Posted on 04/24/2007 4:24:56 AM PDT by sukhoi-30mki
Taiwan says it would win war with China
By Annie Huang, Associated Press Writer | April 24, 2007
TAIPEI, Taiwan --A computer simulation projected that China could land forces on rival Taiwan, but they would be repulsed after two weeks of fierce fighting and harsh losses to both sides, Taiwan's military said Tuesday.
The complex simulation involved a scenario of China invading the island, 100 miles off its coast, in 2012.
Taiwan and China split amid civil war in 1949, but Beijing considers Taiwan Chinese territory. The computer scenario was based on China's repeated threats to attack if Taiwan ever tries to formalize its de facto independence.
The military released its findings from the simulation to reporters on Tuesday.
In the simulation, Chinese ships ferry forces to the island, backed by heavy missile barrages and pinpoint airstrikes on Taiwanese military bases and other strategic facilities.
The "invaders" establish beachheads along Taiwan's west coast, though their arrival is delayed for several days by Taiwanese missile strikes on mainland military bases, and by Taiwanese navy counterattacks.
(Excerpt) Read more at boston.com ...
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war predictions based on a computer simulation? huh????
They may have a claim to the island; they hve no possible claim to the millions of people who moved to that island to escape their fubar government.
Even Vietnam once handed the Chinese their @sses on a war in the early ‘80s. But still, this is a new China, and sparing room for over-confidence will be deadly to Taiwan.
China is NOT going to invade Taiwan.
>>war predictions based on a computer simulation? huh????<<
Well, the Pentagon certainly uses simulations. you could bet your life they ran simulation prior to both Gulf wars.
But the assumptions that underly those simulations are critical. For example some American naval simulations have assumed it was impossible to lose a modern aircraft carrier.
Check this quote from the article.
“TAIPEI, Taiwan —A computer simulation projected that China could land forces on rival Taiwan, but they would be repulsed after two weeks of fierce fighting and harsh losses to both sides, Taiwan’s military said Tuesday.”
If China decided to invade and risk relations, trade and possible war with America does anybody in their right mind think they would give up after two weeks no matter the losses.
Wasn’t there a computer simulation that showed that if Germany attacked France in 1940, they would make some progress in certain fronts but would be routed and decisively defeated? If not, there should have been. The French Army was larger, better equipped, had the advantage of fighting a defensive battle on their home ground.
No plan survives initial contact with the enemy.
And our soon to be elected Democratic President along with Harry Reed and Nancy Pelosi would make China very very sorry for ever starting a war...
It isn't about the island. It's about "face".
The only other option would be for Taiwan to surrender like France. If Taiwan fights like England or Japan did, the only option would be bomb them to Kingdom Come. I’m not talking nukes here.
Yet another in a long, long list of reasons that China would only attack Taiwan as a last desperate measure to save a crumbling regime -- which is certainly possible.
Taiwan makes a useful bogeyman and patriotic rallying cry for the ChiComs. It takes the spotlight off their own serious internal social problems.
There were no computers back then. But they probably did run some war games with maps, counters, pencils and dice. They assumed the Germans would not attack through Belgium. Well, the Germans did. So whether the war games mean anything depends on the assumptions. If they handicap the Taiwanese forces to account for Murphy's Law, while adding resources to the Chinese forces in order to account for what they don't know about the Chinese order of battle, they've run an honest simulation. Otherwise, they're just deceiving themselves.
Agreed. Just like what triggered the Falkland Islands’ war.
a rather....optimistic outcome projection.
he said in a supreme understatement.
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