Posted on 06/05/2007 8:05:42 AM PDT by Sax
MUSCAT, Oman More people have fled their homes in Oman's eastern coastal towns as a powerful cyclone approaches the oil-rich Gulf area, police officials said Tuesday.
Cyclone Gonu, with winds of 160 miles per hour and gusts of 195 miles per hour, is heading northwest through the Indian Ocean toward Oman's east coast.
Authorities on Monday evacuated nearly 7,000 people from Masirah, a lowland island off the east coast of Oman, said General Malik bin Suleiman al-Muamri, head of the country's civil defense.
He said that a state of emergency was declared in the affected area, including mobilizing army and police forces to help provide shelter and medical services. More families were also leaving their homes in towns on the mainland on Tuesday, officials said. The government said schools and public building were emptied to make room for the evacuees.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Chuck says:
Exclusive--Must credit THE OIL DRUM and Chuck Watson of KAC/UCF. KAC/UCF and Chuck Watson are forecasting, based on their damage models, that the Qalhat (Sur) LNG terminal will be out for 20-30 days and the Mina al Fahal oil terminal will be down for 10-15 days--all of this assuming they are built to US standards.Credit to Chuck Watson KAC/UCF
I am going out on a limb and suggest that gas will spike by 15% in the next 36 hours.
Dirtboy, please remember that as a windstorm, Katrina's effects on New Orleans were minimal. The overwhelming majority of damage came from a flood that resulted from the failure of man-made structures. Call it the "Federal flood", if that helps.
I wonder if the high tides will trigger any earthquakes in Iran?
So friggin' what? Are folks any less dead because they were killed by flooding instead of winds?
If you had a Cat 5 coming right at you with 30 hours before landfall and you had access to a car, wouldn't you get the hell out of Dodge? Heck, Katrina took out NOLA with the weaker side of the storm. Had Katrina hit NOLA with the dirty side of the storm, the death toll could have been at least ten times worse.
which way is it going????
It will come ashore between Jask and Bandar Behsstri in Iran, a grazing and herding area with little urban developments except small towns and villages. The population density is 0-50 per square mile.
But, as PA Engineer says, the floods will be horrific as the Central Makran Range runs behind all that coastal area. The storm will absolutely sump as it rises to surmount those coastal mountains and like Central America, we can expects mud-slide devestation of this region on a scale unknown in its modern history.
Pakistan, to the east, will be impacted as well by the outer parts of the storm.
Post 23 has a link to a track.
Over at the Oil Drum (credited above) they have this map posted:
If that path holds, Oman will get the weaker side of the storm.
I remember watching TV after the storm passes and the talking head said, “New Orleans was sparred by Katrina, hardly any wind damage”. Then after the storm passes all hell breaks loose.
The Best News I have heard all day. Maybe Osama gets caught when he scurries from the mountains.
Straight up the Hormuz! Interesting to say the least.
I think it will stay east of the Strait but for some interesting shipping and buoy reading click around in http://www.sailwx.info/shiptrack/shiplocations.phtml
A ship, Copiapo is actually right on the southeast portion of Gonu.
Those who were trapped or otherwise harmed by floods suffered becasuse they'd relied on the Federal government to provide the safety it had undertaken to provide and had assured us was in place.
Please try to get pas the demographics and politics of New Orleans, dirtboy. We are American citizens too. We pay taxes too. We have a right to take our government at its word, and if that government fails us through negligence and incompetence we take it badly when our more fortunate fellow citizens blame us for the disaster.
Had Katrina hit NOLA with the dirty side of the storm, the death toll could have been at least ten times worse.
Had Katrina hit with the dirty side of the storm, the levees would have been overtopped. The flood would have been a true natural disaster and no one would be pointing the finger at the Corps of Engineers. But under the circumstances as they played out, we have a right to demand that the US government remedy the mess it made, while not being held up to scorn and contempt from political thugs whose idea of sport is kicking someone when he's down.
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