Posted on 03/25/2007 5:17:55 AM PDT by Dog
THE official notification, delivered in secure calls yesterday morning to senior Whitehall figures, was the latest dramatic behind-the-scenes move to get to grips with a crisis that is now engulfing the government.
After a day of shadow-boxing with a notoriously slippery regime, Tony Blair is set to up the ante: the plight of the Shatt al-Arab 15 is officially a crisis and he will need the Cobra team to handle it.
The clutch of VIPs will gather in an operations room several floors below Downing Street as early as this afternoon to plot an escape from a military spat that now threatens to become an international incident.
The decision came just 24 hours after the crew of HMS Cornwall had been caught in the confusion of direct confrontation with Iranian vessels in the searing heat of the Gulf.
As the crew members were surrounded in their two rubber dinghies, the Cornwall's commander, Commodore Nick Lambert, frantically radioed back to his own top brass for instructions.
The response to the inquiry, which had been immediately patched through to Ministry of Defence headquarters in Whitehall, was to hold fire.
The order to show restraint has been observed throughout the forces and the British government in the 48 hours since, but it is unclear how long both sides will be able to maintain control.
Foreign Secretary Margaret Beckett's first response to the gathering crisis on Friday was to keep to diplomatic conventions. After a hurried phone call to Blair, she immediately summoned Iran's ambassador, Rasoul Movahedian, to her office to explain their behaviour.
After a meeting described by officials as "brisk but polite", Beckett emerged to stress that she was "extremely disturbed" by events.
It was an understated description of the deep concern now gripping the government. Not only was Blair's administration alarmed at the risk to the 15 military personnel, which included at least one woman, but it was in no doubt over Tehran's ability to use their plight to make a wider point.
During a flurry of diplomatic activity in the hours after the snatch, the Iranians' rhetoric repeatedly elevated their action, and the alleged motives of the British, to a multinational affair. It was the eve of a second UN Security Council resolution imposing sanctions over Iran's refusal to halt its programme to enrich uranium. The Shatt al-Arab 15 were, from the start, pawns in a perilous international game.
"It looks like too much of a coincidence," a senior Foreign Office insider confirmed.
The response was a no- nonsense demand for Iran to relent - and Britain freely used the international community to back up its case. Beckett dispatched the UK chargé d'affaires, Kate Smith, to confront the government in Tehran, armed with the insistence that the British sailors had been in Iraqi waters.
In the meantime, Blair made a personal call to European allies, including EU foreign policy chief Javier Solana, to secure a public denunciation of the Iranians' actions.
"It was impressed on everyone how important it was to raise the diplomatic temperature, rather than keep a low profile and let them make a song and dance of the situation," one defence official said.
"There is nothing to be gained in provoking a confrontation, because that would be playing into their hands. But neither should we let them have it all their way. We tried that before and we're still trying to get our kit back."
The smaller-scale precedent, the taking of six British marines and two sailors on the same waterway in June 2004, was a painful lesson. The personnel were only returned after they had been paraded blindfold on Iranian television and admitted entering Iranian waters illegally. Three years on, the government is still pressing Iran for the return of its boats and kit, including valuable radar equipment.
The degree of concern felt across Whitehall was demonstrated yesterday, when Movahedian was called back to the Foreign Office, this time to see Beckett's minister, Lord Triesman. The British were clearly attempting to warn off Tehran before it could begin to use the servicemen and women as a significant propaganda tool.
It was, however, a race against time - and through it all, the diplomats and the politicians were acutely aware that Tehran has built a foreign policy on disregarding diplomatic niceties.
Top level COBRA is an acronym for Cabinet Office Briefing Room A, where its meetings are held.
Tony Blair, senior ministers, police and security chiefs all take part. It is called after events such as 9/11, 7/7
and can evoke emergency powers such as suspending Parliament or restricting movement.
Rename it East Falklands too!
Can't say I would be 'happy' but if that is what it would take, so be it. Probably be worth the four bucks to listen to the numbnuts in Congress complain about Bush.
Article 5 should be invoked *now*.
He's gone "wobbly"...
What it is, is the weekend, plus it is still early Monday in Iran. Should be a lot of developments in the next 12 hours.
"They need Maggie Thatcher" Yes they do. Any one heard from the Iron Lady on this one?
I checked te Tehran Times, English, site and they haven't updated since 3-17-07. Don't know what it means, but thought it interesting. Didn't want anything leaking out????
Well, that is interesting if unusual. Signs and portents, etc.
Should have said they were a daily paper.
If we destroy their pipelines, they have nothing to ship. And no money from oil sales.
Figures they would be daily with a pause on the holy day, but it is a week now. Might be a good time to check the Y2K stash again. It's getting to be a monthly task.
We do not buy any oil from Iran, not since the embassy takeover, from what I understand.
At first I was thinking COBRA -- as in helicopter. What a shame I was wrong.
You must have missed III. We lost almost 100,000 KIA in that one.
I just love all this chest pounding
I just love all this cowering in the corner.
suspect that they had been given strict instructions not to fire..."
But, Iraq being a War Zone, I'm sure they have the right to fire in self defense. Especialy Naval forces as they are HUGE national assests. OK, deployed in a dinghy muddies those waters; LOL.
Bingo.
Bump for later.
The COBRA team is going to put Iran on double secret probation.
I hope it's triple secret and somebody gets their butt put in a sling.
Any 'deal' the US might make with the Blair govt is a moot point. Tony is on his last legs as PM; he and GW are both lame ducks, but the Blair regime is closer to its end than Dubya's.
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