Posted on 10/05/2007 8:23:57 AM PDT by blogsforthompson.com
Fred Thompson holds a two point lead over Rudy Giuliani as the week ends in the latest Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll. Fred leads Rudy 21%-19%, with Romney five back.
21% Fred Thompson
19% Rudy Giuliani
16% Mitt Romney
21% Undecided
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that “undecided” is tied for the lead in the race for the Republican Presidential Nomination. Twenty-one percent (21%) of Likely Primary Voters are not sure how they will vote, a total that matches the 21% support for Fred Thompson. Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney are both within five points of that total, Giuliani at 19% and Romney at 16%. Those three candidates also finished the last quarter fairly close in fundraising totals adding to the sense that the race is getting murkier. While there is no clear frontrunner, John McCain trails at 11% followed by Mike Huckabee at 4% and Ron Paul at 3%
I’m a Thompson backer but I will admit that a 21% undecided figure means he has a ways to go to close the deal.
Mitt is actually performing respectably. Of course he is spending like a drunken sailor.
I wonder if anyone truly knows how meaningless these polls this early on.
What happened to Hunter?
21% undecided tied for lead. I am beginning to wonder about Rasmussen’s polls. He seems to poll the mosts artificial matchups imaginable. He tries to poll abviously non competitive candidates of one party with candidates of the other party and vis-versa. It’s a waste of time and frankly, his polls don’t seem to match up with all the others (Zogby, ABC/WP, NBC/WSJ, Gallup etc.) which seem fairly close to each other. It’s probably a little early to pay any attention to any of them except maybe the ones that say Hillary is killing her competition which I do believe.
I could be missing something because of how I get my news, but it doesn't appear, to me anyway, that Fred's getting his name out to the general public that well.
Owl_Eagle
If what I just wrote made you sad or angry,
it was probably just a joke.
I’ve been tracking Rasmussen with charting tools... if we presume Romney’s recent high was a spurious result (since the trends without it don’t show much reason to suspect a sudden upward movement), it looks like Thompson and Giuliani in a near dead-heat (roughly 23-22) with Romney opening a small but significant lead over McCain (roughly 14-11).
Considering the full-scale assault on Thompson by the media and the fundraising news, I’m becoming more and more convinced that this race is only between Giuliani and Thompson.
E-mail/ping me if you want on/off the list! SPREAD THE WORD!!!
—Rudy911 teetering near dropping below 20%,
—His fundraising declined because it primarily comes from the same donors.
—The last few likely GOP Primary voters polls (Rasmussen, et al) have Fred Thompson, not Rudy911, in the lead.
—Nevada, Michigan, Iowa, South Carolina, and New Hampshire are all uphill climbs for Rudy911 despite his spending a MINT in those states.
—And all this while he still enjoys unsustainable highs in approval numbers, before a DIME has been spent directly pointing out who Rudy911 is and what he stands for, and while a third to a half of primary voters polled still say they don’t know about his Liberal issues (guns, god, abortion, et al).
So now that they can’t sell us the “Stop resisting, Rudy911 is inevitable!” bullcrap, they have started with the “But Rudy will put all fifty states into play, not to mention D.C. and Canada!” bullcrap.
So, who’s ready to nominate NARAL’s Champion of Choice to lead the GOP for four years or more?
True, but this means there IS hope!!!
It means that ore Republicans are begining to realize that the phoney fraud called Giuliani is merely a Democrat in Republican Clothing.
Two things one needs to know about Primary polling:
1.) Zogby is the single most accurate poller of Democratic Primary results. This has been demonstrated time and again - as has his ridiculously missed general Election polling habits.
2.) Rasmussen is the single most accurate poller of GOP Primaries. He is also one of the few pollsters to always use likely voters. .
What happened to Hunter?
Spending like a drunken sailor is what the GOP does nowadays. Unfortunately.
That's interesting they never mentioned Fred... Hmmmm... Very interesting indeed!
I was very impressed with FT and his wife on Hannity & Colmes wed. night. She is young but very mature and balanced - a breath of fresh air. I have said before it would come down to Hunter or FT for me, and Fred is getting the edge here.
What are all these “Republicans” positions on the so-called “palestinian” issue. Would they also fight the GWOT on one hand but play nice-nice with islamists on the other?
Likely ‘primary’ voters. There is a difference.
Rasmussen also has pollsters dig into how informed these voters are. For those that have taken the time to get to know the candidates, they poll strongly for Thompson.
That means it’s only a matter of time before Fred Thompson builds an overwhelming lead.
Those that are uninformed are generally Republicans who always vote party line and when asked if they will vote Guiliani, Thompson, McCain, Romney and so on, they are likely to say “I don’t know” or “Who’s Thompson?” or “Guliani because maybe he can beat that Clinton woman”, etc.
But once informed they mostly cluster to Fred Thompson because they ‘trust’ him and like what he has to say and the way he says it.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.