Posted on 08/14/2007 3:49:05 PM PDT by Rameumptom
Among male Republican voters, Mitt Romney is in a dead heat for 1st place in the national GOP race. Rudy Giuliani gets his advantage with women but Romney can likely close that gap if McCain continues to slip. McCain polls 19% among female voters (just 8% among males).
Romney is the only candidate that will be able to parlay his success from the Ames Straw Poll to the national scene immediately. Huckabee may have exceeded expectations that will catapult him into relevance in Iowa but he is still unknown nationally outside of Iowa (and Arkansas).
Romney has made himself the front runner in Iowa and New Hampshire and boosts from early state wins could make him the favorite in the race.
Rudy Giuliani continues to lead the Republican field while Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson are tied for second place.
National Primary
Republicans Mar 07 Apr 07 May 07 Jun 07 Jul 07 Aug 07
Brownback 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Giuliani 34% 27% 28% 24% 30% 27%
Gingrich 12% 10% 13% 12% 10% 7%
Huckabee 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 3%
Hunter - - 1% 1% 1% 1%
McCain 30% 23% 24% 20% 14% 13%
Paul 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1%
Romney 7% 12% 8% 10% 10% 16%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson ni 9% 6% 15% 17% 16%
T Thompson 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Undecided 9% 14% 13% 11% 11% 14%
Fred Thompson, Giuliani, and Romney are tied among men, while Giuliani leads among women....
Future Pres. Romney won the Iowa Straw poll by the same aount as Gerogre W. Bush in 2004. He widened the margin of error over the second place. Bush had a 10% margin while Romney won a 13% margin over 2nd place.
Mitt ping
spelling = George.
National smational. National polls don’t mean squat. Only individual state polls count, because all elections are state by state. Don’t fall for this misleading statistic!!
Rudy leads among Republican women. Dang it, it looks like Rudy will take advantage of it. Ugh.
Bump.
Go Romney! I sense an Iowa bump, next a New Hampshire leap. Flying Mitt!!!
That's a nice thought.
Let me get my boots on and I'll send that phony huckster on his way!
Oh that’s ok I have seen it spelled many ways around here. : )
Looks like Conservatives are caught between a rock and a hard place. Our two viable candidates are RINOS. One a flip-flopper and one on the wrong side of every major social issue (with a sordid personal life to boot).
Most freeper aren’t sheepers.
In our home we have a Romney supporter and a Hunter supporter.
Thus far.
For me, Mitt is the man (unless Fred can sway me towards him).
Mitt is the candidate the Dims fear the most.
King Vanity wants to know if Mitt 4 Pres bumper sticker are out yet.
I would think not untill he is officially last man standing against HillBilly.
I don't know what you in particular have been saying, but many were saying 'who cares about Romney's success in Iowa and New Hampshire, he's doing terribly nationally.'
Well, now it's a different story.
Romney's leadership and organizational skills are very impressive. He produces results.
Mitt is the most DISliked Republican candidate. One recent poll had 46% of likely voters saying there was No Chance they would vote for him.
He is the only major presidential candidate with higher negative approval ratings than positive.
Here’s an interesting resource that I’ve found helpful:
http://www.pollster.com/08-FL-Rep-Pres-Primary.php
Be sure to check out the links to other early states found at the bottom of the page.
It seems to me that at this stage the -direction- of a candidate’s support in these charts is more important than the -degree- of that support.
No, looks like the RINOs are the ones between a rock and a hard place, because they cannot win without conservatives' votes. They won't get them, either. The GOP had better wake up and smell the coffee -- we will not support their RINO candidates! Not in the primary and not in the November, 2008 Presidential election!
It doesn’t matter what he does nationally. If he fails to win in Southern States, he is toast. Just like Rudy.
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