Posted on 09/09/2007 4:09:31 PM PDT by LdSentinal
It’s gonna take more than one poll to do that. And then you have to consider that perhaps they aren’t so interested in such things given all of the horse hockey they had to buy to support that guy in the first place! :)
Wanna see how bad Romney is gonna crumble? Watch next weeks polling results for Iowa and NH. That’s gonna make ‘em cry. :)
“poll results from Iowa and New Hampshire”
Ping me when you get them. I will be interested as well. When Mitt really starts to crater, his support will just evaporate, because it was never based on principle but only on his alleged ability to win. Once that illusion disappears, so will Romney.
Will do :)
I think you’re right. Actually, I think you’re one of the most astute posters here. Time will tell whether we’re all right or nuts! :)
Thanks. I am just an old Reaganite, thinking I would never see another one like RR, and then Fred bursts onto the scene. The reason I post a lot of historical stuff is that I followed Reagan’s career very closely, and I watched how the elite Eastern establishment tried to destroy him, then tried to co-opt him, then tried to revise him after he left office. I (Lou Cannon, who is a so-called Reagan “expert”, used to write the most vicious columns about the Gipper for the Washington Post; Now he acts as if he was for Reagan before Death Valley Days)
The children and (pseudo) intellectual heirs of Reagan’s antagonists are just up to their old tricks. And Fred is about to checkmate the lot of them.
I don’t think it is time for anyone to step down. What we have now is a very diverse group trying to win the nomination and I think each of them even the ones I don’t like, McLame for example, have something to add to the debate and can be valuable in shaping the Republican Platform.
I see your point, let me ask you this then. When, in your opinion, is a good time for trailing candidates to step down and endorse leading candidates?
There are a large group of polling service I find flawed or unreliable due to inherent bias, and Gallup is one of them.
By that, though, what I mean is that I don't trust the absolute numbers. Guiliani at +12% nationally? Ridiculous. That aside, trends can be important. Even if, for example, I don't necessarily believe their number for Romney is correct, the fact that he's trending down is still important to note.
“Polls are unreliable”
You are right on target. The only one that I think is fairly reliable is Rasmussen. The rest are in varying degrees “push polls” designed to try to influence the electorate. The fact that Gallup has shown an upswing for Fred means that FOX will be issuing a new poll showing their boy Rudy widening his lead to 98-2 over Fred in about 3...2....1...
The problem with push polls is they are not effective in a general election and are completely ineffective in a Primary. As the election draws closer they will show Fred’s lead so they do not lose credibility totally. At this stage, they are not to be trusted.
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