Posted on 08/21/2007 6:04:36 AM PDT by PilloryHillary
No other candidate running for President in 2008 has a higher negative rating than Senator Hillary Clinton. Most polls currently show Hillary with a 49% negative rating.
Rasmussen Reports, who had one of the most accurate polling results prior to the 2004 Presidential race, has Hillary’s unfavorable rating at 54%, with a 45% favorable rating.
Gallup has Barack Obama, on the other hand polling at only a 34% negative rating. While Hillary is the current front runner for the nomination, Barack Obama is polling head to head better against top Republicans, and therefore could fair better to win the national election because of his lower negative ratings.
No Presidential candidate has ever won the Presidency with a negative rating as high as 49%. Yet Senator Clinton claims that her negatives won’t keep her from winning . While she blames her negatives on the "right wing" attack machine against her, it’s her trustworthiness, and authenticity that is also a key factor in her unfavorable ratings.
In 2000, Al Gore had overwhelming popularity and won the popular vote, yet it was not enough to win the national election, and he lost the electorate vote. In 2004, John Kerry’s negative rating was averaging 43% before the election. He of course was able to win the Democratic nomination, but he was unable to win the general election.
Polls indicate that Hillary is favorite to win the Democratic nomination. While not impossible to overcome these numbers, having such high unfavorables 14 months before the general election may not be a good starting point for Hillary. Many people have not yet begun to focus on the Presidential election this early, and negative numbers could increase as voters begin to focus on the candidates as the election draws near.
Currently, Hillary is struggling in some blue states against Rudy Guiliani. In Colorado, Rudy has a 10 point lead over Hillary. In Oregon, 52% of the states voter’s currently have an unfavorable opinion of the Democratic frontrunner.
In the latest Rasmussen Report poll Hillary trails Rudy by seven points nationally.
As the primaries approach, Democrats will need to consider her negative ratings as a factor in winning the national election. If her negative numbers continue to rise over 50% and she wins the Democratic nomination, she will have an uphill battle to keep her negative numbers from rising further during the national campaign.
CO went for “Bill” in 1992, and it is trending all-Democrat at the state level.
Paul cannot run in a general election as a third party if he is part of the GOP primaries. There are sore-loser laws in most states to prevent such candidacies.
The CO GOP also went through Watergate meltdown in the mid- 1970s but Ford still won the state. The state, like WY, is particularly fond of Democrat governors.
But the media eye would enlarge it into a mini-series. A tainted person, a tragedy, a catharsis, and a renewal.
They rehabbed her husband. They will attempt a way to soften her.
1992 is hardly a normal election year. billy jeff "carried" the state with only 40% of the vote with Perot taking 23%. Without Perot, it quite likely that George H. W. would have won Colorado.
Yes, Colorado is becoming more Democratic with each election cycle but since the Republicans have carried it in the last three presidential elections, I would hesitate to color it blue yet. I would be surprised if the Republican nominee (regardless of who he is) doesn't carry Colorado in 2008.
That depends on how much MONEY Hillybilly can come up with. It's SO MUCH about who has the most money.
That's the way of the world, mostly. My opinion only, of course.
It depends on whether or not the full impact of the ruinous laws the Dems have passed and/or repealed is being felt in 2008, and whether or not that impact is correctly seen as being caused by them.
They have basically set the stage for an economic collapse in Colorado by:
1. Raising property tax rates by circumventing TABOR ( they are already worried about the impact of this one, which will be first felt next Spring),
2. writing into the state constitution that minimum wage rates must rise by 3 % each year
3. crippling the natural gas industry ( the only source of good jobs on the western slope) with excessive regulations and removing all federal land in the Roan Plateau area from drilling,
4. Cripping the home building industry in resort areas with excessive environmental standards, so that housing for regular people can't even be built,
5. Drastically revising workmans comp laws so that industries are sitting ducks for workman's comp lawyers, and a host of other goodies I feel too depressed to write about right now.
Add to this wonderful mix a new population of liberals from California who have never seen a real downturn in Colorado's economy, and you have all the ingrediants for a real fun time.
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