Tropical Depression 10

NOAA/NHC ^ | 19 September 2007 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

A couple of low pressure systems have been circulating in and around Florida--drifting westward. Forecast models indicate the systems will move into the Gulf of Mexico. There is potential for development of this large area of disturbed weather. Sea surface temperatures for the Eastern GOM are in the mid to upper 80's.

NHC Tropical Weather Outlook Statement as of 10:30 PM EDT on September 19, 2007:

Surface observations indicate that a low pressure system associated
with the large area of disturbed weather is moving slowly westward
across north central Florida. However...satellite images indicate
that the shower activity remains disorganized. Surface pressures
are still falling sharply and the environment is gradually becoming
favorable for a subtropical or tropical cyclone to form...as the
system moves westward into the eastern Gulf of Mexico on Thursday. 
Showers and squalls associated with this system are expected to
spread over portions of Florida during the next day or two. All
interest along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast should monitor the
progress of this weather disturbance.

Click image to enlarge

IR Color Enhanced Satellite

Florida & Eastern Gulf of Mexico Buoys
Western GOM Buoys

Storm Forecast Models Invest 93

FL Radar/Sat Very large display with radar and satellite loop

Tampa Bay Long Range radar

Mobile AL Radar

New Orleans radar

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

[NautiNurse]

A tad earlier than usual for one of these threads...as this system is moving into the GOM.

[NautiNurse]

Per NHC--All interests along the northern Gulf of Mexico coast
should monitor the progress of this weather disturbance.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[RDTF]

missed ya!

[lexington minuteman 1775]

Well its dumped about 10 inches of rain in Jacksonville over last few days, and it is not tropical yet.I guess this will be Jerry.

[eastforker]

Thanks NN, Sometimes these local home grown storms can be the most unpredictable, sort of like Humberto.

[Marak]

Thanks for the awakening!

[NautiNurse]

The storms this season have tended to explode. GOM temp due west of Tampa Bay is 85.5º. Thought it would be prudent to alert FRiends in neighborhood.

[NautiNurse]

10 inches of rain in Jacksonville

Yikes...

I spent the afternoon fertilizing the yard, citrus trees and rose beds ahead of the rain. Circular cloud formation was visible to the east much of the day.

[1COUNTER-MORTER-68]

TANKS for the ping...

[blam]

Watching. (Bump)

[blam]

Look at this circular motion over Florida.

[NautiNurse]

I was watching the circulation out my front window today. It is a remarkably large area of circulation.

[GOPJ]

Thanks for the ping.

[CindyDawg]

If all of that comes together it could be a big storm.

[CindyDawg]

If all of that comes together it could be a big storm.

[Rte66]

Well, our local news tonight said Shell has already evacuated a bunch of its rigs in the GoMex and will evac a bunch more tomorrow - so take that FWIW.

[NautiNurse]

Quick—fill the gas tanks...

[eastforker]

Quick—fill the gas tanks...
...............Got 10, 5 gal tanks full and my boat is full and it holds a 100 gals, generator will run for a while..

[metmom]

bump

[NautiNurse]