano activity," he said. The research adds weight to the views of David Bellamy, the conservationist. "Global warming - at least the modern nightmare version - is a myth," he said. "I am sure of it and so are a growing number of scientists. But what is really worrying is that the world's politicians and policy-makers are not.

"Instead, they have an unshakeable faith in what has, unfortunately, become one of the central credos of the environmental movement: humans burn fossil fuels, which release increased levels of carbon dioxide - the principal so-called greenhouse gas - into the atmosphere, causing the atmosphere to heat up. They say this is global warming: I say this is poppycock."


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: carbondioxide; globalwarming; greenhouseeffect; greenhousegases
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Man is not causing global warming
1 posted on 01/23/2007 10:41:18 AM PST by Moseley
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To: Moseley

We must enact solar-output control methods now! BAN THE SUN!


2 posted on 01/23/2007 10:41:49 AM PST by RockinRight (To compare Congress to drunken sailors is an insult to drunken sailors. - Ronald W. Reagan)
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To: Moseley

Don't worry -- the liberals will put a tax on sunlight -- that will fix the problem.


3 posted on 01/23/2007 10:43:14 AM PST by EagleUSA
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To: Moseley
Average global temperatures have increased by about 0.2 deg Celsius over the past 20 years and are widely believed to be responsible for new extremes in weather patterns.

Like our non-existant hurricane season....

4 posted on 01/23/2007 10:43:48 AM PST by Always Right
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To: Moseley

5 posted on 01/23/2007 10:43:50 AM PST by Domandred
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To: Moseley

And in other news, satan announces that hell is getting hotter.


6 posted on 01/23/2007 10:44:07 AM PST by tractorman
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To: RockinRight

A representative from MASSPIRG was on the Todd Feinberg Show on WRKO last Friday. He asked her what percentage of greenhouse gas was generated by man. She told him that he "did not need to know" the figure. She then feigned having a problem hearing him over noise in her office, hung up and never called back. That is because when you question these people on their facts, with opposing facts, they hang up.


7 posted on 01/23/2007 10:45:28 AM PST by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: Moseley
I think we should send Al Gore (self-proclaimed expert) on a space mission to the surface of the sun and let him write another stupid book when (and if) he returns.

Problem solved!

8 posted on 01/23/2007 10:45:35 AM PST by capt. norm (Liberalism = cowardice disguised as tolerance.)
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To: Moseley

It is all Americans fault the sun is burning brighter - they put all that stuff in space and their cars have caused the exhaust to now reach the sun causing it to burn brighter to burn the smoke away.


9 posted on 01/23/2007 10:45:46 AM PST by edcoil (Reality doesn't say much - doesn't need too)
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To: RockinRight
Time for Intergalactic sunscreen. It's gotta be big
10 posted on 01/23/2007 10:46:35 AM PST by Jeffrey_D. (Seek first to understand, then to be understood)
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To: Moseley

11 posted on 01/23/2007 10:46:57 AM PST by Michael.SF. (It's time our lawmakers paid more attention to their responsibilities, and less to their privileges.)
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To: Moseley

It's time we aimed fire hoses at the sun.


12 posted on 01/23/2007 10:46:58 AM PST by HarmlessLovableFuzzball
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To: Moseley
"Perhaps we are devoting too many resources to correcting human effects on the climate without being sure that we are the major contributor."
13 posted on 01/23/2007 10:47:08 AM PST by Always Right
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To: Moseley
Related thread:

NASA News Release: Evidence for Recent Climate Change on Mars [Global Warming on Mars]

 

14 posted on 01/23/2007 10:47:26 AM PST by Incorrigible (If I lead, follow me; If I pause, push me; If I retreat, kill me.)
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To: Moseley

Think this will have an impact on the Academy Awards committee?


15 posted on 01/23/2007 10:47:58 AM PST by Ben Mugged (Always cheat; always win. The only unfair fight is the one you lose.)
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To: Moseley

"Scientists are at a loss to explain these inter-galactic disturbances. Dr. Hans Zarkov, formerly with NASA, is the only one to offer a possible explanation."


16 posted on 01/23/2007 10:48:12 AM PST by KellyAdmirer
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To: Moseley
He says that the increased solar brightness over the past 20 years has not been enough to cause the observed climate changes but believes that the impact of more intense sunshine on the ozone layer and on cloud cover could be affecting the climate more than the sunlight itself.

Dr Bill Burrows, a climatologist and a member of the Royal Meteorological Society, welcomed Dr Solanki's research. "While the established view remains that the sun cannot be responsible for all the climate changes we have seen in the past 50 years or so, this study is certainly significant," he said.

Notice how the default position for climate researchers is that man is responsible for global warming and that increased solar output is insufficient to explain glibal warming. I would like to know how much solar variation has been included in all the modeling work done. It astounds me that physical observation is trumped by political inference.

17 posted on 01/23/2007 10:49:08 AM PST by doc30 (Democrats are to morals what an Etch-A-Sketch is to Art.)
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To: Michael.SF.
"That's Lord Sun to you, Earthling!"
18 posted on 01/23/2007 10:50:32 AM PST by rogue yam
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To: Moseley
Brings to mind a science fiction story titled "Inconstant Moon".

The unexpected happens. Get used to it.

19 posted on 01/23/2007 10:51:05 AM PST by rbookward (When 900 years old you are, type as well you will not!)
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To: Moseley
Next the UN will propose a multi-trillion-dollar program to build a much larger one of these in space:

20 posted on 01/23/2007 10:53:41 AM PST by sanchmo (If we wish to learn what was going on in Europe in 1938, just look around - V.D. Hanson)
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