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Republican Nomination Most Open Since 1979 [McCain in second?]
Washington Post ^ | Jon Cohen and Dan Balz

Posted on 11/04/2007 8:34:17 PM PST by Plutarch

For the first time in nearly 30 years, there is no breakaway front-runner for the Republican nomination as the first votes of Campaign 2008 loom, and a new Washington Post-ABC News poll underscores how open the GOP race remains.

Former New York City mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani maintains a double-digit lead over his main rivals, but most of his supporters back his candidacy only "somewhat," and he has yet to gain momentum among key primary voting groups or to distinguish himself as the best candidate for the party. Adding to the murkiness of the picture is that Republicans continue to be less satisfied with their candidate options than Democrats are with theirs.

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds former New York mayor Rudolph Giuliani, left, with the weakest national support for a Republican front-runner this late in a presidential race since 1979. Trailing him, in order from right to left, are Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), former senator Fred Thompson (Tenn.) and former governor Mitt Romney (Mass.).

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds former New York mayor Rudolph Giuliani, left, with the weakest national support for a Republican front-runner this late in a presidential race since 1979. Trailing him, in order from right to left, are Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), former senator Fred Thompson (Tenn.) and former governor Mitt Romney (Mass.).

In the new poll, a third of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents said they would vote for Giuliani if their state's primary or caucus were held today. That puts him 14 percentage points ahead of Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) and 17 points ahead of former senator Fred D. Thompson (Tenn.).

Eleven percent said they would vote for former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, and 9 percent support former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee...

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: giuliani; mccain; romney; thompson
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1 posted on 11/04/2007 8:34:18 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

I have to say that any poll that consistently puts John Mccain in the mid to high teens is suspect in the extreme.

One would suspect that the respondents were screened to include only working age men at home between the hours of 10AM to 2PM on weekdays.


2 posted on 11/04/2007 8:43:41 PM PST by John Valentine
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To: John Valentine

Maybe they poll nursing homes.


3 posted on 11/04/2007 8:45:53 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

But-——Huckabee is telling everyone he is in 2nd place now...


4 posted on 11/04/2007 8:46:36 PM PST by TheBattman (Duncan Hunter '08)
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To: Plutarch

I’d say nervous hospitals. Nearly 20% for Crazy McNut ? Nope. He isn’t even on the political radar screen. Rudy is narrowly ahead or tied with Fred. I call shenanigans on this poll.


5 posted on 11/04/2007 8:47:26 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: Plutarch

McCain in second?! WTF?! LOL

Ron Paul...3...Duncan Hunter..2..Tom Tancredo..1...BLAST OFF, TO OBLIVION, AND BEYOND!!!


6 posted on 11/04/2007 8:47:43 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

RUN FRED RUN....MEDIC!


7 posted on 11/04/2007 8:48:42 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: TheBattman

Huckster is in 2nd place... for worst ex-Governor amongst the RINO-er-GOP Presidential field. Precious Willard is still #1. ;-)


8 posted on 11/04/2007 8:48:49 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: John Valentine

“I have to say that any poll that consistently puts John Mccain in the mid to high teens is suspect in the extreme.”

I don’t think so. He and Rootie have the highest name recognition of the Republican candidates. There are plenty of people who are Republicans and either don’t follow the election this far out. They support the name they know.


9 posted on 11/04/2007 8:50:02 PM PST by DemEater
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
Dr. Demento's at 3%. He sure is winning the hearts and minds of Middle America.
10 posted on 11/04/2007 8:50:21 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

Triple E: Read a poll, especially a Rasmussen or Mason/Dixon sometime...


11 posted on 11/04/2007 8:50:48 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: Plutarch

still hate mccain.


12 posted on 11/04/2007 8:51:19 PM PST by television is just wrong (deport all illegal aliens NOW. Put all AMERICANS TO WORK FIRST. END Welfare)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

These polls aren’t objective as they are polling the same small percentage of registered, land-line Republicans who voted in 2004.


13 posted on 11/04/2007 8:53:04 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Dr. Demento's at 3%. He sure is winning the hearts and minds of Middle America.

He won a lot of hearts and minds at his rally in Nashville, over 1,500 people attended. At the same time Fred! was giving a speech to a handful of supporters.

He's going to raise more money than Fred! this 4Q, if this money bomb pans out.

14 posted on 11/04/2007 8:55:31 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
You're just pissed because the Doc's at... 3 !

Can't ya just FEEL the tidal wave of support ?

15 posted on 11/04/2007 8:56:26 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
You could get 1,500 people to turn out in Nashville if they offered them each 100-lb bags of manure from Ace Hardware.
16 posted on 11/04/2007 8:57:59 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist; BlackElk
"He's going to raise more money than Fred! this 4Q, if this money bomb pans out."

Always nice to have Soros backin' ya to the hilt. Maybe Kookcinich can mind meld with the UFO and they can bring Dr. Demento some gold-pressed latinum bars with chocolate inside.

17 posted on 11/04/2007 8:59:28 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
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To: fieldmarshaldj

There’s no Soros or left-wing organizations supporting Paul. Just good, honest people from the heartland.


18 posted on 11/04/2007 9:01:25 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
These polls aren’t objective as they are polling the same small percentage of registered, land-line Republicans who voted in 2004.

I think markets like Intrade are more indicative of strength in the campaign than any one poll. At Intrade, McCain trades at 7.0% which is behind Giuliani, Romney, Thompson and even Ron Paul. This is much more realistic than being second place in this one poll.

19 posted on 11/04/2007 9:01:43 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: All

I went to abcnews.com and read the whole article. The whole article says how voters are SO discontented and how wonderful the Democrat candidates are and how weak the Republican candidates are. Now that I read entire the article I think the poll is a bunch of hooey too.


20 posted on 11/04/2007 9:07:31 PM PST by ClarenceThomasfan (Don't be a kamikoze Conservative! Vote Republican in 2008!)
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